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Pliocene , El Niño and Northern / Southern Hemisphere Glaciation. Mirjam Kosch Florian Suter Alexander Umbricht Andy Eigenmann. Questions. Will the present warm conditions terminate soon, to be followed by the next ice age?
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Pliocene, ElNiñoand Northern / Southern HemisphereGlaciation Mirjam Kosch Florian Suter Alexander Umbricht Andy Eigenmann
Questions • Will the present warm conditions terminate soon, to be followed by the next ice age? • Will the onset of the next ice age be inhibited by the current rise in the atmospheric concentration of GHG induced by humans? • Will that rise restore the warm conditions of the early Pliocene?
Outline • Methods • Southern Hemisphere glaciation • Opening of the Drake Passage • Northern Hemisphere glaciation • Pliocene paradoxon • Hypotheses for Greenland glaciation • Questions and Discussion
d18O • Terrestrial water enriched in light 16O • Seawater enriched in heavier 18O • Compare 18O/16O of sample with 18O/16O of standard (fossils) University of Vermont
Neodymium Isotopes • eNd(143Nd/144Nd) • Oceanic basins with distinct eNd-values • Crusts and fossil fish teeth preserve eNd-values of bottom water • Bassin connections Wikipedia, 2009
IceRaftedDebris (IRD) • Objects deposited on/within ice shield (Debris) • Iceberg calves • Drifting and melting • Debris deposited onto bottom of the water body Wikipedia, 2009
The Drake Passage • Separation of South America and Antarctica • Estimated opening: 49 – 17 Ma • Enables Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) Wikipedia, 2009
The Drake Passage – Indications • Tracking Pacific Seawater • Neodymium ratio eNd • Pacific eNd: -3 to -5 • Atlantic eNd: approximately -9 • Fossil fish teeth gained from sediments • High resolution of benthic Nd signal
The Drake Passage – other possible Influences • Weathering • In general not high enough • Exception: volcanic ash
The Drake Passage – other possible Influences • Weathering • In general not high enough • Exception: volcanic ashes • Water influx from the Indian Ocean • Water influx from the Panama Seaway
The Drake Passage – other possible Influences • Weather • In general not high enough • Exception: volcanic ashes • Water influx from the Indian Ocean • Water influx from the Panama Seaway
The Drake Passage – Feedbacks • Enhancement of nutrition upwelling • Stimulation of the biological pump • Lowering of the atmospheric CO2-concentration • Possible reduction of oceanic heat flux
Pliocene Paradox • Early Pliocene (5-3 Ma) showed a very different climate state even though the external forcings were practically the same as today.
Climate in early Pliocene (5-3 Ma) • Similarities with today’s climate: • Intensity of sunlight incident on Earth • Global geography • Atmospheric concentration of CO2 • Differences with today’s climate • Higher globally averaged temperatures • No continental glaciers on Northern Hemisphere • Sea level 25 m higher • Permanent El Niño
Climate in late Pliocene (after 3 Ma) • Cooling in the globally averaged temperatures • Collapse of permanent El Niño • Decreasing in atmospheric concentration of CO2 • Appearance of continental glaciers in the Northern Hemisphere
Hypotheses for the Climate Change • Panama Seaway hypothesis • ENSO hypothesis • Uplift hypothesis • CO2 hypothesis
Panama Seaway Hypothesis I • Tectonically driven closure between 13 Ma and 2.5 Ma • Change in salinity gradient • Increase of northward heat transport • Warmer, more evaporative surface water • Increased atmospheric moisture • More snowfall • Increased ice volume in Greenland
Panama Seaway Hypothesis II • Increased northward transport of warm water • Increased summer temperature • Increased evaporation • Significantly increased snowfall
Panama Seaway Hypothesis III Open Panama Seaway • Reduction of ice volume • Warmer summer temperatures lead to an increased ablation • Increased snowfall only leads to a small increase in ice volume Closed Panama Seaway
ENSO Hypothesis • Permanent El Niño state during early Pliocene retarded the onset of Northern Hemisphere glaciation • Loss of permanent El Niño state acted as positive forcing for the onset of glaciation
Key Parameters of El Niño Normal Pacific pattern El Niño conditions NOAA
El Niño as contributor to warm conditions • More convective clouds over EEP • Increasing of atmospheric water vapour • Reduced area covered by stratus clouds • Decreasing albedo of the planet
Tropical-Extratropical Coupling • In equilibriumthelossofheat in highlatitudesbalancesthegainofheat in lowlatitudeupwellingregions
Increase in high latitude heat loss Increase in equatorial heat gain Shallower equatorial thermocline Changes in Oceanic Heat Transport • Decrease in high latitude heat loss • Decrease in equatorial heat gain • Deeper equatorial thermocline
Collapse of Permanent El Niño I • Due to global cooling during Cenozoic the temperature of deep ocean decreased • Shoaling of the thermocline • At 3 Ma BP the thermocline became so shallow that wind could bring cold water to the surface in upwelling zones
Collapse of Permanent El Niño II • Only small changes in summer temperature • Northward shift of the Atlantic storm track • Small increase in precipitation, especially in the south
Collapse of Permanent El Niño III Permanent El Niño • Small reduction of ice volume Fluctuation El Niño
Uplift Hypothesis I • Uplift of the Rocky Mountains and the Himalaya • Larger Rossby Wave amplitude • Jet-stream deflection • Cooler air masses www.daukas.com
Uplift Hypothesis II • Cooling in Canada, North Atlantic and Greenland • Generally drier climate over Greenland • Northward deflection of Atlantic storm track leads to greater precipitation over southern Greenland
Uplift Hypothesis III Before tectonic uplift • Increase in snow cover • Cooler summer temperatures lead to less ablation • More precipitation over southern Greenland After tectonic uplift
CO2 Hypothesis I • Decreased radiative forcing • Lowered concentration of atmospheric CO2 • Cooler melt-season temperature • Decreased ablation • Net annual accumulation
CO2 Hypothesis II • Global cooling of 1.3 °C • Decrease in Greenland summer temperatures • Great temperature response at high latitudes, due to albedo feedbacks • Decrease in precipitation (globally and in Greenland)