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Please Stand By John Thomas for Macro Millionaire Wednesday, January 5, 2010

Please Stand By John Thomas for Macro Millionaire Wednesday, January 5, 2010. The Webinar will Start at 12:00 EST. Macro Millionaire John Thomas The Mad Hedge Fund Trader. 2011 Asset Class Forecast.

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Please Stand By John Thomas for Macro Millionaire Wednesday, January 5, 2010

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  1. Please Stand ByJohn Thomas for Macro MillionaireWednesday, January 5, 2010 The Webinar will Start at 12:00 EST
  2. Macro MillionaireJohn ThomasThe Mad Hedge Fund Trader 2011 Asset Class Forecast
  3. Macro Millionaire Global Strategy LuncheonsBuy tickets at www.madhedgefundtrader.com January 7, 2011 Las Vegas, NV 12:00 noonFebruary 11, 2011 Orlando, FL 12:00 noon
  4. The Economy *Goldilocks on steroids*5% Global growth*Upgrading the US from 2% to 4%*5%-10% in Asia*Europe dead at 1%*$2 trillion in liquidity
  5. Watch Out for the Black Swans *Performance is front end loaded in Q1*Ten year Treasury bonds go to 5%*Crude hits $120*Bail out of states and cities runs dry*Another country in Europe blows up.*The US government debt ceiling battle*Reversion to the mean*QE2 becomes QE 1 ½*These all may hit at once
  6. Equities *The US is now the country of choice*Focus on financials, energy, food, technology*PE Multiples at 13.2 are historically cheap*Dividend yields are high*Look for $S&P 500 at 1,400*Emerging markets will putter along the China dilemma*Is this a ground hog year?
  7. Will We Triple Top? Are We Trapped in Another Lost Decade?S&P 500 1993-2011
  8. Bonds *Feds have to sell $2.5 trillion in debt this year*Debt service goes from 4% to 16% in 5 years*Ten year Treasuries move from 3.3% to 4.2%*TBT goes from $37 to $52*Corporates-quality rules*Junk-its all about the coupon*Emerging market debt-a safe haven
  9. Ten Year Treasury Yields1962-2011
  10. Currencies Dollar Strength-interest rate rises favor the USEuro weakness (FXE) to $1.10’sYen Weakness (YCS)-interest rates etched in stone at zero looking for move from ¥80 to ¥100Modest Chinese Yuan strength (CYB)Astralian Dollar (FXA) peaking out Do They Know?
  11. Japanese Yen1989-2011
  12. Euro (FXE)2004-2011
  13. Commodities *Nine years into a 20 year bull market*Everything is overbought short term*Oil is the big lagging commodity*Huge demographic push*All surprises to the upside-Australian floodsEnergy-oil, coal, uranium, solar, windFood-wheat, corn, soybeansCopper-(CU), (FCX)
  14. Oil 1990-2011
  15. Precious Metals *Monetary demand is rising*Central bank bidding war continues*Working off a severely overbought condition*Peak gold is upon us*$2,300 an ounce for gold is the chip shot*Silver on the way from $29 to $50 an ounce
  16. Gold in 2010
  17. Real Estate *Entering the double dip*Another 10%-20% decline*Dead money at best*10 year supply overhanging the market*Huge demographic headwind*Bigger fish to fry
  18. Trade Sheet *Stocks-US up, emerging markets consolidating*Bonds-Sell every rally for the next ten years*Commodities- consolidating, major long term uptrend intact*Currencies-sell the yen and euro, Australian dollar overbought *Precious metals-working off overbought condition*Real estate-the next down leg has begun
  19. Macro Millionairewith John Thomaswww.macromillionaire.com
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