280 likes | 362 Views
Corn Situation and Outlook. Historical Perspective and Outlook for 2007. Corn Production, Ending Stocks, and Price, 1992-2007. U.S. Corn Ending Stocks and Price, 1992-2007. U.S. & Foreign Corn Ending Stocks 1996-2007. Supply/Demand Projections:2007/2008.
E N D
Corn Situation and Outlook Historical Perspective and Outlook for 2007
Supply/Demand Projections:2007/2008 Corn ----------Supply/Demand ---------- Low/High Exp/Exp High/Low Beginning Stocks(MB) 937 937 937 Acres (MPA) 86.5 90.5 94.5 Acres (MHA) 79.2 82.9 86.6 Yield 142 150.3 158 Supply(M. Bu) 12252 13412 14629 Use: Feed 5700 Ethanol 3400 Food, Seed 1390 Exports 1975 Ending Stocks 524 947 1370 Projected Price $3.80 $3.30 $2.80
Wheat Situation and Outlook Historical Perspective and Outlook for 2007
Supply/Demand Projections:2007/2008 Wheat ----------Supply/Demand ---------- Low/High Exp/Exp High/Low Beginning Stocks(MB) 412 412 412 Acres (M. A. Planted) 59.3 60.3 61.3 Acres (M.A. Harvested) 51.2 52.1 53.0 Yield 40.2 41.7 43.2 Supply(M. Bu) 2572 2685 2800 Use: Food, Seed 1011 Feed, Resid 230 Exports 975 Ending Stocks 394 469 544 Projected Price $5.00 $4.25 $3.50
Soybean Situation and Outlook Historical Perspective and Outlook for 2007
U.S. Soybean Ending Stocks vs. Price, 1990-2007 ‘03 ‘96 ‘07 ‘95 ‘97 ‘06 ‘93 ‘04 ‘90 ‘05 ‘02 ‘94 ‘91 ‘92 ‘98 ‘99 ‘00 ‘01
Supply/Demand Projections:2007/2008 Soybeans ----------Supply/Demand ---------- Low/High Exp/Exp High/Low Beginning Stocks(MB) 610 610 610 Acres (MA Planted) 65.8 67.1 68.4 Acres (MA Harvested) 64.8 66.1 67.4 Yield 39.0 41.5 44.0 Supply(M. Bu) 3142 3359 3579 Use: Crushing 1790 Exports 1080 Seed, Feed 169 Ending Stocks 174 320 466 Projected Price $7.25 $6.75 $6.25
Grain Sorghum Situation and Outlook Historical Perspective and Outlook for 2007
Supply/Demand Projections:2007/2008 Sorghum ----------Supply/Demand ---------- Low/High Exp/Exp High/Low Beginning Stocks(MB) 48.0 48.0 48.0 Acres (M. P. A.) 6.8 7.1 7.4 Supply(M. Bu) 365 428 488 Use: Food & Seed 65 Exports 160 Feed 160 Ending Stocks 22 43 64 Projected Price $3.50 $3.25 $3.00
Cotton Situation and Outlook Historical Perspective and Outlook for 2007
Supply/Demand Projections:2007/2008 Cotton ----------Supply/Demand ---------- Low/High Exp/Exp High/Low Beginning Stocks(MB) 9.5 9.5 9.5 Acres (M. P. A.) 11.8 12.2 12.5 Acres (MA Harvested) 10.7 11.0 11.3 Yield 760 820 880 Supply(MB) 26.4 28.3 30.3 Use: Domestic 4.4 Exports 17.5 Ending Stocks 3.5 6.4 9.3 Projected Price/cwt
What Could Change The Outlook? • South America • Plant Mix • Non-Farm Economic Conditions in U.S., World – Oil Supplies, War • Exchange Rates • China • Weather