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Trieste, February 10, 2004

Trieste, February 10, 2004. ICTP. The Future of Telecommunications. Roberto Saracco. A Changing Environment. Let’s look around Disruptions ahead. Business Transformation. Roberto Saracco. What is a Technology?. Chip Evolution (xHz; Hyperthread, Bus; W, …). Design (CAD, Clock ,…).

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Trieste, February 10, 2004

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  1. Trieste, February 10, 2004 ICTP The Future of Telecommunications Roberto Saracco

  2. A Changing Environment Let’s look around Disruptions ahead Business Transformation Roberto Saracco

  3. What is a Technology? Chip Evolution (xHz; Hyperthread, Bus; W, …) Design (CAD, Clock ,…) Packaging (Soldering, Casing,…) Manufacturing (Clean Room, Vibration,…) Assembling (Pins, Contact,…) Lithographic Process (Masking, nm, Wafer size,…)

  4. electrods electrods ThinFilm polymer The Storage Growth

  5. The CELL The growth of the processing power Offer vs Demand

  6. A grain of rice Microchip The growth of sensors

  7. The growth of image based communications

  8. The growth of image based communications

  9. The (slow) growth of “powering”

  10. The growth of connectivity UWB

  11. Peer to Peer at the nth power Workstations Computing PCs connected in LANs PDAs Mainframe PCs connected to Internet GRID TCP/IP Networking Public Network / LAN Internet TINA GLOBUS NAPSTER Intelligent Network Application Parallel computers MOSAIC CORBA 1960 1970 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2008 2010 2020

  12. Master Card Kodak … …so what? Nokia MS TIM Terminals: Branded? Serv. vs Products ‘05 ‘20 ‘15 ‘10

  13. …so what? Shorter life cycle Terminals Branded? Serv. vs Products ‘05 ‘20 ‘15 ‘10

  14. …so what? Terminals as … gateways Shorter Life Cycle Terminals: Branded? Serv. vs Products ‘05 ‘20 ‘15 ‘10

  15. …so what? Terminals as … smart directory Drawing from Friedmann Mattern Terminals as … gateways Shorter Life Cycle Terminals: Branded? Serv. vs Products ‘05 ‘20 ‘15 ‘10

  16. …so what? Terminals as … network nodes Terminals as … smart directory Terminali come … gateways Shorter Life Cycle Terminals: Branded? Serv. vs Products ‘05 ‘20 ‘15 ‘10

  17. …so what? Terminals = …network Terminals as … network nodes Terminals as … smart directory Figura da Friedmann Mattern Terminals as … gateways Shorter Life Cycles Terminals: Branded? Serv. vs Products ‘05 ‘20 ‘15 ‘10

  18. Disruptions:Unlimited Bandwidth (on wireless) • Measuring vs perceiving Bandwidth • Fixed lines – Backbones – local loop • Wireless – untethered connectivity • Local storage

  19. Disruptions:Unlimited Bandwidth (on wireless) • Technological Enabling Factors • Advances in theoretical studies on propagation • Terminals as network nodes • Cognitive Radio • Software Radio • Mesh Networks

  20. Disruptions:Unlimited Bandwidth (on wireless) • Technological Enabling Factors • Market Driven Factors • Need for ubiquitous connectivity • Emergence of a variety of local operators • Great variety in traffic demand

  21. Disruptions:Unlimited Bandwidth (on wireless) • Technological Enabling Factors • Market Driven Factors • Industry Impact • Incumbent Mobile Operators • New Mobile Operators • Service and Product industry • Regulatory Framework

  22. Disruptions:Unlimited Bandwidth (on wireless) • Technological Enabling Factors • Market Driven Factors • Industry Impact • Market Sectors Affected • Wearable Devices • Any Mobile Object • Healthcare • Education • Environment monitoring • ….

  23. To know more…. http://fistera.jrc.eshttp://fistera.telecomitalialab.com

  24. To know more…. http://fistera.jrc.eshttp://fistera.telecomitalialab.com

  25. Trieste, February 10, 2004 ICTP The Future of Telecommunications Roberto Saracco

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