1 / 51

CAMPAIGNS AND ELECTIONS

CAMPAIGNS AND ELECTIONS. The first Tuesday after the first Monday. The process- president. 1. Campaign and debate for primary elections Candidate for the two major parties chosen by primary process Conventions- formally nominate and promote candidate Campaign and debate for general election

osman
Download Presentation

CAMPAIGNS AND ELECTIONS

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. CAMPAIGNS AND ELECTIONS The first Tuesday after the first Monday.

  2. The process- president 1. Campaign and debate for primary elections Candidate for the two major parties chosen by primary process Conventions- formally nominate and promote candidate Campaign and debate for general election Election day Electoral College formality

  3. TYPES OF ELECTIONS • PRIMARY- Decides which candidate party prefers in the general election. • Closed- only vote within party • Open- vote either party, but only one party- Ind can vote too • Blanket primary- vote either party and cross over on ballot. • Beauty contest- Vote not binding, just a preference

  4. CAUCUS?? We know that primary thing. What the heck is a caucus? Can you believe this?

  5. Primary election ideological stances are more extreme, as only motivated vote

  6. The debates are a test

  7. GENERAL ELECTION- Primary winner from each party run for the office at stake

  8. Following primary/caucus season the party has a huge party: The Convention: 1. Choose candidate- confirm choice of voters 2. create platform 3. Advertise, advertise, advertise 4. Get away from home-party!!

  9. Typical convention activity:

  10. Or this:

  11. Or this:

  12. Or even this:

  13. And finally:

  14. Who are these goofs in the funny hats? Primary elections choose them, not presidential candidate Typically proportional to vote won in state Dems have superdelegates too- party leaders who go to convention and vote as they choose. 20% of delegates in 2008. Protect establishment

  15. General election requires a move to the center to attract the less motivated, less passionate

  16. Consequently, primary elections require different lies than the general election I lied, then I lied differently

  17. HE’S THE MAN! • Choosing a Presidential candidate: • 50 separate state elections- exhausting but allows for every voice to be heard • States use PRIMARY or CAUCUS

  18. Frontloading: Primaries not washing machines • Start earlier and earlier • 1968 RFK announced candidacy in March but now candidates are chosen by then, with 70% chosen by then • NH primary- • 1968 March 11 • 1980 February 26 • 2004 January 8 • Hurts unknowns, helps well funded, hurts slow starter, hurts process as we don’t see them under fire

  19. So why frontload? Thought is that you settle early so candidate can save money and avoid protracted ugly campaign against people that are actually allies.

  20. And who do we/they choose Shankar Vedantam – Wash Post GOP chooses established well known national figure (Bush, Reagan, McCain etc) Dems choose lesser knowns, with little DC background ( Clinton, Carter, Obama), someone who starts off unknown

  21. Who do we choose ( con’t) Two contrary forces- 1 . Electable candidate 2. appease party extremists- they are people who raise money, campaign, dock on doors… Think Tea party- they are passionate but can they choose an electable candidate? Easier when party chose candidate but now it is the public.

  22. WHAT DECIDES ELECTIONS? Many say “ vote the man.” Lies!! 1976 NAT DEM REP CARTER 51 80 11 FORD 49 20 89 2000 NAT DEM REP GORE 49 86 8 BUSH 48 11 91

  23. LETS’ PARTY!! • Party is the major factor but democrats don’t always win despite 48% to 40% lead is registered voters. • Dems less wed to party • Independents often prefer GOP • Higher % of GOP voters actually vote

  24. WHATS’S YOUR ISSUE? • Broad issues predominate • Economy is #1 ( It’s the economy stupid”) • war important too • Retrospective voting- “How has he done?” • Prospective voting- “What will he do?”

  25. The economy and voting for President

  26. JUMP ON AND TAKE A RIDE Coattails: Popular president has ability to drag in others from same party on his/her coattails. - effect is in decline

  27. BOY SCOUT DINNER? YUMMY Constituency services get votes at local level. Communication in the community Franking- Mailing stuff for free

  28. That aint chump change Funding a campaign: Hard money vs soft money: Hard is given directly to a campaign, soft is nebulous , unregulated money spent on issues, party building etc. 2002 McCain/Feingold eliminated soft money….but not really

  29. McCain/Feingold..DOA Bipartisan campaign Reform Act of 2002- outlawed soft money and restricted hard money 1. Eliminated soft money 2. Prohibited corporations from broadcast electioneering within 60 days of election

  30. They are so darn tricky Soft money lives!!- 527 organizations ( named for section in the tax code) run // campaigns ex.- Swift Boat veterans, Moveon.org Citizens United v. Federal Election Commission- 5-4 ruling that corporations can not be restricted- 1st amendment!!!

  31. And the cost is?

  32. Want to be President? Put your hand out

  33. Presidential campaign 2008

  34. PAC’S PAC’SPAC’SPAC’S Political Action Committee- run by corporations, unions, politicians etc. Raise money for candidates 2008 limits $5,000 to an individual per election cycle $15,000 to the party Typically give to those that help the most- buying influence Gee,I wonder why these guys are getting big money

  35. PAC contribution limits

  36. PAC’S PAC’S PAC’S PAC’S

  37. Who Loves Politicians?

  38. Little BUNDLE of Joy Bundling- When a donor maxes out he gets friends, employees etc to donate and he presents the donation in one big bundle. BINGO, influence is purchased Bundle of influence

  39. Super PAC’s PACs give money to politicians, Super PAC’s do not PAC’s have those nasty spending limits, Super PAC’s do not 2012 Super PAC spending just through FEBRUARY!!! Are you kidding me?

  40. Confused? Absolutely PAC :funnel campaign contributions directly to candidates. Corporations cannot contribute directly to PACs but can sponsor a PAC for employee donations. Annual donations are limited to $5,000 from individuals, whose names and contributions must be disclosed. Bundling likely Super PAC:raise and spend unlimited amounts on politics, must operate independently of candidates and cannot contribute to individual candidates. Donors must be disclosed to the FEC 527 group: can run political ads with unlimited individual and corporate contributions but must disclose donors to the IRS.

  41. REAL OR POLLYANISH? Wilson argues PAC’s are so numerous that politicians can take money and still vote as they please. PAC’s only make up 27% of all contributions. Think back to the article about the super committee. Can Wilson be right?

  42. What about Congress? 100 Senators 435 in House of Representatives- each represents about 600,000 people. Every 10 years a new census is done to determine representation. Gerrymandering and malapportionment

  43. Gerrymandering Districts drawn in an odd manner to benefit one candidate or party over another.

  44. The game is the same, the board is different

  45. “Political Pornography” Wall St Journal

  46. What Maryland was

  47. Maryland’s new mess

More Related