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SEOUL 14 September 2006. . “Everyone lives by selling something.” – Robert Louis Stevenson.
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. “Everyone lives by selling something.” – Robert Louis Stevenson
A Few Biases You Should Know About*I am not a macro-economist.*I am exceptionally biased by 30 years (1970-2000) in Silicon Valley.*I would rather work for eBay than BankAmerica.*I believe that the Giant Merger Game is the single greatest waste of energy in the world of business.*Economies of scale are wildly over-rated.*I find the entire notion of “career” to be disturbing and a little silly.*I find the notion of “built to last” hilarious.*Between 1965 and 1980 I turned 179.9 degrees from “Mr Big Government” to “Mr ‘Cool’ Entrepreneur.” (Thank you, Frank Perdue.)*Joseph Schumpeter (“gales of creative destruction”) and F.A. Hayek are my economist “gods”; JK Galbraith is my bete noir.*“Innovation” is a wonderfully messy & chaotic process—not amenable to “strategic plans.”*I believe in Luck. (Fooled by Randomness—best book I’ve ever read.)
A Few Biases You Should Know About*I find most strategic plans (and strategic planners) to be amusing.*I am not … Mike Porter.*I am not … Peter Drucker.*I am not … Jim Collins.*I believe that the resilience of Giant Companies is wildly-absurdly over-rated.*I believe that America’s productivity edge comes from car dealers more than Giant Cos.*No “business model” is “the last word.”*I am a Great Believer in “the basics”: product, people, customers, execution. (Hence there is nothing very interesting, save one thing, in In Search of Excellence.)*I believe that EXCELLENCE is a legitimate aspiration for each of us; and that any lesser aspiration is unconscionable.
Tom Peters’EXCELLENCE. ALWAYS.XAlways/KMACSEOUL/14 September 2006
1. Hare 1, Tortoise 0. (Hare-y times.) 2. Tempo. (O.O.D.A.) 3. MBWA. 4. Appreciation. (“Motivator” #1.) (Can’t be faked. Good.) 5. Decency. 6. Hurry. 7. Time out. 8. One matters. 9. Big change. Short time. (Alt not work.) 10. Excellence. Always. 11. Passion. Energy. Hustle. Enthusiasm. Exuberance. (Move mountains. No alt.) 12. You must care. 13. Emotion. 14. Hard is soft. (Soft is hard.)
“There is no job that is America’s God-given right anymore.”—Carly Fiorina/HP/January2004
“Deutsche Bank Moves Half of Its Back-office Jobs to India”/ headline/FT/0327(500 of 900 Research)
“One Singaporean worker costs as much as …3 … in Malaysia8 … in Thailand13 … in China18 … in India.”Source: The Straits Times/2003
“Thaksinomics”(after Thaksin Shinawatra)“Bangkok Fashion City”:“managed asset reflation”(add to brand value of Thai textiles by demonstrating flair and design excellence)Source: The Straits Times/2004
SpainPortugalItalyIrelandSingapore TaiwanThailandMalaysiaPhilippinesDubaiOmanChileRomaniaAustraliaNew Zealand
“Better By Design”: A National StrategyNZ = Design Excellence
SpainPortugalItalyIrelandSingapore ThailandMalaysiaPhilippinesDubaiOmanChileRomania AustraliaNew ZealandTaiwan
“ ‘MADE IN TAIWAN’: From Cheap Manufacturing to Chic Branding ”—Headline/Advertising Age/06.05
SpainPortugalItalyIrelandSingapore ThailandMalaysiaPhilippinesDubaiOmanChileRomania AustraliaNew ZealandTaiwan
London circa 1976:“You can’t build a ‘real economy’ on services, finance, advertising, etc.”London circa 2006:deliberately aims to be the “capital of the 21st century”
Age of AgricultureIndustrial AgeAge of Information IntensificationAge of CreationIntensificationSource: Murikami Teruyasu, Nomura Research Institute
Agriculture Age(farmers)Industrial Age(factory workers)Information Age(knowledge workers)Conceptual Age(creators and empathizers)Source: Dan Pink, A Whole New Mind
“Human creativity is the ultimate economic resource.”—Richard Florida,The Rise of the Creative Class
“THE FUTURE BELONGS TO … SMALL POPULATIONS … WHO BUILD EMPIRESOF THEMIND … AND WHO IGNORE THE TEMPTATION OF—OR DO NOT HAVE THE OPTION OF—EXPLOITING NATURAL RESOURCES.”Source: Juan Enriquez/Asthe Future Catches You
U.S. Historical Strength: Invest in Creativity*Foster new industries*Free & open society*Investment higher ed, R & D, culture*ImmigrantsSource: Richard Florida, The Rise of the Creative Class
“The Creative Age is awide-open game.”—Richard Florida, The Rise of the Creative Class
London circa 1976:“You can’t build a ‘real economy’ on ‘soft services’ like finance, advertising, etc.”London circa 2006:deliberately aims to replace New York as the “capital of the 21st century”
“If you don’t like change, you’re going to like irrelevance even less.”—General Eric Shinseki, Chief of Staff. U. S. Army
“It is not the strongest of the species that survives, nor the most intelligent, but the one most responsive to change.”—Charles Darwin
“Forbes100” from 1917 to 1987:39members of the Class of ’17 were alive in ’87; 18 in ’87 F100; 18 F100 “survivors” significantly underperformed the market; just 2 (2%), GE & Kodak, outperformed the market from 1917 to 1987.S&P 500 from 1957 to 1997:74 members of the Class of ’57 were alive in ’97; 12(2.4%) of 500 outperformed the market from 1957 to 1997.Source: Dick Foster & Sarah Kaplan, Creative Destruction: Why Companies That Are Built to Last Underperform the Market
“I am often asked by would-be entrepreneurs seeking escape from life within huge corporate structures, ‘How do I build a small firm for myself?’ The answer seems obvious:Buy a very large one and just wait.”—Paul Ormerod, Why Most Things Fail: Evolution, Extinction and Economics
“It is generally much easier to kill an organization than change it substantially.”—Kevin Kelly, Out of Control
“The Silicon Valley of today is built less atop the spires of earlier triumphs than upon the rubble of earlier debacles.”—Newsweek/Paul Saffo
“Rewardexcellent failures. Punishmediocre successes.”Phil Daniels, Sydney exec
“Wealth in this new regime flows directly from innovation, not optimization. That is, wealth is not gained by perfecting the known, but by imperfectly seizing the unknown.”—Kevin Kelly, New Rules for the New Economy
TP#1*:Netscape!*Where would you rather have worked for those 5 years, Netscape or IBM-HP-Microsoft-Oracle? (Where, 25 years from now, would you rather to be able to tell someone—e.g., grandchild—that you worked?)
Franchise Lost!TP: “How many of you[600]reallycravea new Chevy?”