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CLIMATE CHANGE SERIES. The Arguments. Eric Jackson ejackson@carbonlesspromise.com. Tactics. Misinformation disputed by all major scientific bodies. Quotes out of context. Misuse of statistics. Assertions that environmentalism = socialism.
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CLIMATE CHANGE SERIES The Arguments Eric Jackson ejackson@carbonlesspromise.com
Tactics Misinformation disputed by all major scientific bodies Quotes out of context Misuse of statistics Assertions that environmentalism = socialism Assertions that environmentalism = plot to overthrow US government Assertions that environmentalism = plot by United Nations to take control of the world
Skeptics' disputes of action on climate change are commonly along one or more of the following lines: 1. There is no conclusive evidence that climate change is happening;
Skeptics' disputes of action on climate change are commonly along one or more of the following lines: 2. The changes in measured temperatures are part of the natural cycle;
Skeptics' disputes of action on climate change are commonly along one or more of the following lines: 3. Even if the changes are human induced, the scale is not sufficiently large to make changes beyond sensible "least cost" measures; and
Skeptics' disputes of action on climate change are commonly along one or more of the following lines: 4. The economic impact of making substantial cuts in greenhouse gas emissions on the scale suggested by the IPCC or other groups is too large.
There are several reasons why denial is appealing. The implications of the science are frightening Doubt is an easy product to sell. Climate denial tells us what we all secretly want to hear Science is portrayed as political orthodoxy rather than objective knowledge
In November 2004, leading climate change skeptic Richard Lindzen was quoted saying he'd be willing to bet that the earth's climate will be cooler in 20 years than it is today. When British climate researcher James Annan contacted him, however, Lindzen would only agree to take the bet if Annan offered a 50-to-1 payout
So who are the climate change skeptics? Approximately 30 individuals have been the most quoted leaders of the climate change denial movement.
So who are the climate change skeptics? In the USA, there are two organizations that have taken a leadership role in climate change denial. Competitive Enterprise Institute George C. Marshall Institute
Competitive Enterprise Institute “CEI is a research and advocacy institute dedicated to the principles of free enterprise and limited government. We believe that individuals are best helped not by government intervention, but by making their own choices in a free marketplace."
The Competitive Enterprise Institute produced two 60-second television spots focusing on the “alleged global warming crisis” and the calls by some environmental groups and politicians for reduced energy use. The ads were aired in 14 U.S. cities from May 18 to May 28, 2006. The ads say that polar ice is actually thickening and that CO2 is a good thing.
ExxonMobil’s funding of CEI was $2,005,000 for the period 1998-2005. CEI’s other major efforts include support for the tobacco industry, the pesticide industry, and the pharmaceutical industry
George C. Marshall Institute GMI’s mission is to “encourage the use of sound science in making public policy about important issues for which science and technology are major considerations."
George C. Marshall Institute The earth is now on the brink of entering another Ice Age, according to a large and compelling body of evidence from within the field of climate science.
George C. Marshall Institute ExxonMobil’s funding of GMI was $715,000 for the period 1998-2006.
Is Climate Change Human Caused? Human Caused? Wrong Question? Creation Stewardship?
Climate Change Caused by Humans? Wrong Question! True or False?
RISK MANAGEMENT 101 Yes No ACTION $$$$$$$$$$ False NO BENEFITS $$$$$$$$$$ CATASTROPHE >20-50’ sea rise True >1 B displaced >economic, societal, & health systems collapse
Antarctic Vostok ice core; 2.2 miles deep, 420,000 years of temperature and greenhouse gas data
Expertise Most Reliable Truth Professional organizations Statements that contradict normal bias “Science” Peer-reviewed science “Nature” Proceedings from Nat Acad Science Universities Petitions Think tanks Advocacy groups Individual professional Individual layperson Least Reliable Bias Support for my beliefs
“Global warming is a manageable risk, not an existential crisis, and we should get on with the job of managing it. Conservatives should propose policies that are appropriately optimistic, science-based, and low-cost. This should be an attractive political program: It is.....a reality that Americans usually respond well to the conversion of political issues into technical problems. After all, we’re very good at solving the latter. New Atlantis, Summer 2008
Next in the Climate Change Series.... The Solutions February 1 at 9 and 10:30 AM February 5 at 7 PM Eric Jackson ejackson@carbonlesspromise.com