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Safe City Mississauga 2009 . Crime severity index. New method of quantifying crime Attaches higher weights to major crimes and lower weights to minor crimes It is a rate per population Includes drugs and criminal traffic offences Accommodates more than one crime per incident
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Crime severity index • New method of quantifying crime • Attaches higher weights to major crimes and lower weights to minor crimes • It is a rate per population • Includes drugs and criminal traffic offences • Accommodates more than one crime per incident • Accommodates more than one victim per violent incident • Statistics Canada’s choice for measuring crime • Easy to monitor changes in crime over time • Three measures • Overall Crime Severity Index • Violent Crime Severity Index • Non-Violent Crime Severity Index
Findings • Crime Severity Indices are calculated for Police Jurisdictions – this are no CSI Indices for Mississauga • Peel Region ranked • 37th out of 208 on Overall CSI • 103rd our of 208 on Violent CSI • 16th out of 208 on Non-Violent CSI
Crime rates • Traditional method of quantifying crime • Rate per 10,000 persons • No distinction between major and minor crimes • Does not include drugs or criminal traffic offences • Reports one crime per incident Findings • Comparison with Canadian urban areas with populations over 15,000 - Mississauga (with and without airport) has lower • Total Crime Rate • Property Crime Rate • Crimes Against Persons Rate
Comparison with Canadian urban areas with populations over 15,000 - Mississauga (with and without airport) has higher Robbery Rate than • Mississauga ‘s Robbery Rank - ranked 10th of 22
Mississauga trends 2008 to 2009 • Total Criminal Offence Rates down 4.2% (3.8%)* • Total Crimes Against Persons Rate down 7.8% (7.6%)* • Total Property Crime Rate down 2.6% (1.5%)* • Total Criminal Code Traffic Offence Rate down 9.7% • Total Drug Offence Rate up 9.8% (9.3%)* * Excluding airport
Including Demographics Research suggests demographics that vary with crime rate • Unemployment rate • Male unemployment rate • Young male unemployment rate • Poverty rate • Average education level • Percent families with one parent • Ethnic diversity rates …. The geography of Canada
Findings For Total Crime Rates As these variables increase, so do Total Crime Rates • Percent aboriginals • In B.C. – Population density • In Quebec – Ethnic diversity
Findings For Property Crime Rates As these variables increase, so do Property Crime Rates • Percent aboriginals • In B.C. – Population density • In Quebec – Ethnic diversity
Findings For Violent Crime Rates As these variables increase, so do Violent Crime Rates • Percent aboriginals, much greater effect in the Maritimes • In Quebec – Population density
Findings For Robbery Rates As these variables increase, so do Robbery Crime Rates • Percent aboriginals, much greater effect in the Maritimes • Ethnic diversity • In Quebec – Population density
Findings For Overall Crime Severity Index As these variables increase, so do Overall Crime Severity Indices • Percent aboriginals • Percent of adults who have completed high school & nothing further • Percent of households that are rented
Percent of adults who have not completed high school, greatest effect in B.C.& Maritimes • Percent of mothers who are single, but not in B.C & only a small impact in Quebec • In Quebec - Percent of adult males with no income • In the Prairies, the Maritimes, and the North - Ethnic diversity • In B.C. - Population size
Findings for Violent Crime Severity Indices As these variables increase, so do Violent Crime Severity Indices • Percent of adults who have completed high school & nothing further • Percent of households that are rented • Percent aboriginals, greatest impact in Quebec • Ethnic diversity, greatest effect in Maritimes
Percent of adults who have not completed high school, greatest effect in B.C.& Maritimes • Everywhere but B.C. - Percent of mothers who are single • Everywhere but the Maritimes - Percent of households in large apartment buildings • In the North - Percent of adult males with no income • In B.C. - Population size As median income increases, Violent CSI rate decreases
Findings for Non-Violent Crime Severity Indices As these variables increase, so do Non-Violent Crime Severity Indices • Percent of adults who have not completed high school • Percent of rented households paying over 30% of family income on rent • Percent of adults who are unemployed
Percent of households that are rented, but not in B.C. • Percent of mothers who are single, less effect in B.C & Quebec • Percent of adult males with no income, only in Quebec • Percent of adults who have completed high school & nothing further, but only in B.C. • Ethnic diversity, but only in B.C. & the North • Population size, only in B.C. As median income increases, Non-Violent CSI rate decreases