1 / 9

South Carolina Government Finance Officers

Presentation to. South Carolina Government Finance Officers. 2010 Fall Conference. October 18, 2010. CONFIDENTIAL. DRAFT. Program Summary, Proposed Legislation and Outlook. BABs & RZEDBs Market Dynamics and Trends. Program Update.

nitza
Download Presentation

South Carolina Government Finance Officers

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript


  1. Presentation to South Carolina Government Finance Officers 2010 Fall Conference October 18, 2010 CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT

  2. Program Summary, Proposed Legislation and Outlook BABs & RZEDBs Market Dynamics and Trends Program Update • Offer municipal issuers access to taxable buyer base and reduced costs, particularly at long maturities • Over $129bn issued to date, comprising about 27% of total municipal issuance during the same period • The current legislation expires at the end of 2010 • The extension of the programs is still unclear • In June, Congress failed to pass a Jobs Bill which would have extended the BAB programs through December 31, 2012 at reduced subsidy of 32% and 30% in 2011 and 2012, respectively • The prospects of the ARRA programs are currently unclear • Issuers have to decide to issue BABs and RZEDBs before the expiration and grapple with unknowns including a likely lower rebate level if an extension does pass • 2010 issuance is expected to remain strong around $100 billion, with likely surge of volume near the year end when the current legislation expires • Steady monthly volume • Increased knowledge and acceptance of municipal credits by traditional taxable investors • Continued demand for long duration BABs & RZEDBs from pensions and insurance firms to offset liabilities

  3. Call Features – 30% with Par Calls Size – Majority under $250 Million Volume – Over $129Bn Since Inception Maturities – 63% over 22 Years BABs & RZEDBs Market Dynamics and Trends Overview of BABs Issuance to Date (1) Billions Number of Deals ____________________ (1) Source: Bloomberg and Thomson Reuters. Data as of 9/13/2010.

  4. Typical Investor Distribution (2) Ratings – 68% with AA or Higher Sectors – Broadly Diversified BABs & RZEDBs Market Dynamics and Trends Overview of Issuance to Date (1) • ~ 50% Are Traditional Municipal Bond Buyers: • Mutual Fund (i.e. Bond Fund) • Investment Advisory (with tax-exempt market research capacity) • Property Casualty Insurance Company • Retail • ~ 50% Are Non-Traditional Municipal Bond Buyers • Life Insurance Company • Investment Advisory • Foreign Banks • Pensions • Hedge Funds • Corporation * - Hedge Funds, Governmental, Pensions • ____________________ • Source: Thomson Reuters. Data as of 8/6/2010. • Based on a large, highly rated, GO BAB issue.

  5. BABs Market Dynamics and Trends Top BABs Holders (1) ____________________ (1) Source: eMAXX as of 6/30/10

  6. BABs & RZEDBs Market Dynamics and Trends Muni-Style 10-Year Par Call vs. Corporate Style Make-Whole Call

  7. BAB Spreads Are Grinding Tighter in the Past Weeks (1) Muni Credit Spreads to AAA (1) Ratios Are Above Averages Market Update Municipal Spreads and Ratios ____________________ (1) Source: Bank of America Merrill Lynch.

  8. Tax-Exempt vs. Taxable Syndicate Syndicate Dynamics – Typical Timeline and Process Addressing Dual Marketing Plans Tax-Exempt Syndicate • Investor Presentations Posted • Preliminary & Final Pricing • Mailing of POS • Rating Reports • Formal Award • Retail Order Period -1 to 2 Days - 1 Week -2 to 3 Days -1 Day 0 +1 Day • Formal Guidance • Launch Pricing • Set Coupons/Formal Award • Mailing of POS • Rating Reports • Investor Conference Call (If Needed) • Whisper Talk • Preliminary Guidance Taxable Syndicate (including BABs & RZEDBs) • Investor Presentations Posted

More Related