DIRCO Departmental Annual Performance Plan 2013-2014

1. DIRCODepartmental Annual Performance Plan 2013-2014 Presented to the Parliamentary Portfolio Committee on International Relations & Cooperation by Ambassador JM Matjila Director-General 24 April 2013

2. Overview • Situational Analysis • Programme 1 : Administration • Programme 2: International Relations • Programme 3: International Cooperation • Programme 4: Public Diplomacy & Protocol Services • Programme 5 : International Transfers

3. Situational Analysis • Global environment characterised by major shifts in global, political, social, economic and cultural dynamics which include: • New Economic Powers • New Media and Social networks • Environmental Change • Heightened demand for scarce resources • Changing nature of conflict and insecurity • New economic powers influencing the balance of the global distribution of power resulting in the formation of new political and economic groupings • Challenging the established political and economic order and placing pressure on international organisations to reflect new realities • SA and African economies increasingly linked to these new economic powers • Proliferation of regional and preferential trading blocs leading to increased intra regional trade but to the exclusion of others

4. Situational Analysis (cont) • Globalisation continues to shape the world notwithstanding the global economic crisis • The convergence of information platforms, globalised media and social networking has a major impact on governance, economic activity and mobilisation across social, cultural and religious and national boundaries e.g. (MENA Region) • The Middle East remains in turmoil, exacerbated by the Arab uprisings, primarily in North Africa, Bahrain, Syria and Yemen. The oil-rich countries of the Gulf, are addressing concerns about the impact that the regional developments may have on them through a massive increase in social spending. • Military conflict continues in the Syrian Arab Republic and it is expected that post-conflict Syria will be characterised by social upheaval and sectarian violence. • Iran remains isolated in the face of perceptions that they are playing a destabilizing regional role. International sanctions against Iran will remain until the country has made significant concessions to its nuclear programme. • Natural and man-made disasters are impacting on all aspects of human development particularly food security • Conflict between environment and development clearly visible in climate change negotiations • Increasing resource driven competition

5. Situational Analysis (cont) • Debt crisis give rise to deep divisions between Northern and Southern Europe over future of economic policy- stimulation through increase in debt vs. austerity • Rising nationalistic tendencies in Europe • In Asia increased tensions over disputed territories in the South China Sea • The situation between the two Koreas remains tense since the testing of a nuclear device by the DPRK on 12 February 2013 and joint military exercises between the US and South Korea. • US shifting some of its military assets to Asia to counter-balance China, particularly navy & air force • China’s economy is the largest in the region(second in the world after the United States) – however, growing concern over the debts of local governments, which has reached US $1.2 trillion • Japan using quantitative easing to stop deflation and make Japanese exports more competitative

6. Situational Analysis (cont) • The environment of the global governance system remains under threat from unilateralist tendencies as well as a gradual erosion of multilateral programmes • Global economic, financial, food, energy and other crises add to the burden of developing countries in addressing poverty alleviation, inequality and employment creation • This global rebalancing of power and influence has been taking shape for decades, but has been accentuated by the global economic and financial crisis that cannot be resolved bilaterally – the multilateral arena has thus become the primary area of contestation • The African continent has seen a significant advancement in democracy and good governance as demonstrated by the increasing number of credible elections

7. Situational Analysis (cont) • The other significant threat to stability on the continent is the rise of terrorist groups such as Al-Shabaab, Al Qaeda, Boko Haram and the LRA • The economy on the continent has shown strong growth in recent years and Africa is accepted as the new global growth region. However, political instability inhibits the continent from reaching its full potential • There has been greater effort in integrating the various economies in Africa through negotiation of inter-regional blocks, e.g. COMESA, EAC and SADC Treaty. • Peace and security challenges persist in the DRC, Nigeria, Mali, Ivory Coast, Sudan, CAR, Somalia and others

8. Situational Analysis (cont) • Unconstitutional change of governments continue and armed secessionist groups continue to be a threat - Mali, and Nigeria • The human development index in Africa very low and will continue to hamper economic development and poverty alleviation • The Continent is unlikely to meet its MDGs • Emerging economies like the BRICS are causing a paradigm shift, amid an ongoing world economic crisis, and institutions like the BRICS Development Bank could further accelerate Africa’s development

9. Population in 1980 for selected countries (World Bank)

10. Population in 2011 for selected countries (World Bank)

14. Global Trade Linkages (Regional Economic Outlook, IMF October 2012) For each country, bubble size is proportional to the number of countries for which it is an important export destination. The arrows point to the receiving country. Line thickness indicates export values relative to the exporter’s GDP. Red (blue) lines indicate exports to (from) South Africa. Green lines represent other bilateral trade above 1 percent of exporter’s GDP.

38. GDP of countries hosting South African Missions (World Bank) (Taiwan not recorded by World Bank, No 2011 data for Cuba, Iran or Libya)

39. Programme 1 Administration

40. 2013 ENE Allocations

41. Baseline Assessment

42. HR Performance

43. DTRD

44. Programme 2International RelationsBilaterals

45. Strengthen Political and Economic Relations

46. Strengthen Political and Economic Relations

47. Strengthen Political and Economic Relations (cont) : Branch Africa Bilateral

48. Strengthen Political and Economic Relations Branch: Asia & Middle East

49. Strengthen Political and Economic Relations Branch: Asia & Middle East

50. Strengthen & overview of Political and Economic Relations Branch: Asia & Middle East