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Proposition for a FUNCEME’s Participation in Project CLARIS

Proposition for a FUNCEME’s Participation in Project CLARIS. FUNCEME = Fundação Cearense de Meteorologia e Recursos H i dr í cos Fortaleza, Cear á. Cear á. Semi-Arid = 17% of the non covered terrestrial surface by the oceans. Cear á.

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Proposition for a FUNCEME’s Participation in Project CLARIS

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  1. Proposition for a FUNCEME’s Participation in Project CLARIS

  2. FUNCEME = Fundação Cearense de Meteorologia e Recursos Hidrícos Fortaleza, Ceará

  3. Ceará Semi-Arid = 17% of the non covered terrestrial surface by the oceans Ceará Brazilian Semi-Arid = 788.000 Km2 (= 48 % of Nordeste, 9.3 % of Brazil) Cearense Semi-Arid = 136.000 Km2 = 92 % of Ceará

  4. ITCZ 50N 00 50S 100S 150S 200S 250S 0 Trade Winds FMAM AMJJ NDJF Cold Fronts 550W 500W 450W 400W 350W 300W 250W CLIMATIC REGIME OF NORDESTE R C (P. Nobre & N. da Silva Melo, 2004, Pers. Com.)

  5. ENSO 1982-83 Pacific Teleconnection Dry Wet OLR Anomalies (Ronchail, 2005, Pers. Comm.) ENSO 1997-98

  6. Proposition for a Participation of FUNCEME in Project CLARIS FUNCEME’s Potential Participation in CLARIS According Five Tasks: A) Effective Participation in CLARIS 2005-2006: Task 1: CLARIS-WP3.2: A Contribution for Providing Regional Daily Data Base for Climate Trends and Extreme Event Studies (Nordeste) Task 2: CLARIS-WP4.2: Climate and Vector-Borne Epidemics: Action on Dengue in Nordeste B) Expertise – Processing Collaboration in CLARIS 2005-2006 (Effective Participation in Post-CLARIS - after 2006) Task 3: CLARIS-WP3.1: Climate Change Downscalling in the Sub- Tropical (and Tropical) South America Task 4: CLARIS-WP4.1: Climatic Regional Impacts in Agriculture: Action in the Nordeste Semi-Arid C) Effective Participation in Post-CLARIS - after 2006 Task 5: CLARIS-WP4.3: Cloud-Aerosol-Radiation Observation Facility

  7. Proposition for a Participation of FUNCEME in Project CLARIS A) Effective Participation in CLARIS 2005-2006: Task 1: CLARIS-WP3.2:High-quality regional daily data base for climate trends and extreme event studies Principal investigator: Meiry Sayuri Sakamoto (FUNCEME)

  8. Conventional Rain Gauge Network 548 Rain Gauges Fortaleza Site Map of Conventional Rain Gauges

  9. Automatic Data Collection Platform (DCP) Network Fortaleza A total of 76 DCP´s

  10. Daily Soil Humidity Jaguaribe Station Soil Humidity (%) Days of April, 2003 Daily Precipitation Jaguaribe Station Precipitation (mm) Days of April, 2003 Agro-Hydro-Meteorological DCP Sensors - Air Temperature - Relative Humidity - Pressure - Solar Radiation - Wind Velocity - Wind Direction - Precipitation • Water level (pressure sensor) • Water level (ultrasonic sensor) • - Evapotranspiration (estimate) • - Soil Temperature in three levels • - Soil Heat Flux • Soil Humidity

  11. FUNCEME DATA BANK - Rain Gauges Network: since 1974 - DCP Network: since 1999 - Meteosat and NOAA Satellites Images: since1990 Data Request: funceme@funceme.br (meiry@funceme.br) www.funceme.br

  12. Proposition for a Participation of FUNCEME in Project CLARIS A) Effective Participation in CLARIS 2005-2006: Task 2: CLARIS-WP4.2: Climate and Vector-borne Epidemics: A Pilot Action on Dengue in Brazil (Fortaleza, Ceará) = An new IRD-FUNCEME-SESACE-CEVEPI Cooperation including in CATIN (IRD-CNPq) Principal investigators:Jacques Servain (IRD) and Nicolas Degallier (IRD)

  13. Climat Mosquito Dengue Experimentation Impact (hourly/daily) Main objective: To establish a system of alert for the dengue outbreaks

  14. Statistical analysis of meteo data (hourly) and daily cases of dengue (1999-present)

  15. Proposition for a Participation of FUNCEME in Project CLARIS B) Expertise – Processing Collaboration in CLARIS 2005-2006 (Effective Participation in Post-CLARIS - after 2006) Task 3: CLARIS-WP3.1: Climate Change Downscalling in the Sub- Tropical (and Tropical) South America From now: Strong collaboration with CPTEC/INPE, IRI, ECMWF, Other Nordeste’ States, … Principal investigator: Alexandre Araujo Costa (FUNCEME)

  16. Computer Facility at FUNCEME for Downscalling Experiments PC Cluster with 30 CPUs (P4 2.8 GHz ; 512 MB RAM) Total: 7.2 TBytes

  17. Regional Climate Forecast by downscalling: • AGCM ECHAM-4.5 (Max Plank Institute) at IRI • RSM-97 (NCEP) at FUNCEME • Forcing: • Predicted SS • Persisted SST Downscalling: J-F-M-A-M-J IRI RSM= 16°N-21°S, 56°W a 2°E

  18. RAMS Climatic Forecast Global CPTEC Global ECHAM 4.5 RSM-97 Perspective: The “Super-Ensemble”

  19. Proposition for a Participation of FUNCEME in Project CLARIS B) Expertise – Processing Collaboration in CLARIS 2005-2006 (Effective Participation in Post-CLARIS - after 2006) Task 4: CLARIS-WP4.1: Climatic Regional Impacts in Agriculture: A Pilot Action in Nordeste Semi-Arid = In Collaboration with an IRD-FUNCEME Cooperation including in CATIN (IRD-CNPq) Principal Investigator:Eduardo Sávio Passos Rodrigues Martins (FUNCEME)

  20. Methodology

  21. FUNCEME is working within a research and delivery network (CRAMALA) which fully integrates scientists and stakeholders to address comprehensively the issue of climate related risks in agriculture for improving productivity, profitability and risk management Sponsor: IAI Cooperation: IRI See the note « FUNCEME’s Potential Participation in CLARIS » for details

  22. Proposition for a Participation of FUNCEME in Project CLARIS C) Effective Participation in Post-CLARIS - after 2006 Task 5: CLARIS-WP4.3: Cloud-Aerosol-Radiation Interaction Principal investigator: Alexandre Araujo Costa (FUNCEME)

  23. FUNCEME participates in a scientific program of cloud physics and aerosols observations using the facilities of the State University of Ceará (UECE) that includes an instrumented aircraft Bandeirante This aircraft participated in different field campaigns over Northeast Brazil (“Ceará Experiment”) and the Amazon (LBA-SMOCC-EMfiN!)

  24. Parâmetro Medido Sensor(es) Temperatura Rosemount 102AU1AF Pressão Estática Rosemount 1201F Pressão Dinâmica Rosemount 1221F Latitude e Longitude Trimble GPS Temperatura do Ponto de Orvalho EG&G 137-C3-S3 Água Líquida Csiro-King LWC, Johnson Williams CT43 Aerossóis CCNC UW 83-1 Hidrometeoros FSSP-100, OAP-200X, OAP-200Y Radiação de Onda Curta EPPLEY PEP Radiação de Onda Longa EPPLEY PEP

  25. With that instrumented aircraft, FUNCEME could contribute significantly to better understand the physical processes concerning cloud and precipitation development over distinct places in South America See the notes « FUNCEME’s Potential Participation in CLARIS » and “avião-escopo.doc” (in portuguese) for details

  26. In conclusion … • The Participation of FUNCEME in CLARIS (and Post-CLARIS) Could Bring: • A Complete Agro-Hydro-Meteorological Data Set (Ceará, Nordeste) • Extension of the Knowledge in the Climat-Dengue Relationship (with different climatic conditions) • Competence and Cooperation in Downscalling Processes (RSM, RAMS, …) • Experience in Climate-Agriculture Relationship (in association with other partners: IRI, …) • Technical and Scientific Contribution in the Cloud-Aerosol- Radiation Studies (different regions, different conditions)

  27. Furthermore … FUNCEME proposes to organize, at Fortaleza, in June 2006, A Dedicated South America Climate Congress (including CLARIS-2) in collaboration with the EGS (European Geophysical Society) and the CLARIS Community

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