Captain Frank W. Garcia Jr. Acting Director Information Systems

1. Screening Categories for CBRNE Models OFCM Workshop Dec 5, 2001 Captain Frank W. Garcia Jr. Acting Director Information Systems Deputy Under Secretary of Defense (Science & Technology)

2. Overview • Background • CBRNE Model selection criteria • Keeping it simple

3. Background • Desert Shield/Storm • Multiple models, missions and databases • Kamisaya- Chemical Weapons • OSD Memo - HPAC, VLSTRACK, D2PC • Organization Changes – CB VV&A Authority: • DEPSECDEF • Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology & Logistics • (Assistant to SECDEF for Nuclear, Chemical and Biological Programs) • Deputy Assistant to the SECDEF for Chem/Bio Defense • CB Modeling & Simulation Advisory Council (MSAC) • CB MSAC Working Group • Technically oriented integrated product teams (IPTs)

4. NBC Hazard Model Components Meteorology Transport & Dispersion of Matter & Energy Source Decay, Deposition Processes Human Response Terrain

5. Selection Criteria • Mission Driven • Organize, Train and Equip • Strike, Defensive and storage • Convergent acquisition • Transportability • Interoperability • Interwoven w/ • Doctrine, Organization, Training, Materiel, Leadership, Personnel, and Facilities

6. Mission Considerations • Strike/Counter Proliferation - minimize collateral damage • Strike WMD facilities • Defensive/Force Protection - consequence management and recovery • Theater Missile Defense intercepts • Military Operations in Urban Terrain • Flow through complex structure • Facility modeling • Facility Readiness • Chemical Storage • Nuclear stockpile • Nuclear Reactors

7. Representative CBW Model Utility CONOPS development Defensive Hardware Design, Development, and Acquisition

8. Current Models

9. Backup

10. JEM - DevelopmentalStrategy • Block 1 (as outlined by OSD) IOC 2005: • Provide common use hazard prediction model • Integrate capabilities of current DoD Counterforce, Passive Defense, and Hazard/Incident models within a common architecture • Technologies in support of this block are at Technology Readiness Level of 7 • Block 2 will develop and integrate: • Urban effects model (e.g., UDM, MIDAS-AT, ?) • High altitude missile intercept (e.g., PEGEM) • Technologies in support of this block are currently at Technology Readiness Level of 5-6 • Block 3 will develop and integrate: • Flow through complex structures • Flow through building interiors • Technologies in support of this block are currently at Technology Readiness Level of 3

11. JEM - Mission Joint Interagency Multinational Joint • Deliver the Common Use DoD NBC Hazard Prediction Model • Enhance situational awareness of the battlespace • Including Civil Support for Homeland Security IF Lead Federal Agency so indicates. Otherwise DoD will follow Lead Federal Agency designations. • Provide real-time hazard information to influence current operations • Maintain Ground, Air and Maritime Operational Tempo • Support JV2010 - JV2020 • Information Superiority • Dominant Maneuver • Rapid Decisive Operations • Assured Access • Full Dimension Protection