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The World in 2009: ICT Facts and Figures

The World in 2009: ICT Facts and Figures. Jaroslaw K. PONDER Strategy and Policy Coordinator International Telecommunication Union infoDev/UNCTAD workshop on “Measuring the Broadband Economy” Hammamet, Tunisia 23 November 2009. A decade of ICT growth. Mobile in the developing world.

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The World in 2009: ICT Facts and Figures

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  1. The World in 2009:ICT Facts and Figures Jaroslaw K. PONDER Strategy and Policy CoordinatorInternational Telecommunication Union infoDev/UNCTAD workshop on “Measuring the Broadband Economy” Hammamet, Tunisia 23 November 2009

  2. A decade of ICT growth

  3. Mobile in the developing world • Between 2008 and 2009, mobile cellular penetration in developing countries surpassed the 50% mark to reach an estimated 56% end 2009 • There are now more than twice as many mobile subscriptions in the developing world than in the developed world (3.2 billion vs. 1.4 billion) • China 750 million, India 480 million

  4. Mobile: catching up quickly

  5. Internet and fixed broadband • 26% of world population (1.7 billion people) are using the Internet (64% in developed, 17.5% in developing countries) • 1 billion Internet users in developing countries, one third of which in China • Almost 500 million fixed broadband subscribers globally, China overtook US in 2008 as largest market • Half of the 200 million broadband subscribers in the developing countries are in China • 23.3% broadband penetration in developed countries; 3.5 % penetration in developing countries

  6. Expensive broadband In the developing countries, the monthly cost of fixed broadband is on average 289 PPP$. This corresponds to about 300% of average monthly GNI per capita. In the developed countries, fixed broadband prices correspond to about 2% of average monthly income.

  7. The rise of mobile broadband …

  8. … but not everywhere (yet) • 38.7% mobile broadband penetration in developed countries; 3% penetration in developing countries • Out of 600 million mobile broadband subscriptions, only 160 million in developing countries • Europe: 220 million subscriptions Africa: 13 million subscriptions • Many developing countries have not yet launched 3G licenses • Growing rapidly – numbers will change quickly

  9. Mobile broadband today Enablers of growth: • Competition • New market players • New business models • Falling prices • Growing speeds • Improved QoS • Bundled packages • Flat rates • Cheaper devices Source: ITU World Telecommunication/ICT Indicators Database Top 20 mobile broadband economies (total numbers), 2008

  10. Competition A competitive market environment is key to promote investment, spur growth and extend connectivity Removing market entry barriers & open access policies may speed up market development and provide a win-win scenario for investors, service providers & consumers Additional reforms could ensure a level-playing field for all market players Competition in selected services, 2008 Source: ITU Telecommunication Regulatory Database 11

  11. ICTs at home, 2009 Households People

  12. IMT on the rise Growing variety of: • Technologies • Operators • Commercial IMT networks • Business models (MVNOs, operators sharing network elements, etc.) • Service offers • Subscribers • Networks coverage • Cheaper handsets Source: ITU Trends in Telecommunication Reform 2007: The Road to NGN

  13. Is there still room for growth? Note: Prediction based on one network deployment Source: ITU (2007), "CPM Report on technical, operational and regulatory/procedural matters to be considered by the 2007 World Radiocommunication Conference" Predicted spectrum requirements by the year 2020 for IMT Major new subscribers during 2007 came from BRIC economies Brazil: 15 million Russia: 20 million India: 45 million China: 80 million

  14. Regulatory incentives to promote BWA in developing Countries Market liberalization -- competition drives investment Need to develop/enforce pro-competition regulations Support entry by all interested parties and technologies Wireless access technologies likely to play a key role Encourage small-scale market operation, especially for rural areas More flexible licensing practices, e.g. unified licenses/general authorizations Innovative spectrum practices Infrastructure sharing/Open Access to promote fibre backbones Tax incentives Subsidies: grants for community planning efforts, subsidized or low-interest loans

  15. Services delivered over BWA platforms Voice High-speed Internet access Mobile VoIP Mobile TV, mobile IPTV and multimedia Applications: M-education M-health M-business

  16. More Information http://www.itu.int/ict indicators@itu.int

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