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Tim Bajarin President, Creative Strategies, Inc Email: tim@creativestrategies

The Coming Age of 3 Billion Digital Connected Devices- The Technology Trends That Will Drive Demand for High Speed Broadband. Tim Bajarin President, Creative Strategies, Inc Email: tim@creativestrategies.com www.technologypundits.com Columnist, PC Magazine. 3 Billion Digital Consumers.

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Tim Bajarin President, Creative Strategies, Inc Email: tim@creativestrategies

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  1. The Coming Age of 3 Billion Digital Connected Devices- The Technology Trends That Will Drive Demand for High Speed Broadband. Tim Bajarin President, Creative Strategies, Inc Email: tim@creativestrategies.com www.technologypundits.com Columnist, PC Magazine

  2. 3 Billion Digital Consumers • In 1995, there were only 500 million digital consumers. • By the year 2010, there will be 3 billion connected digital consumers. • This rapid growth drives demand for billions of internet connected devices.

  3. Billions of Connected Devices On The Horizon • By end of 2008, there will be 3 billion cell phone users. • In 2008, 300 million PCs will be sold. (Could sell an additional 300 million to emerging markets) • By 2010,1.8 billion connected devices will be sold annually worldwide. • Worldwide technology spending today is $1.2 Trillion dollars- USD.

  4. Digital Usage Demographics-US

  5. Internet Connectivity Becoming Pervasive • 96% of US homes have Internet connectivity. • ~60% of US homes currently have broadband • Top 25 countries have 50-90% penetration • Korea, Hong Kong ~90% • USA, Canada ~60% • Japan ~60% • China ~6%

  6. Future Connectivity Trends • Broadband connections go mainstream • New Wireless Networks • WiFi • WiMax • 3G and 4G Cellular

  7. “Always Connected” Drives New Expectations • In a connected world, business and consumer expectations change- • They will want access to information and entertainment anytime and anywhere they happen to be.

  8. The Meaning of “Connected” • In the digital age, being connected has two meanings: • Connected to the Internet • Connected to other people • Technology is key to digital lifestyles

  9. Trends:Portable media devices • iPods - 150 million installed base - 50+ million annually through 2008 • MP3 - Additional 10-12 million annually through 2008 • Mobile Internet Device (MID)

  10. Technology Trends • Digital cameras - 111 million sold worldwide, annually through 2008, IDC • Cell Phones- 1.4 billion sold annually worldwide by end of 2008, CTIA data • By 2009,17% will be Smart Phones

  11. More Trends • PC to TV connectivity • Media Extenders • Digital set top boxes with DVR • Console gaming systems

  12. Technology Trends:HDTV & Set top boxes • Digital HDTV - 60 million displays shipped annually by 2010 - IMS Research • Set top boxes- • 15.6 million shipped in 2005-worldwide • 27.5 million shipped in 2006 • Digital HD set top with DVR (N. America) • 6 million shipped in 2005 • 8 million shipped in 2006 • China market • 2.2 million units shipped in 2005 • 9 million units shipped in 2006- InStat Research

  13. The Connected Environment • All devices are connected to the Internet and each other. • These devices deliver various types of content and can have wired or wireless connections.

  14. Customer Touch points • Three “screens” of digital lifestyle • PC - 17-20” TV - 32+” PDA/cell 2-4”

  15. Touchpoint “screens” • All three represent • Accessing • Viewing • Distribution • Control of Content

  16. Optional “fourth” screen(information & entertainment-to-go) • Focus on fourth screen will be on mobile entertainment and information • Intelligent portable information and entertainment device • Common components • Operating system • 3 to 5 inch color screen • Hard drive or flash • Music player • Video player • Connects to PC or digital entertainment center • Wireless internet connectivity • Web browser

  17. Examples of fourth screens • iPod Classic (video) • iPod Touch • Mobile Internet Device (MID) • Asus • BenQ • Portable Gaming Devices • Sony PSP

  18. Fifth “screen” • In-car navigation systems with wireless internet connectivity. • Portable navigation systems with embedded cellular chip. • Dash Navigation • Magellan Navigation

  19. Most Versatile Screen in Home • The Digital Photo Frame • Dumb today, “Smart” tomorrow • Can be hung on refrigerator • Can be taken to the couch for Web surfing • Could be on kitchen counter

  20. IP Address Digital Ecosystem

  21. Consumers want their devices to work together and share content The Digital Eco-System Vision MOBILE MULTIMEDIA Entertainment, Personal Pictures and Video, Services BROADBAND Entertainment, E-Business, Services MEDIA Pre-Recorded Content Personal Media Consumers want their devices to work together and share content Consumers want their devices to work together and share content BROADCAST Services, Entertainment

  22. Highlights • Three billion connected consumers on the horizon. • Each consumer will have at least one connected device, some will have more than one. • All devices will be part of individual’s digital eco-system. • Digital televisions, set top boxes, camera phones, mobile media devices will drive double digit growth in the CE market for the next 5 years.

  23. Major Applications for Broadband • Telemedicine • High Definition video • Telecommuting-video conferencing-distance learning • Environmentally friendly technologies • Information anytime, anywhere you happen to be • Gaming and 3D Social Networks

  24. California Broadband Task Force-Recommended 7 Key Actions • 1. Build out high speed broadband infrastructure to all Californians • Advancing new incentives for deployment and improving existing programs will create a world-class broadband infrastructure in California. • 2. Develop model permitting standards and encourage collaboration among providers • Developing a public-private partnership between local governments and broadband providers to endorse permitting standards will improve the speed with which broadband is deployed. • 3. Increase the use and adoption of broadband and computer technology • Expanding the opportunities for Californians to access, use, and learn broadband, at home and in the community, will provide the foundation for a digitally literate society that is able to fully benefit from broadband technology.

  25. CBTF - 7 Key Actions- continued • 4. Engage and reward broadband innovation and research • Promoting innovative uses of broadband technology and encouraging wider e-government use will result in quality of life improvements, while increasing demand for a robust broadband infrastructure. • 5. Create a statewide e-health network • Implementing a sustainable statewide e-health network will improve quality of care across the state and simultaneously increase demand for broadband services.

  26. CBTF - 7 Key Actions- continued • 6. Leverage educational opportunities to increase broadband use • Ensuring high-capacity broadband connections coupled with a robust technology support system, relevant curriculum, literacy standards, and off-campus educational partnerships will provide California’s students with the skills they need to compete in a 21st century economy. • 7. Continue state-level and statewide leadership • Continuing the California Broadband Initiative and supporting the creation of Community Broadband Leadership Councils will strengthen the statewide leadership necessary to drive broadband access and adoption across California.

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