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The Validation of Kepler planets. F. Fressin , G. Torres & the Kepler team. Planet or Blend?. Physically bound or Chance alignment. Transiting Planet. Eclipsing Binary . An observed periodic transit signal could be due to:. We use Blender , a light-curve fitting software
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The Validation of Kepler planets F. Fressin, G. Torres & the Kepler team
Planet or Blend? Physically bound or Chance alignment Transiting Planet Eclipsing Binary An observed periodic transit signal could be due to: We use Blender, a light-curve fitting software • It attempts to explain Kepler candidates assuming they are the result of a pair of eclipsing objects in the photometric aperture.
Planet or Blend? An observed periodic transit signal could be due to: Physically bound or Chance alignment Transiting Planet Eclipsing Binary Primary Star Secondary Star(MS or not) Tertiary Star or planet We use Blender, a light-curve fitting software • It attempts to explain Kepler candidates assuming they are the result of a pair of eclipsing objects in the photometric aperture.
Blender results : Example of Kepler-10c Period = 45.3 days Radius = 2.23 R⊕ Eclipsing Binary Stars can mimic a transiting planet signal
Blender results : Example of Kepler-10c Period = 45.3 days Radius = 2.23 R⊕ Eclipsing Binary Stars can mimic a transiting planet signal
Blender results : Example of Kepler-10c Period = 45.3 days Radius = 2.23 R⊕ Eclipsing Binary Stars can mimic a transiting planet signal Blender results show that only a very small fraction can actually reproduce the exact transit shape
Combining Follow-Up Observations • Kepler photometry • Precise host star characterization (Keplerasteroseismology) Blender Inputs • Speckleinterferometry (WIYN at Kitt Peak) • Adaptive optics imaging (PHARO at Palomar) • Centroid shift analysis (Kepler data) Separation vs. Magnitude • Spectroscopy (Hires at Keck) • Multi-color photometry (KIC, 2MASS) • Infrared transit observation (WarmSpitzer) Color vs. Magnitude
Quantifying the blend probability Background star + star Background star + planet The planet hypothesis is 60,000 times more likely than a blend Physically bound star + planet • Blend frequency = (0.41 + 1.21) x 10-8 = 1.62 x 10-8 • Planet prior = 157 / 156,453 = 1.0 x 10-3
Kepler-10b Kepler planet Other transiting planet Blender Validation Gj-436b Kepler-11g Gj-1214b Kepler-19b Kepler-10c 55 Cnce CoRoT-7b Kepler-9d
Supporting the challenging Radial Velocity confirmations Kepler-10b shows a clear RV signal, but has inconclusive Bisector variations. Batalha et al. 2011 • M = 4.56 ± 1.29M⊕ Blender validates the transiting planet scenario. CoRoT-7b • Leger et al. 2009 strong support for validation • Queloz et al. 2009 confirmation M = 4.8 ± 0.8M⊕ • Hatzes et al. 2010 confirmation M = 6.9 ± 1.4M⊕ • Ferraz-Mello et al. 2011 confirmation M = 8.0 ± 1.2M⊕ • Pont et al. 2011 marginal detection M = 2.3 ± 1.5M⊕ • Boisse et al. 2011 marginal detection M = 5.7 ± 2.5M⊕ • Hatzes et al. 2011 confirmation M = 7.4 ± 1.2 M⊕
Blender + Spitzer validation of CoRoT-7b In visible light InInfrared
Validation of CoRoT-7b Background star + star Background star + planet The planet hypothesis is 3,500 times more likely than a blend • Blend frequency = 4.2 x 10-7 Physically bound star + planet • Planet prior = 231 / 156,453 =1.5 x 10-3
Kepler-10b Kepler planet Other transiting planet Blender Validation Gj-436b Kepler-11g Gj-1214b Kepler-19b Kepler-10c 55 Cnce CoRoT-7b Kepler-9d
The Blender Connections Further constraining the Blend Frequency Refining the planet prior • Improving Centroid shift results • S. Bryson • Target color using Spitzer • J.M. Desert* oral04.03 • Dynamical Constrains from • multiple systems • D. Fabricky, M.Holman • Kepler detection efficiency • C. Dressing* poster24.01 • Constrains from multiple systems • D. Ragozzine • (Co-planarity boost) • J. Lissauer*oral04.05 • (Multiplicity boost)
Blender results strongly scale with the amount of data. • Sub-Earth-size Keplercandidate Allowed Eclipsing binaries using Q1 – Q5 • ... are divided by 3 • using Q1 – Q8 • Gathering more data won’t only provide more critical KOIs, • but also strongly help validating them (improved Centroid and Blender)
By ESS3, • our goal will be to prove that Earth-size planets, • as hard to find as they may be, • are not • Extreme Solar Systems