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Georgetown University. Potato Cartel. Why did Merrill Hanny bury $100,000 worth of Potatoes?. Potato Farmers Mash Supply. Source: United Potato Growers of America, August 2009. “The offense of monopoly under Section 2 of the Sherman Act has two elements: (1) the
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Potato Cartel • Why did Merrill Hanny bury $100,000 worth of Potatoes?
Potato Farmers Mash Supply Source: United Potato Growers of America, August 2009
“The offense of monopoly under Section 2 of the Sherman Act has two elements: (1) the possession of monopoly power in the relevant market and (2) the willful acquisition or maintenance of that power as distinct from growth or development as a consequence of a superior product, business acumen or historical accident” United States v. Grinell Corp. 384 U.S. 563, 570-571 (1966)
Definition of monopoly power • The ability to control prices and exclude competitors • 2. The ability to raise prices above marginal • cost (competitive levels) without losing so • many sales so rapidly that the price increase • must be rescinded • Monopoly power is “analog” not digital • Significant and insignificant monopoly power • Lerner Index • L = (p-mc)/p • L= 1/η , where η is the (absolute value of • the) firm-level price elasticity of demand. • 0 ≤ L < 1
Measuring Market Power The Dominant Firm Model: a. Assumes a single “dominant” firm facing a competitive “fringe” b. The dominant firm calls out a price c. The competitive fringe responds as a price taker setting its output
The Dominant Firm-Competitive Fringe Model P S=Σmc d = D - S d P1 mc D mr Q Qd
Market Power Determinants • L = S/[ηm + (1-S)ef] • Market share (S) • 2. Elasticity of Market demand (ηm) • 3. Elasticity of Supply of the fringe • firms (ef) Suppose S=.4, ηm = 2, and ef = 1, What is the value of the Lerner Index?
Market definition Market -A geographic area and a set of products within which price is determined IF a relevant market then set of firms and geographic area that DOES determine price Firms/areas that do affect price are included Importance of market definition a. Microsoft (operating systems, software) b. Coca-Cola – Dr. Pepper, Pepsi -7-up mergers
Market Definition Exercise – Begin with a small geographic and product market and ask: • Could a hypothetical monopolist within the proposed relevant market raise price by a small but significant and nontransitory amount? • If “yes” then found relevant market. If “no” then broaden proposed market and re-run exercise • demand side product substitutability • b. demand-side geographic substitutability • c. supply-side product substitutability • d. supply-side geographic substitutability
Willful maintenance or acquisition • US v. AT&T (1978) • Aspen Skiing (1985) Long Lines MCI • Refusal to deal • Price discrimination • Sabotage Bell customer
Aspen Skiing Co. v. Aspen Highlands 1962 – ASC and Highlands begin joint lift tickets 1978 – ASC announces it would not Participate unless revenues split was Adjusted to 87.5 for ASC (had Previously divided based on usage. ASC had 85 % of traffic) No joint ticket in 78-79 but Highlands offers Adventure Pack (3 days at Highlands and coupòns for 3 days at ASC facilities ASC refused coupons Colorado • Issues: • Duty to Deal • Market definition
Predatory pricing Simple story: Large firm cuts prices drives smaller firms from market then raises prices to monopoly levels McGee (Journal of Law and Economics) -re-examines Standard Oil case. Predatory pricing is not rational. Why engage in predation when merger is cheaper.
More recent literature suggests that: 1. predatory pricing may reduce sales price if ultimately merge 2. Predation may be for demonstration effect 3. McGee assumes merger to monopoly is legal Predation requires (necessary conditions): 1. Initial Market power 2. Low Barriers to Exit 3. High barriers to entry
Predatory pricing: 1. Areeda-Turner (Harvard Law Review, 1975) a. p<mc b. p<mc up to minAC then p<ATC c. p<avc Price MC ATC AVC D Quantity
Baumol analysis of predation • A sound predation concept is built on 3 principles: • The price-practice must have no legitimate business purpose • It must threaten the existence of equally efficient firms • Recoupment of foregone profits is feasible • Threats to equally efficient rivals turn on AVC, so P < AVC test is appropriate
Predation – the demonstration effect or “I’ll Teach that SOB a lesson” Price Distance from plant FOB Pricing of Concrete construction Blocks
The importance of corporate and management statements • Microsoft • Choke of air supply • Whole Foods Wild Oats merger • John MacKay (CEO of Whole Foods) • merger will “eliminate forever” the possibility that anyone else could create a nationwide competitor in the natural and organic grocery business • buying Wild Oats Markets Inc. would let Whole Foods “avoid nasty price wars” in several cities where the two compete • KCI v. Hill-ROM • Hill-Rom makes standard and specialty beds
Cut ‘em off at the knees and watch them bleed … Competitively, idle words or a real threat? I promise you I consider these words a threat to all who propose to compete against Hill-Rom. Do you? How sharp is your machete? Hill-Rom Intends To Destroy Competition Nelson Baughman, HR Vice President: P-288
Hill-Rom Intends To Destroy Competition Hill-Rom executive speech We have to work together to win in our markets and do away with KCI. This is a job we are going to get done, and we’re going to get it done together. If anyone doesn’t want to do it that way, there’s a bus waiting outside, and you can get the hell out now. P-001
Hill-Rom’s Gus Hillenbrand 9/19/2002 Hillenbrand Cross Examination Q. Did you use the market power of Hill-Rom to attempt to obtain a hundred percent market share? A. Yes. Q. And you saw documents from your sales staff that talked about eliminating KCI, torturing KCI, killing KCI, doing away with KCI. You saw those things, didn't you? A. I saw those. Q. And you never sent out a directive saying, hey, we want to treat them fair, we want to play fair, did you? A. Never did. P-288 Trial Transcript: Page 3950:12-21