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Measuring Asthma Prevalence and Severity in Children. Lara Akinbami, MD Infant and Child Health Studies Branch National Center for Health Statistics. Overview. National trends in childhood asthma prevalence, hospitalization and mortality, 1980 to 2000
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Measuring Asthma Prevalence and Severity in Children Lara Akinbami, MD Infant and Child Health Studies Branch National Center for Health Statistics
Overview • National trends in childhood asthma prevalence, hospitalization and mortality, 1980 to 2000 • Racial disparities in asthma prevalence, hospitalization and mortality
NCHS systems with asthma data • Prevalence • National Health Interview Survey (NHIS): household survey • Hospitalizations • National Hospital Discharge Survey (NHDS): record abstraction • Mortality • National Vital Statistics System (NVSS): death certificate data
Asthma prevalence, 1980-96, lifetime diagnosis & asthma attack prevalence, 1997-2000, NHIS Asthma lifetime diagnosis Asthma prevalence (4.3% per yr ) Asthma attack prevalence
National Health Interview Survey1997 redesign • Purpose of the redesign • Improve data quality • Simplify the survey • Reduce the questionnaire length • The redesign involved • Survey restructuring • Changes in NHIS core questions
Asthma prevalence, 1980-96, lifetime diagnosis & asthma attack prevalence, 1997-2000, NHIS Asthma lifetime diagnosis Asthma prevalence (4.3% per yr ) Asthma attack prevalence
Measuring the 1997 redesign impact: NHIS Child Health Supplement • NHIS includes periodic supplements on selected health topics: 1981 and 1988 Child Health Supplement • In-depth survey of child health • Asthma questions included
1981 and 1988 Core and Child Health Supplement (CHS) asthma prevalence estimates
Asthma prevalence (1980-96), and modified asthma attack prevalence (1997-2000), NHIS High and low modified estimates Asthma prevalence Asthma attack prevalence
Summary: NHIS redesign impact on prevalence estimates • Most of the apparent decrease in 1997 resulted from the redesign • If the survey was not changed, 1997-2000 estimates would have been ~ 20% higher • This is likely an underestimate of the impact of the redesign
2001 NHIS: additional asthma question • “Does your child STILL have asthma?” • Will provide an estimate of current asthma prevalence • Estimate still won’t be directly comparable to pre-1997 estimates
Childhood asthma hospitalizations • Asthma hospitalization can be used as an indicator of severity • However, asthma is a condition sensitive to access to high quality ambulatory health care • Hospitalization data measures events rather than persons
Asthma hospitalizations for children 0-17 years, 1980-2000 NHDS 1.4% per year increase
Childhood asthma mortality • Rare event • But, avoidable • Also affected by factors in addition to prevalence and severity • Health care utilization • Patient education and “compliance”
Asthma deaths, children 0-17 years, 1980-2000, NVSS ICD-9 ICD-10 3.4% per year increase
Asthma deaths, children 0-17 years, 1980-2000, NVSS ICD-9 ICD-10 3.4% per year increase
Summary of trends in childhood asthma • Increasing burden of childhood asthma from 1980 to the mid 1990s • Recent plateau in asthma attack prevalence, hospitalizations and deaths • Complications: NHIS redesign, ICD code change
Racial disparities in asthma • Widespread perception: minorities have much higher asthma prevalence • Minorities also at higher risk for poor outcomes • Impact of socioeconomic status on disparities
Racial disparities: asthma prevalence, hospitalization, and mortality
Racial and income disparities in asthma: NHIS • Race and income data available • NHIS contains prevalence and morbidity data • Survey years 1993-1996 grouped for adequate sample size • Children 3 years excluded due to diagnostic uncertainty
Average annual asthma prevalence, 1993-1996, children 3-17 years
Activity limitation due to asthma, 1993-1996, children 3-17 years with asthma
Racial disparities in health care use • NHIS has information about Health care use: asthma doctor visits Severity: asthma bed days • Use disability ratio • Adjust health care use for severity of illness • The higher the ratio, the more health care utilized per unit of severity
Doctor contacts & bed days due to asthma in the past 2 weeks, children 3-17 years
Summary of racial disparities in asthma • Disparities in asthma morbidity and mortality > prevalence disparities • Black poor children underuse ambulatory care given their greater morbidity • It is not likely that disparities in prevalence drive the very large disparities in asthma hospitalizations and mortality
Overall summary of childhood asthma • Dramatic increase in the asthma burden among children until mid-1990s • Recent plateau in asthma attack prevalence, hospitalizations, and mortality • Minority and poor children face: • Only slightly higher risk of having asthma • Much higher risk of morbidity • Inappropriately low use of ambulatory care • Much higher risk of mortality
Acknowledgements National Center for Health Statistics, CDC: Ken Schoendorf, MD, MPH Jennifer Parker, PhD Julia Rhodes, PhD Vanderbilt University: Bonnie LaFleur, PhD National Center for Environmental Health, CDC Jeanne Moorman, PhD