Information Peacekeeping: A Nobel Objective

1. 112 awards, 103 years (1901> 20 organizational awards UN elements 5 (PKF ’88) Red Cross 4 Doctors w/o Borders ’99 ICBL (Land Mines) ‘97 Pugwash Conf. ‘’95 International Physicians ’85 Amnesty International ’77 In’t Labor Org. ’69 Quakers (2), ’47 Nansen (NO) Refugees ’38 19 years with no award (18%) US 22, CH 12, UK 10, IE 5, FR 8, SE 5, BE 4, DE 4, ZA 4, IL 3, CA 2, NL 2, NO 2 Focus of Effort: 28 peace organization 19 conflict resolution 15 human rights, 14 relief 9 arbitration, 6 disarmament 5 refugees, 4 nuclear 2 pacifism, 2 land mines Information Aspect: 23 direct engagement on ground 22 negotiation, 18 documentation 12 personal, 7 educational, 5 author, 5 publicity, 4 media Information Peacekeeping:A Nobel Objective

2. Complex Emergencies 32 Countries Water Scarcity & Contaminated Water** Refugees/Displaced 66 Countries Ethnic Conflict 18 Genocides Today** Food Security 33 Countries Resource Wars, Energy Waste & Pollution** Modern Plagues* 59 Countries & Rising Corruption Common 80 Countries Child Soldiers 41 Countries Censorship Very High 62 Countries *State of the World Atlas (1997), ** Marq de Villier (Water), John Heidenrich and Greg Stanton (Genocide), Michael Klare et al (Resources), all others from PIOOM Map 2002 Top Ten ChallengesTerrorism is the Least of Our Worries

3. Policy OpportunitiesWe Can Leverage US Dollars—But You Have to Help… Global War of Terrorism • ODSI (Dr. Stephen Cambone) wants universal coverage down to the neighborhood level Transition to and from War • DoD Directive 3000.cc (draft) is on target • C4I needed to NGOs, PMCs, locals, etc. • Foreign open sources of information vital DoD GIG Good But Needs to Evolve Faster • Can’t collect/connect the dots on the fly • Can’t cycle connected dots back to the field • Global grid runs from too fat to not at all

5. Religions & Clans National NGO & Media Military Academic Law Enforcement Business Seven Information Tribes:The Way Ahead

6. National TribeGovernment • Spies & Secrets are the smallest part of government • Government information is owned by the people, not the “State” • National Institute of Health (NIH) now demands all research be published via Open Access • Accountability at all levels is going to rise dramatically in next 5 years

7. Military TribeArmed Forces & Gendarme/Guard • Military’s greatest value is in maps & charts as well as digital elevation data • NGA is in process of taking mapping off the market—you must all file demarches at the national level • Military can also provide C4I “hub” for PKI WAN/LAN open to all parties. • Swedish Military Academy can provide common training for all • Military information “process” is priceless • Border patrol observation is priceless

8. Law Enforcement TribeINTERPOL, EUROPOL, Provincial & Local Police • Must improve pay across the board—street cops must be “perfect” and protected from temptation—while also being ruthless with political corruption • Synthetic information and aggregate data mining do not violate privacy • Greatest obstacle is amount of hard-copy files and lack of digital tools at the precinct level—need US funding • Metrics, coordination of effort, do not violate privacy—we must have a common view of the battlefield, and global “hot pursuit”

9. Business TribeBusiness Information Managers—Not Only BI/CI • Client information is reasonably “top secret” • Pricing information (discounts not made public) also • Cost information can be shared in aggregate ways • External information generally ignored—imagine if all general managers shared their insights into local political, economic, cultural, and demographic situation?

10. Academic TribeResearch, Distance Learning, Student Projects • In the US, academics have identified $50B a year in import-export tax fraud/money laundering • Academic data mining is the fastest cheapest means of discovering anomalies while learning new means of discovery • We are wasting hundreds of billions around the world in duplicate, badly managed, academic studies that are neither digitized properly, nor shared • Fixing this alone will double what we can know about our most serious issues

11. NGO-Media TribeGround Truth Observation & Investigation • UN aid workers can be immature and spend too much time partying. • UN information constitutes the largest garbage pit in the world—but if we can connect it, use it, it becomes an information goldmine • Red Cross, Green Peace, Amnesty International, Doctors without Borders, ECCP—these are the real-world information leaders • Media publishes 10% of what it knows—we have to get at the other 90% via shared networks • “Eyes on target” is the gold standard

12. Citizen-Labor-Religion TribeNeighborhoods, Collectives, and Faith-Based Networks • The ultimate intelligence network is public—”intelligence minutemen” • Labor unions & other collectives have the power to match governments and corporations with public intelligence • Faith-based networks—B’Nai Brith, Islam, the Catholic Church, Evangelicals, Pentecostals, all have information power that is not properly processed nor shared • Where we have gone wrong is in thinking that organizations control information—they do not. Weber is dead—we are free if we wish to be…

13. 1. NETWORK ARCHITECTURE: • processing in the bit stream • interoperation • 4. COMMERCIAL COLLECTION: • open source feeds • special collection • 2. SEMANTIC ARCHITECTURE: • text-capable • scaled • 3. INFORMATION ARCHITECTURE: • incorporates open sources, on and off line • matches global real time knowledge to individual situations Three ArchitecturesOne Global Data Capture Service

14. Connecting the Dots 24/7, All Levels HUMINT SIGINT IMINT MASINT OSINT OPS OTHER Point of Entry Raw Produces Actionable Intelligence Processed Raw OPINTEL Finished Intelligence Policy Package Public Perception Dots need to be connecting at every level, Including immediately upon ingestion. Today, one third of the dots connect here. (Collect 2/3rd, spill half—some say 80%) HUMINT SIGINT IMINT MASINT OSINT OPS OTHER

15. Open Literature Non-Text Data Restricted Information Revision Tracking and Realtime Group Review Desktop Publishing and Word Processing Production of Graphics, Videos and Online Briefings Detection of Changing Trends Structured Argument Analysis Notetaking and Organizing Ideas Collaborative Work Interactive Search and Retrieval of Data Graphic and Map-Based Visualization of Data Modeling and Simulations OLD: NEW: Intelligent Network Enables Applications At All Points Clustering and Linking of Related Data Statistical Analysis to Reveal Anomalies Detection of Alert Situations Conversion of Paper Documents to Digital Form Automated Foreign Language Translation Processing Images, Video, Audio, Signal Data Automated Extraction of Data Elements From Text and Images Standardizing and Converting Data Formats On-the-fly Analytic Tools Applied At All Points

16. SERVICE CLUSTER INTELLIGENCE CLUSTER R2 CG J-2 J-3 NGO CLUSTER CIVIL CLUSTER JICC J-1 MP J-5 CA J-4 Eng J-6 IT LAW ENFORCEMENT CLUSTER COALITION CLUSTER Inter-Agency CollaborationDoD Directive 3000.cc Opens New Doors 80% Unclassified Information

17. NNE 1509 3921 7502 Alt 11,004 Bridge: Clear Village: Friendly Over Hill: E Plt Defilade: OnStar Everyone Has Information NeedsMany of those needs are common to more than one party. We’re concerned about all information needs, not just “intelligence” requirements.

18. Regional Information Center Deputy for Counterintelligence Japan Deputy for Covert Action Thailand

19. Overlay & Virtually Integrate: African Early Warning & Open Source Information Network African Regional Intelligence Center Joint Analysis Center Molesworth Chief: South Africa Deputy Chief: North Africa Collection: East Africa Processing: West Africa Analysis: Central Africa Counter-I: TBD Covert Action: TBD Suez Team: Egypt Gibralter Team: Spain [Positions rotate every 3 years] Ronald Kasrils, Minister for Intelligence Services Republic of South Africa To Singapore To Montevideo

20. Information Peacekeeping Through Collective Intelligence