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Dr. Alexis Fillone . De La Salle University-Manila

ESTIMATION OF CO-BENEFIT FROM BUS RAPID TRANSIT INTRODUCTION IN METRO MANILA USING IGES’ CO-BENEFIT GUIDELINE. by. Dr. Alexis Fillone . De La Salle University-Manila Prof. Dr. Atsushi Fukuda, Nihon University, Japan Dr. Tetsuhiro Ishizaka, Nihon University, Japan

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Dr. Alexis Fillone . De La Salle University-Manila

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  1. ESTIMATION OF CO-BENEFIT FROM BUS RAPID TRANSIT INTRODUCTION IN METRO MANILA USING IGES’ CO-BENEFIT GUIDELINE by • Dr. Alexis Fillone. De La Salle University-Manila • Prof. Dr. Atsushi Fukuda, Nihon University, Japan • Dr. Tetsuhiro Ishizaka, Nihon University, Japan • Mr. HidenoriIkeshita, Nihon University, Japan

  2. Summary of Presentation • Potential BRT Projects for Metro Manila • Methodology • Co-Benefit Analysis of a Transport Project using IGES Guideline • Application of Co-Benefit Analysis to a proposed BRT Project • Summary of Findings/Recommendations

  3. Positive Impacts of BRT • High level of service at low cost • Less boarding time • Equal opportunity to access • Reduction of traffic accidents • Reduction in some pollutants • Efficiency and customer satisfaction

  4. Potential BRT Projects for Metro Manila Source: USAID and NCTS Study • 426-km of Bus Rapid Transit routes • Estimated Total Cost is P55 Billion • Typical characteristics/design of proposed BRT lines - segregated median busways with median stations, pre-boarding fare collection and fare verification, free transfers between corridors, competitively-bid concessions, high-frequency service and low-station dwell times, clean bus technologies and modal integration

  5. Source: USAID and NCTS Study Proposed BRT Routes (2 Pilot Projects) • C-5 (SLEX– Commonwealth Ave.) • EDSA-Binangonan

  6. BRT Project Proposal Source: USAID and NCTS Study Case Study Focused on C-5 BRT • Two Pilot Routes • 21-km C-5 (South Luzon Expressway – Commonwealth Avenue in Quezon City) route • 24-km Edsa – Binangonan (Rizal) route • No. of Stations • 16 stations (C-5 BRT) • 18 stations (Edsa-Binangonan BRT) • Estimated Cost (per kilometer) in Construction • P129.33 million (C-5) • P139.07 million (Edsa-Binangonan)

  7. Proposed C-5 BRT (in EMME 3) UP-Diliman EMME3 – is an Urban Transport Planning software SLEX

  8. Table 5Basic Service Characteristics of the Proposed C-5 BRT System Articulated bus

  9. Methodology From MMUTIS (1996) Study Trip Generation Trip Distribution Traffic Assignment Transit & auto assignments (EMME3) Modal Split Analysis Without BRT With BRT Compare results and apply IGES Co-benefit Guideline • Travel time savings • Vehicle operation cost reduction • Accident reduction • Reduce emission

  10. Used the MMUTIS (1996) Person-Trips OD Matrix and its estimates for design year 2010 and 2015 Table 1Percent of Public and Private Daily Trip Estimates for Metro Manila, MMUTIS, 1996 Table 2Trip Generation Percent Growth Estimates for Metro Manila, MMUTIS, 1996

  11. Table 3OD Trip Matrix Estimates Median Hour OD Trips – is the middle value of all hourly person trips in a day (24 hours)

  12. Jeepney Routes in MM (in EMME)

  13. Non-Airconditioned City Bus Routes in MM Airconditioned City Bus Routes in MM

  14. Trip-ends estimates (2015) Person trips going towards Makati CBD (2015)

  15. Limited calibration was done to obtain the results. Segment travel times Zone to zone travel times

  16. Auto assignment results (2015)

  17. Transit Assignment Results Boardings/alightings along PUV routes Estimated boardings and alightings

  18. Estimated Boardings and Alightings along the Proposed C-5 BRT UP (Commonwealth) to SLEX SLEX to UP (Commonwealth)

  19. Estimated boardings and Alightings along each BRT stop

  20. Table 7 Estimates of trip characteristics in Metro Manila

  21. Co-Benefit Analysis of the Proposed C-5 BRT Project Using IGES Guideline Travel time savings Vehicle operating cost reduction Traffic accident cost reduction Cost of emissions

  22. Equation for Travel Time Savings

  23. Vehicle Operating Cost Reduction

  24. Estimating Emission Factors (Bangkok Estimates) Air pollutants = travel distance (veh-km) x emission factor at running speed (g/veh-km)

  25. Table 8 The value of time (Php/hr) of urban transport users (MMUTIS, 1996) Table 10 Estimated user’s benefit in Metro Manila given the scenarios

  26. less vehicles on the road, hence less accidents

  27. Summary of Findings • Demonstrated the applicability of the IGES Co-benefit Guideline for a proposed transportation project (C-5 BRT) in Metro Manila • Although, more studies (data and research information) are needed to get satisfactory results

  28. Recommendations • Need to update/recalibrate the MMUTIS OD Matrix done in 1996 • Develop MM models for traffic accident estimation and cost as well as emission factors of unique vehicles to MM (i.e. jeepneys) • Put up a National transport database (NCTS as lead agency) • Need to re-educate through training/workshop transport planners and engineers on the use of UTP softwares

  29. Acknowledgment The authors would like to acknowledge the financial support provided by the Institute for Global Environment Strategies (IGES) in the conduct of this study.

  30. Thank you for listening! THE END

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