CMU HUMBER Cohort January/February/March 2013

1. Web Site CMU HUMBER CohortJanuary/February/March 2013

2. Outline • Overview of Ontario Colleges • Governance • Students • Programs • Resources and Results • Challenges Ahead • Strategic Priorities • Colleges Ontario

3. Ontario’s 24 Colleges of Applied Arts and Technology

4. System Governance and Structures Ontario Legislature Minister of Training, College and Universities College Boards Colleges Ontario College Compensation Council College Presidents CON*NECT OCAS Colleges

5. Ontario’s 24 Colleges of Applied Arts and Technology

6. Learners/Clients Served by Ontario’s Colleges Estimated Annual Headcount = 500,000 200,000 Full-time students (including full-time apprenticeship, literacy and basic skills) 300,000 Part-time students and clients Source: MTCU; OCAS; JobConnect; Continuing Education Surveys; Colleges Ontario

7. Learner Profile • 60% of college students have high school or less • 39% have attended PSE previously • 10% have completed a university degree • 12% have completed a college diploma • 17% of college students (29% in Metro Toronto) report neither French nor English as their first language • 17% of surveyed applicants were not born in Canada • 12% of college students use “Special Needs/Disability Services.” Source: 2009 College Applicant Survey (Academica Group Inc.); Student Satisfaction Survey (MTCU)

8. Percent of PSE Entrants by Sector for Ontario Source: MTCU; OCAS Note: College data include MTCU headcounts for Fall and Summer entrants, new apprenticeship starts, and OCAS Winter new registrants (excluding post-diploma); University data include MTCU headcounts for Fall entrant. College data for 2007-08 were estimated using the percent change from Fall 2006 to 2007 as indicated by OCAS data.

9. College Enrolment (FTE): 1997-98 to 2006-07 • From 1997-98 to 2006-07, postsecondary funded college enrolment, measured as full-time equivalent (FTE) increased by eight percent. In 2009, current projections anticipate a 7% increase. Source: MTCU Source: MTCU

10. New CAAT Apprenticeship Starts • New CAAT apprenticeship starts rose to 35,504 in 2008-09 • Ontario colleges deliver 87% of Ontario’s apprenticeship in-school training. Source: MTCU

11. College Graduates by Occupation Cluster 60,000 graduates per year Source: 2009 Employment Profile (MTCU); Colleges Ontario

12. College System Revenues

13. Historical Trends in College Revenues

14. Interprovincial Funding Comparisons

15. Key Performance Indicators 2009-10 Reporting Year • Ontario’s Colleges and Ontario’s Ministry of Training, Colleges and Universities have defined 5 Key Performance Indicators • Three of these indicators (graduate employment, graduate satisfaction, and employer satisfaction), have been used to distribute performance funding to the colleges, starting in 2000-2001. • The student survey is administered in class to all students beyond first semester, and the graduate & employer surveys are telephone surveys administered six months after graduation. Source: MTCU

16. Challenges Ahead for PSE • Changing face of labour market needs • Demographic Shifts • Labour Shortages

17. Context • Ontario needs to reform its postsecondary education system to meet economic challenges – immediate and long term • The government took significant steps in first mandate – Reaching Higher plan improved access, quality and accountability in universities and colleges. Enrolment has increased and key performance indicators have improved • Going forward, significant changes are needed to provide opportunities to more Ontarians, align education to labour market needs, improve retention and ensure students have the mobility they need within an efficient, effective system • Fundamental change is unlikely in an election year

18. Challenges facing Ontario Economic Challenges • Short term: economic downturn driving huge government deficits • Long term: skills shortage – situation will escalate as baby boomers retire and required education for most jobs = pse • Global & local competition – jurisdictions investing in pse expansion as economic development strategy, esp. during recession • Middle class feels squeezed, no public appetite for increased tuition • Heath care budget overwhelming other priorities GTA Degree Enrolment Demand • Demand for undergraduate degree education will exceed GTA university capacity . Estimated additional demand to grow by over 50,000 The Role for Colleges • Colleges deliver higher education to all socioeconomic groups at lower cost than universities – are more successful with underrepresented • Colleges are able to provide more training and retraining based on industry and community needs • College programs don’t have same cache as universities, but we are critical to increasing participation and graduation rates

19. Ontario’s Labour Market Future 19

20. Why be Concerned? Overall Transitions From Secondary School University, 34% College, 20% Apprenticeship,6% Destination Of Students After 4 or 5 Years of Secondary School Workplace (with OSSD), 15% Workplace (without OSSD), 25% Note: These percentages are the authors’ estimates of the transition of students in 2008. University and college enrollment data were obtained from OUAC and OCAS. The university percentage was adjusted to include students who attended university outside of Ontario. Apprenticeship was based on 18 and 19 year olds registered in apprenticeship with MTCU. The large majority of those placed in the Workplace categories were in the workforce, but the percentages also include those enrolled in private colleges and the military.

21. What Do We Need to Consider in addressing labour market challenges of the future?Secondary School Student Characteristics: Gender PSE Destinations by Gender Males and females were equally likely to register in college, while females were more likely than males to register in university. Males were much more likely not to apply to PSE at all, and slightly more likely to have left secondary school before their fourth year. 21

22. Secondary School: Average Marks College-Preparation OSSD Students: Grade 12 Average Marks by College Application Status Average marks did not differentiate students who did not apply to college from those who did apply and/or from those who actually registered in a college. 22

23. Secondary School: Early Failed Courses Percent OSSD Completion by Number of Courses Failed Grade 9 Grades 9 and 10 combined Students who failed courses early in secondary school (especially in Grade 9) were much less likely to go on to complete an OSSD, as compared to those who did not fail courses. 23

24. Secondary School Student Characteristics: First Nation PSE Registration Rates for First Nation* & Other Students First Nation students were less likely to register in college, and much less likely to register in university, as compared to other students. * The Ministry of Education data files were limited in the identification of Aboriginal status. In this study, First Nation students included only those students funded by Indian and Northern Affairs, Canada, who lived in First Nation communities and attended provincially-funded Public or Catholic District Schools and private schools. 24

25. College Applicants: Direct from Secondary School College Application Patterns: Example from South-western Ontario School Boards Local = within School Board area Nearby = commuting distance Other = student would have to live away from home Although there was variation across the province, in general, the majority of college applicants only applied to colleges in their home communities. 25

26. College Applicants: Non-Direct Non-Direct* Applicants: Number of Colleges Applied To The majority of non-direct applicants to college (i.e. 60%) applied to only one college. *This category includes any applicants who did not apply directly from secondary school. 26

27. How do We Meet these Challenges? • Advocacy strategy of Colleges Ontario • Driven by COP strategic plan, now in development: centred on ownership of the labour market and underpinned by Conference Board and Rick Miner reports • Includes new focus on adult learners, institutional responsibility and fiscal health as well as student pathways & the college role in innovation & productivity • Elements: • Better pathways among colleges for students; as well as between colleges and universities • Greater flexibility for colleges to deliver what community wants • Work on how whole system can help GTA enrolment challenge • Long term certainty about funding, both capital & operating • Streamlined public accountability measures • System-wide collaboration where possible • More focus on online learning as part of education pkg • More focus on needs of apprentices • Push on college role in innovation, productivity gains • Increased focus on con.ed, corporate training • Increased profile for colleges in public mind, so politicians care

28. Conclusions • The needs of Ontario’s economy in the future are well aligned with our college system vision and the strength of colleges • Colleges are better positioned than most to help the government achieve its goals, improve access to post secondary education and ensure that Ontario can meet the demands of the post-baby boomer labour market • Taking on this challenge comes with serious financial implications and risks – will the government have the will to fund priorities now or in the near future? • If colleges do not find a way to achieve this goal, the Miner report will be Ontario’s future reality -- but we can find the solutions working together