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Weather Related Data Products for Emergency Management Practitioners

Weather Related Data Products for Emergency Management Practitioners. Christina McCullough Indiana National Guard christina.mccullough@us.army.mil. Disclaimer. I am not a soldier. I am a contractor working at the Indiana National Guard in the Joint Operations Center.

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Weather Related Data Products for Emergency Management Practitioners

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  1. Weather Related Data Products for Emergency Management Practitioners Christina McCullough Indiana National Guard christina.mccullough@us.army.mil

  2. Disclaimer • I am not a soldier. I am a contractor working at the Indiana National Guard in the Joint Operations Center. • I do not work for NWS, NOAA or USGS. I use their data. These data make my job easier. • I am not a meteorologist. • I am a Geographer; Geographic Information Science and Remote Sensing Technologies. • I focus my work on how we can deliver scientific data into a common operating picture for Emergency Management Practitioners.

  3. Indiana FEMA Declarations • Since 1954 • 47 FEMA Declarations • 40 Major Disaster Declarations • 7 Emergency Declarations • 31 (66%) Flood Events

  4. June 2008 Floods http://water.weather.gov/ • June 7-9, 2008 ~2-10 inches rainfall • 21 Flash Flood Warnings • 3 Fatalities • 65 Miles of Impassible Roads

  5. The Presumed Result http://www.ncrste.msstate.edu/archive/publications/posters/ncrste_tg002-10.pdf • Landsat 5 & 7 • Purdue University • Vegetation Index • Mississippi State symbology • Road Closures • 62 miles • Geocoded RC26 Images • Great Product • Not good enough • Not proactive • Communication Failure

  6. The Request • “I need for you to tell me where and how much water will result from the rains. And, where will we have flooding conditions in the next 12, 24, 48, 72, and 96 hours?”

  7. NWS AHPS River Gauges • River Forecasts • 48 Hours • 2872 Total Gauges • Downloadable data • SHP • KML/KMZ • RSS • Does not forecast out 72 & 96 hours http://www.weather.gov/ahps/, http://www.weather.gov/ahps/download.php

  8. Communication Failure http://proceedings.esri.com/library/userconf/hss08/docs/pacific_disaster_center.pdf • "Adapted from Pacific Disaster Center; www.pdc.org."

  9. The Project Begins • National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) consists of gridded forecasts of sensible weather elements • Decision makers requested NDFD graphical data to coexist with our local data. http://www.weather.gov/forecasts/graphical/sectors/conus.php#tabs

  10. NDFD Quantitative Precipitation Forecast (QPF) • Is the total expected liquid precipitation. A QPF will be specified when a measurable (<0.01”) precipitation type is forecast for any hour during a QPF valid period. • Data Availability • 72 hours, every 6 hours • DEGRIB => 74 hours • Values > 0 inches

  11. DEGRIB TOOL

  12. The QPF Model (Snow also, (48HRS))

  13. Validating the Model 1 2 3 4 A B

  14. Individual Selected Polygons

  15. QPF 72HR FINAL

  16. Why NDFD DeGRIB? • Allows for additional interpretation • Small polygons • Better math process • Fast data upload • Model works very quickly for smaller regions • Not recommended for nationwide analysis. • Model not fully automated

  17. In Addition… • Single NDFD layers can be used • Hazards Element • http://nowcoast.noaa.gov/

  18. Support to the Geospatial Community • APPENDIX A Graphical Forecast Weather Element Survey • APPENDIX B Support to Geospatial Intelligence Community – DeGRIB to ArcProducts • APPENDIX C Support to Geospatial Intelligence Community – NDFD Model

  19. NWS AHPS Observed Precipitation .shp, Point data, NWS AHPS Observed / Forecast Gauges .shp, Point data NWS Weather Warnings IMS, Polygon USGS Water Watch .kml, .shp, IMS point data NOHRSC Snow Water Equivalent .kmz, raster grid NDFD Probability of Precipitation .shp, polygon, DeGRIB NDFD QPF shp, polygon, DeGRIB NDFD Wind Speed shp, polygon, DeGRIB NDFD Snow shp, polygon, DeGRIB NDFD Apparent Temp Heat Index and Wind Chill shp, polygon, DeGRIB NWS Storm Prediction Center (SPC) Wind Tornado and Hail csv, point So what …. BLUF …OngoingPutting it all together for a weather threat analysis

  20. Thank You Christina McCullough Indiana National Guard christina.mccullough@us.army.mil

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