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Trends of Domestic Production. Production growth becoming moderate Transition of major industries. Industrial Production decreased in June. electric parts/devices. Rates of production, shipment and inventory (2005 =100). IT machinery. Shipment. Transport machinery. General machinery.
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Trends of Domestic Production Production growth becoming moderateTransition of major industries Industrial Production decreased in June electric parts/devices Rates of production, shipment and inventory (2005 =100) ITmachinery Shipment Transport machinery General machinery Production Steel Planned business investment in increase trend for the first time in 3 years inventory rate % vs previous year Production industry Stock 1st half 2nd half 1st half 2nd half 2007 2008 2009 2010 Cabinet Meeting Document on Monthly Economic Reports, etc. (21 July & 10 Aug 2010, Cabinet Office ) 1
2) Paint Shipment 1. Japan (domestic market) Production Volume Shipment Volume Thousand ton Thousand ton FY2006 FY2006 FY2007 FY2007 FY2009 FY2009 FY 2008 FY 2008 Compared to 2007, production volume in 2009 was -19%, and shipment volume was –18%; which were –8% respectively compared with 2008. 2
FY2006 FY2007 FY2009 FY2008 Shipment Value Quantity of inventory FY2006 FY2007 FY2009 FY 2008 Shipment Value of FY2009 was –15% against FY2007. => It was –9% against FY2008. Quantity of inventory was unable to be adjusted at steep fall in 2008, but now, it is within normal range. 3
4) Future Paint Demand Forecast (1) JPMA Paint Shipment Vol. forecast and actual figure JPMA Forecast Actual Figure JPMA Forecast Actual Figure JPMA Forecast JPMA Forecast Actual Figure/ Chemical Industry Statistics 2007 shipment volume = 100. With the cooperation of JPMA member companies, JPMA forecasted shipment volume.FY2008 forecast of –8% against 2007 resulted –11%, and FY2009 forecast of –15% against FY2007 resulted in –18%. 4
(2) FY2010 Paint Demand Forecast (JPMA, March 2010) JPMA forecast of paint production volume for FY2010 is 1.434 million tons (101.1% vs FY2009, and 83.1% vs FY2007,) based on various economic forecast issued by government and private bodies, trends of major user industries, and JPMA members' industrial condition perspectives. JPMA Paint Demand Forecast (issued on March 2010, by the effort of JPMA members) stated 101.1% of FY2009 expected actual figure. 5
(3) Forecast of this year and the next year (Monthly Cabinet Report) Economic perspective of Developed Areas April April July July Economic perspective of Emerging/ Developing Areas USA Japan Euro area UK Growth rate of developed areas are expected to be 1-3%,Emerging / Developing areas: 4-10 % China India Brazil Russia 6
B) Near Future Paint Production Forecast (Private Opinion) Production Volume(Million ton) Recovery/Development 2% per year 3.0 2.43 Mil. ton Recovery/Development 1% per year 2.5 2 Mil. ton 2.0 1.5 Decline 1.47 Mil ton 1.0 0.5 0 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2030 7
(9) Issues facing paint industry and its surroundings • -Global Financial Crisis, Post economic crisis • Adoption to globalization-Global Environmental issues • Chemical Management Global situation Secure Global Environment and Economic Development Prevent Global Warming Situation in Japan -Global Financial Crisis -Dealing with post crisis economy Paint Industry Product Liability(fire fighting law) Public Relation Statistics Safety New Law on public-service corporation Chemical Management -Formaldehyde -VOC -AF -GHS *Laws on Chemical Management Int'l JPMA projects Standardization Environment Globalization colors Technical Consolidation of JIS Labor Safety Waste Management International Standard ISO - JIS REACH Hazardous Waste Treatment / Basel Convention 8