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CSU Business Conference March 12, 2014

2014: A Year of Recovery and Opportunities. CSU Business Conference March 12, 2014. Overview. 2014 in Sacramento State Fiscal Picture Elections and Changes Opportunities and Issues Budget Advocacy Issues Elections at Home. 2014-15 Budget.

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CSU Business Conference March 12, 2014

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  1. 2014: A Year of Recovery and Opportunities CSU Business Conference March 12, 2014

  2. Overview • 2014 in Sacramento • State Fiscal Picture • Elections and Changes • Opportunities and Issues • Budget Advocacy • Issues • Elections at Home

  3. 2014-15 Budget

  4. “Despite the recent improvements in our budget situation, there remain a number of major risks… including the remaining budgetary debt and hundreds of billions of dollars in longer term liabilities… That is why wisdom and prudence should be the order of the day.” - Governor Jerry Brown

  5. Proposed CA Budget Breakdown

  6. Revenues and Expenditure Way Up • Revenue is up $4.5 billion and expenditures proposed over $8 billion • Largest shares to: • “Wall of debt” • Proposition 98 (K-12 and community colleges) • Medi-Cal and Cal Works • State Deferred Maintenance

  7. Governor’s Proposal for Higher Ed • Second year of Governor’s Plan • Increase; no more reductions • $142 million increase over last year • No increase in student tuition fees • 4th year in a row • Theme: Innovation, efficiency, improvement • Online courses • Streamline time to degree • Improve graduation rates

  8. It’s Not a Money Problem….It’s About Priorities • General Fund revenues way up • Proposition 30 revenues for all education • Permanent budget increases abound • Double digit in some cases Real question: Is higher education really a priority?

  9. 2014 Elections: Change and Stability?

  10. For the People’s Consideration… • This Election • All state officers • New class of freshman legislators • Propositions, propositions, propositions… • Competing interests will affect elections, priorities

  11. Governor’s Last Ride • Governor will run for 4th and final term • Other candidates: • Tim Donnelly • Neel Kashkari

  12. How Does the Governor Fare? • Governor Brown* • 60% favorable rating • 7% of voters aware of race • Secretary of State Campaign shows $15+ million in hand *PPIC Report “Californians and their Government” – January 2014

  13. Neel Kashkari Vs. Tim Donnelly

  14. PPIC Statewide Survey January 2014Satisfaction with Governor Candidates* *Poll was taken prior to Kashkari announcing

  15. Statewide Races: Contested Races • Controller • John Perez v. Betty Yee v. Ashley Swearengin • Secretary of State • Alex Padilla v. Leland Yee v. Dan Schnur

  16. Statewide Races: Downticket Seats • Superintendent of Public Instruction • Tom Torlakson • Insurance Commissioner • Dave Jones • Lt. Governor • Gavin Newsom • Ron Nehring

  17. Statewide Races: Downticket Races • State Treasurer • John Chiang (Current State Controller) • Attorney General • Kamala Harris • Phil Wyman? • Orly Taitz?

  18. Current Legislative Make-up • Democrats control both houses • “Super” majority achieved last election – and keeping it drives everyone

  19. 2013-14 Assembly80 members Total - 2/3 Threshold is 54

  20. Assembly Leadership Departing • Speaker John Perez • Republican Leader Connie Conway • Budget Chair Nancy Skinner

  21. New Speaker:Unlike Senate An Actual Election • Toni Atkins (San Diego) • Termed out in two years • Close ally of Speaker Perez • Freshmen Class Candidates • Gomez, Rendon, Eggman, Holden • New Class • Candidates in 2016? • Role in selecting new Speaker

  22. Republican Leaders Too • Connie Conway termed out • Caucus members positioning all year • Chavez, Melendez, Olsen • Maienschein, Bigelow, Wilk • New Republican Caucus Chair • Scott Wilk – Future leader?

  23. Freshmen Class Composition • 42 new Assembly members • Democrats 32, Republican Members 10 • On top of 30 new members from 2012 • This CLASS can serve 12 YEARS • Largest Freshmen class since the 19th century

  24. Assembly’s Composition

  25. Assembly Make-up by Class and Party

  26. 2013-14 Senate40 Members Total – 2/3 Threshold is 27* *Calderon and Wright are on Leave from the Senate

  27. Key Senate Leaders Departing • Leaders: • President Pro Tempore Darrell Steinberg • Friends and Allies • Alex Padilla • Lou Correa • Less Than…. • Leland Yee

  28. Senate Leadership • New Pro Tempore has NOT been selected, yet • Kevin de Leon has been endorsed by Steinberg • Interim Candidate • Mark DeSaulnier – now to Congress • Others in the Wings • Holly Mitchell • Bob Hertzberg

  29. Key Races to Watch:The Fight for Supermajority • Assembly: • Steve Fox (Palmdale) • Jeff Gorrell* (Camarillo) • Sharon Quirk-Silva (Fullerton) • Senate: • Anthony Cannella (Ceres) • Lou Correa* (Santa Ana) • Andy Vidak (Fresno) *Open Seat

  30. Propositions “The ballot initiative process remains one of the strengths of California’s system of government.” - LA Daily News

  31. Current Potential Ballot Count • Two qualified for June Ballot • Public Records Act for local govt • Veterans bond restructuring • Four qualified for November Ballot • Rainy Day Fund; from 5% to 10% • Water Bond;$50 million for CSU

  32. Propositions in Process • Over 50 in various stages • 23 initiatives with the Attorney General • 32 initiatives out for gathering signatures • Minimum Wage Proposal • Increase wage to $12 by 2016 • High Quality Teachers Act of 2014 • Termination based on performance not seniority • Oil severance, tobacco taxes • Policy and politics

  33. Last Year of Session: What Will 2014 Bring?

  34. 2014 Legislative Introduction Deadline

  35. Bill Count – 2013-14

  36. Legislative Trends Over Last Decade

  37. Issues for Today and Tomorrow • Bonds • $11 billion bond or not? • Education bond in 2014, 2016? • K-12 Reform Continues • Common Core, Transitional Kindergarten

  38. Election Related Issues • Prison Overcrowding • New prison construction v. reforms by 2016 • Pension and health care costs • Employer and employee share of cost, benefits • High-Speed Rail • Legacy issue for governor

  39. Higher Education Specific • Campus Climate • Sexual assault reporting • Hate Crimes and overall climate • Community college bachelors degree • Nursing or other applied degrees • Performance measures and accountability • More defined, directive

  40. Campus Climate • AB 1433 (Gatto) – Reporting of Hate and Sexual Crimes to Local Jurisdiction • AB 1549 (Rendon) – Requires Sexual Harassment Policy be Posted on Internet • AB 2168 (Campos) – Taskforce Investigation on Discrimination and Violence • SB 967 (deLeon) – “Affirmative Consent” as part of campus investigation of possible sexual assault

  41. Financial Aid and Fees • AB 1976 (Quirk-Silva) – Expands the new number of Cal Grants offered to 50,000 • AB 2566 (Weber) – Extends the Period of Time you can Apply for Cal Grant by One Year • AB 1456 (Jones-Sawyer) – Pay it Forward Measure

  42. Accountability and Oversight • AB 1348 (J. Perez) - Postsecondary education: California Higher Education Authority • SB 1196 (Liu) - Public higher education: state goals • SB 1022 (Huff) -Labor market outcome information

  43. Making the Year Count for CSU

  44. PPIC Statewide Survey January 2014Key Issues Facing California

  45. PPIC Statewide Survey January 2014Preference for State Spending

  46. More Money, More Competition • Budget is opportunity and challenge • More money means more demand for support • Election year, political allies, local communities • Competition requires proactive effort • Time to match rhetoric with reality • Engage beyond the university, issue for campaign • Make the ask for investment and redesign • Hold them accountable

  47. CSU as a Good Investment • Up against varying and competing priorities • Harder to seek new money than manage cuts • Election year shifts focus • CSU must show value as a partner, innovator • What we are doing today, what we are prepared to do for the future • Ability to improve, willingness to change

  48. Tell the Story • CSU is valuable investment because… • Assist in meeting the workforce gap • Local and statewide needs • Employers, industry, community leaders • Value of college degree • To state and local economy • Employment opportunities, job development

  49. Tell the Story • Innovation and efficiencies our way of life • Online teaching and learning • Innovative programs and partnerships • Improvement is a goal • Graduation Initiative • Results to date, future efforts • Transfer Reform • Implementation of SB 1440, other efforts

  50. Being Ready to Make the Case • New Chancellor values advocacy • Active partner already • Expectation of campus leadership focus • Advocacy Plan to guide our work • All university responsibility • Common goals and objectives, unique campus approaches

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