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Global Perspective of Biotech/GM Crops and Future Prospects 2010 - 15 th Anniversary of Commercialization

Global Perspective of Biotech/GM Crops and Future Prospects 2010 - 15 th Anniversary of Commercialization. International Service for the Acquisition of Agri-biotech Applications (ISAAA) http://www.isaaa.org. Overview of Presentation . Few introductory/contextual slides

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Global Perspective of Biotech/GM Crops and Future Prospects 2010 - 15 th Anniversary of Commercialization

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  1. Global Perspective of Biotech/GM Crops and Future Prospects 2010 - 15th Anniversary of Commercialization International Service for the Acquisition of Agri-biotech Applications (ISAAA) http://www.isaaa.org

  2. Overview of Presentation • Few introductory/contextual slides • ADOPTION, first 15 years, 1996 - 2010 • IMPACT of Biotech crops • FUTURE – 2011 – 2015 (MDG) • Source: Clive James, 2011

  3. ISAAA – www.isaaa.org • A Not-for-Profit Charity, co-sponsored by public and private sector organizations • ISAAA is a Pro-Choice Organization • Share knowledge freely on crop biotechnologywhilst respecting the rights of others to make their own decisions; ensure that the global community is well informedabout the attributes and potential of the new technologies • MISSION - Contribute to poverty alleviation by increasing crop productivity and income generation, particularly for small resource-poor farmers and to ensure a safer and moresustainable environment Source: Clive James, 2011

  4. The Challenge - Double Crop Production by 2050 – A Strategy • NO SINGLE APPROACHwill suffice to feed 9 billion peoplein 2050 • Conventional crop improvement ALONE will not double crop production by 2050 – GM/BIOTECH CROPS NOT A PANACEA but essential • Successful strategy must have MULTIPLE APPROACHES that address all the principal issues that include: • Population stabilization • Improved food distribution systems • A Technology Component is ESSENTIAL– A crop improvementSTRATEGY THAT INTEGRATES the BEST of the OLD (CONVENTIONAL) and the BEST of the NEW (BIOTECH) to optimize productivity andCONTRIBUTEto food, feed and fiber security Source: Clive James, 2011

  5. Global Society’s Questions re. Biotech Crops • Can biotech crops produce more affordable food, feed and fiber, and are they safe? • Can biotech crops contribute to a more sustainable environment ? • Can biotech crops help with climate change by decreasing CO2 emissions? • Can biotech crops contribute to foodsecurity and to the alleviation of poverty and hunger? Source: Clive James, 2011

  6. ADOPTION • OF • BIOTECH CROPS • 1996 - 2010

  7. Accumulated Global Area of Biotech Crops,1996/10 Biotech Crops Surge Over 1 Billion Hectares in 2010 M Acres 2965 1200 1 Billion Hectares = USA land area 1000 2471 1976 800 600 1482 500 Million Hectares 10 years 5 years 400 988 494 200 0 0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: Clive James, 2011

  8. Colombia* Chile* Honduras* Portugal Czech Republic Poland Egypt* Slovakia Costa Rica* Romania Sweden Germany Global Area (Million Hectares) of Biotech Crops, 2010: by Country Biotech Mega Countries 50,000 hectares , or more Million Hectares USA Brazil* Argentina* India* Canada China* Paraguay* Pakistan* South Africa* Uruguay* Bolivia* Australia Philippines* Myanmar* Burkina Faso* Spain Mexico* 66.8 25.4 22.9 9.4 8.8 3.5 2.6 2.4 2.2 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 29 countries which have adopted biotech crops In 2010, global area of biotech crops was 148 million hectares, representing an increase of 10% over 2009, equivalent to 14 million hectares. Increase over 2009 Less than 50,000 hectares 10% Source: Clive James, 2010. * Developing countries

  9. SUMMARY– 2010 HIGHLIGHTS • 1 billionth hectare planted in 2010 – same area as USA • Increase from 25 to 29 countries; 3 new: Pakistan, Myanmar and Sweden, and Germany resumed planting • Strong 10% growth = 14 m. has.– 2nd largest gain ever. • 87-fold increase from 1996 to 2010 – fastest adopted crop technology • Top 10 countries each >1 m. has., 8 are developing • 15.4 mill. biotech farmers, up 1.4 mill. – 90% or 14.4 million were small and resource-poor farmers • Stacked traits–11 countries, 32 million hectares (22%) Source: Clive James, 2011

  10. IMPACT OF BIOTECH CROPS

  11. GLOBAL IMPACT of BIOTECH CROPS Source: Brookes and Barfoot forthcoming, and Clive James, 2011 • IMPROVED PRODUCTIVITY AND INCOME – Farm income gains of $65 billion from 1996 to 2009, of which 44% was due to cost reduction and 56% due to a production gain of 229 million tons; benefits conservative due spill-over from biotech to conventional. • PROTECT BIODIVERSITY– Double crop production on same area of 1.5 billion hectares of crop land –save forests/biodiversity – 13 m. has. loss/year in dev countries – 229 mill tons would have required an additional 75 mill hectares – a land saving technology • ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT– Reduce need for external inputs - Saving of 393 mill. kg pesticidesfrom 1996/2009 - 9% saved • - Saved 18 bill. kg C02in 2009 -contribution to climate change • - Conservation of soil & WATER thru biotech + no/low till • SOCIAL BENEFITS • - Contribution to poverty alleviation of 14.4 million small resource-poor farmers in 2010 & welfare benefits emerging

  12. THE FUTURE 2011 - 2015, THE REMANING FIVE YEARS OF THE SECOND DECADE OF COMMERCIALIZATION 2015, The Millennium Development Goals Year

  13. The Future –2011-2015. A WAVE OF NEW & IMPROVED BIOTECH CROPS • Many new crop/trait options will be ready before 2015 • Drought tolerance–principal trait–maize in US 2012/13 • Biotech rice –majorcrop, up to 1 billion beneficiaries • Quality traits–Golden Rice in 2013, omega-3, others • More biotech crops developed by countries from the South in public inst. – more South-South cooperation • Biotech applications for “Speeding the breeding”–MAS and biotech crops, to provide a faster response to more severe and rapid changes in climate change • Asia will grow more in 2nd decade than first decade Source: Clive James, 2011

  14. ISAAA Prediction for 2nd Decade, 2006-2015 Source: Clive James, 2011

  15. Biotech crops, are a product of INNOVATION“the ability to manage change as anopportunity, not as a threat”

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