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Report of the Facts and Figures Committee Tore Forsmo Chairman

Report of the Facts and Figures Committee Tore Forsmo Chairman. Committee Members. Jens SCHILDKNECHT (Germany) Andrea CUPIDO (Italy) Jim CRAIG (USA) Cédric CHARPENTIER (France) Pamela FROOD (UK/IUA) Simon STONEHOUSE (UK/Lloyd’s) Paul Buyl (Belgium) (new) Astrid SELTMANN (Norway)

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Report of the Facts and Figures Committee Tore Forsmo Chairman

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  1. Report of the Facts and Figures Committee Tore Forsmo Chairman

  2. Committee Members • Jens SCHILDKNECHT (Germany) • Andrea CUPIDO (Italy) • Jim CRAIG (USA) • Cédric CHARPENTIER (France) • Pamela FROOD (UK/IUA) • Simon STONEHOUSE (UK/Lloyd’s) • Paul Buyl (Belgium) (new) • Astrid SELTMANN (Norway) • Tore FORSMO (Norway)

  3. Report of the Facts and Figures Committee Tore Forsmo Chairman

  4. Report on Marine Insurance Premium 2003 and 2004 IUMI 2005 Amsterdam Facts & Figures Committee Tore Forsmo, Managing Director Astrid Seltmann, Analyst The Central Union of Marine Underwriters, Oslo, Norway Thanks also to Fédération Française des Sociétés d’Assurances (FFSA) and the International Underwriting Association of London (IUA)

  5. World Merchant Fleet by type of ship of 300gt and overAs at January 1st 2005 – number of ships in share of the World Reported Fleet, growth rate 2000-2005(%) and average age Source: Indicators issued from various sources such as ISL Bremen for World fleet and trading figures (as at June 2005) and Clarkson Research Studies for shipbuilding and scrapped vessels (as at June 2005).

  6. World Merchant Reported Fleet by type of ships 300gt and overAs at January 1st, 2005 – Deadweight and growth rate 2000-2005 Source: Indicators issued from various sources such as ISL Bremen for World fleet and trading figures (as at June 2005) and Clarkson Research Studies for shipbuilding and scrapped vessels (as at June 2005).

  7. World Merchant Fleet of ships of 300gt and overEvolution of the growth rates (GT, DWT, and Number of ships) between 1995 and 2005 Source: Indicators issued from various sources such as ISL Bremen for World fleet and trading figures (as at June 2005) and Clarkson Research Studies for shipbuilding and scrapped vessels (as at June 2005).

  8. World Merchant Fleet by main types ofship of 300gt and overEvolution of the number of ships in shares (%) of the world fleet 1995 – 2005, Growth rate in 2005 Source: Indicators issued from various sources such as ISL Bremen for World fleet and trading figures (as at June 2005) and Clarkson Research Studies for shipbuilding and scrapped vessels (as at June 2005).

  9. World Merchant Reported Fleet by National and Foreign FlagAs at January 1st, 2005 – million DWT and number of ships Source: Indicators issued from various sources such as ISL Bremen for World fleet and trading figures (as at June 2005) and Clarkson Research Studies for shipbuilding and scrapped vessels (as at June 2005).

  10. World Merchant Fleet – Top Ten Countries Source: Indicators issued from various sources such as ISL Bremen for World fleet and trading figures (as at June 2005) and Clarkson Research Studies for shipbuilding and scrapped vessels (as at June 2005).

  11. World Merchant Fleet – Top Ten Countries by National (NF) and Foreign Flags (FF)As at January 1st, 2005 Source: Indicators issued from various sources such as ISL Bremen for World fleet and trading figures (as at June 2005) and Clarkson Research Studies for shipbuilding and scrapped vessels (as at June 2005).

  12. Orderbook Evolution by type of ship Source: Indicators issued from various sources such as ISL Bremen for World fleet and trading figures (as at June 2005) and Clarkson Research Studies for shipbuilding and scrapped vessels (as at June 2005).

  13. Deliveries in 2004 by Country of ShipbuilderMillion DWT and number of ships Source: Indicators issued from various sources such as ISL Bremen for World fleet and trading figures (as at June 2005) and Clarkson Research Studies for shipbuilding and scrapped vessels (as at June 2005).

  14. World Seaborne Trade Volume Development 1993-2004 (in million tonnes) - Growth rate in 2004 Source: Indicators issued from various sources such as ISL Bremen for World fleet and trading figures (as at June 2005) and Clarkson Research Studies for shipbuilding and scrapped vessels (as at June 2005).

  15. World Market Price Indices for Selected Commodities Annual Average (1993-2004) – Average in 2005 as at end of June (*) Source: Indicators issued from various sources such as ISL Bremen for World fleet and trading figures (as at June 2005) and Clarkson Research Studies for shipbuilding and scrapped vessels (as at June 2005).

  16. World Market Price Indices for Selected Commodities Annual Average (1993-2004) – Average in 2005 as at end of June (*) Source: Indicators issued from various sources such as ISL Bremen for World fleet and trading figures (as at June 2005) and Clarkson Research Studies for shipbuilding and scrapped vessels (as at June 2005).

  17. FREIGHT MARKET (indices) – YEARS 1995 to 2005 (January to June) Source: Indicators issued from various sources such as ISL Bremen for World fleet and trading figures (as at June 2005) and Clarkson Research Studies for shipbuilding and scrapped vessels (as at June 2005).

  18. By end of August 2004, 47 of 54 members reported their country’s marine premium figures for accounting years 2003 and 2004. Reported figures represent approx. 97% of the total marine premium written by all IUMI members in 2003 and 2004. Total premium for 2003 is therefore estimated to reach approx. USD 16.6 billion and for 2004 approx. USD 16.4 billion (excluding P&I from mutual P&I Clubs). Report on marine insurance premiums 2003 and 2004

  19. World Merchant Fleet and Global Marine Hull & Liability PremiumIndex of evolution, vessels > 100 GT, 1995 = 100% Source: Indicators for World Fleet from ISL Bremen

  20. World Seaborne Trade Volume and Global Cargo PremiumIndex of evolution, 1995 = 100% Source: Indicators for World Trade Volume from ISL Bremen

  21. Global premiums reported 2000 to 2004 (accounting years) A major part of the volume increase from 2002 to 2003 was due to a weakening of US$ against major European and Asian currencies and thus not a real global volume increase!

  22. Index of evolution of Exchange rates between US$ and selected currencies(as of December each year) Source: Norges Bank Exchange Rates Statistics

  23. Market Shares 2004 Europe : Albania, Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Russia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom (IUA + Lloyds)Asia/Pacific : Australia, China, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Japan, North Korea, South Korea, Malaysia, New Zealand, Singapore North America :Bermuda, Canada, USA Rest of the World : Congo, Egypt, Israel, Kenya, Lebanon, Mexico, Morocco, Nigeria, South Africa,Tunisia, United Arab EmiratesCountries in italics did not report in 2005

  24. Report on marine insurance premiums – by economic areas(USD Millions)

  25. Global Marine Premium 1992 - 2004 (USD Million), as reported TotalCargoHullEnergyLiability A substantial part of the volume increase since 2001 is due to a weakening of the US$ against other currencies.

  26. Global Hull Premium - Major Markets 1992 - 2004 (USD Million) UK Lloyd’s reports underwriting year premium such that 2004 volume is likely to increase.

  27. Global Cargo Premium - Major Markets 1992 - 2004 (USD Million) UK Lloyd’s reports underwriting year premium such that 2004 volume is likely to increase.

  28. MARINE MUTUAL MARKET SECTORGross Calls (Premium) – Operational location Per accounting year – USD Million Source: Standard & Poors Marine Mutual Report 2005

  29. Marine Hull – Evolution of Gross Premium and Paid Claims Actual and estimated towards ultimate, U/W Year 1997 to 2004 (USD) Blue line = Gross Premium; Red line = Paid Claims Ultimate calculation based on figures of 6 Member Organisations – France, Germany, Italy, Norway, UK Lloyds, UK IUA

  30. Marine Hull – Evolution of Gross Loss Ratio, actual and estimated towards ultimateU/W Year 1996 to 2004 Assuming a 30% expense ratio (acquisition and management expenses), technical break even is achieved when the gross loss ratio does not exceed 70% 199919982000 20021997 / 200120042003/1996 Ultimate calculation based on figures of 6 Member Organisations: France, Germany, Italy, Norway, UK Lloyds, UK IUA (5 for 1996 – No Germany)

  31. Transport / Cargo – Evolution of Gross Premium and Paid ClaimsActual and estimated towards ultimate, U/W Year 1997 to 2004 (USD) Blue line = Gross Premium; Red line = Paid Claims Totals of 8 Member Organisations – Belgium, Chinese Taipei, France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands, UK Lloyds, UK IUA

  32. Transport/Cargo – Evolution of Gross Loss Ratio, actual and estimated towards ultimateU/W Year 1996 to 2004 Assuming a 30% expense ratio (acquisition and management expenses), technical break even is achieved when the gross loss ratio does not exceed 70% Ultimate calculation based on totals of 8 Member Organisations – Belgium, Chinese Taipei, France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands, UK Lloyds, UK IUA (7 for 1996 – no Germany)

  33. Marine Hull and Cargo/TransportGross Ultimate Loss RatioU/W Year 1996 to 2004 Assuming a 30% expense ratio (acquisition and management expenses), technical break even is achieved when the gross loss ratio does not exceed 70%

  34. Facts & Figures Open Forum • “World Trade – The Political Environment and the Key Economic Drivers” • Dale Andrew, Head of Trade Policy, OECD • “Shipping Capital Providers - Managing Financial Risk - Threats and Challenges” • Michael Parker, Managing Director, Global Industry Head, Shipping & Logistics, Citigroup • “Managing Insurance Risk for the International Shipping Market “ • Rolf Tolle, Franchise Performance Director, Lloyd’s

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