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Regional Safety Team Efforts Overview Kyle L. Olsen FAA Aircraft Certification Service Transport Airplane Directorate 60 th International Air Safety Seminar (IASS) Seoul, Korea - 2 October 2007 .
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Regional Safety Team EffortsOverview Kyle L. OlsenFAA Aircraft Certification ServiceTransport Airplane Directorate 60th International Air Safety Seminar (IASS) Seoul, Korea - 2 October 2007
Because the Aviation System Is Complex,All Parts of Industry Must Work Together 800+ airlines 200+ languages 1,350+ major airports 200+ countries 150,000+ flight crew 21,000+ airplanes (Western built)
Capacity The Needs Vary Safety Efficiency
Safety Responsibilities Are SharedSafe Airplane + Safe Operation + Safe Infrastructure = Safe Air Travel Air Safety Manufacturers Governments • Safe airplane design • Technology development • Flight and maintenance support • Safety-related analysis • Safety initiatives • Aviation law • Rules and regulations • Inspectors policy,procedures, and training • Navigation facilities/operations • Airport facilities • Departure en route, arrival, approach policy, andprocedures • Air traffic control services • Safety-related analysis Operators • Safety program • Training • Operations policy andprocedures • Maintenance, policy, andprocedures Airline Travel is Extraordinarily Safe
Teams Working to Make Aviation Even Safer • FSF - CAAG (CFIT/ALAR Action Group) • CAST (Commercial Aviation Safety Team) • ESSI (European Strategic Safety Initiative) • PAAST (Pan-American Aviation Safety Team) • COSCAP (Cooperative Development of Operational Safety and continuing Airworthiness (Under ICAO Technical Co-operation Program))
Flight Safety Foundation CFIT/ALAR Action Group (CAAG) • Led by Flight Safety Foundation (FSF) • Members FSF, IATA, ALPA, IFALPA, ICAO, FAA, JAA, IFATCA/National ATC Authorities, Honeywell, Boeing, Airbus, BAe Systems • Implemented “Regional Team Leader” concept • Developed ALAR Tool Kit CD • Workshops given around the world
Vision - Mission - Goals Vision • Key aviation stakeholders acting cooperatively to lead the world-wide aviation community to the highest levels of global commercial aviation safety by focusing on the right things. Mission • Enable a continuous improvement framework built on monitoring the effectiveness of implemented actions and modifying actions to achieve the goal. Goal • Reduce the US commercial aviation fatal accident rate 80% by 2007. And • Maintain a continuous reduction in fatality risk in US and International commercial aviation beyond 2007.
CAST brings key stakeholders to cooperatively develop & implement a prioritized safety agenda Industry Government AIA Airbus ALPA APA ATA IFALPA NACA Boeing GE* RAA FSF • DOD • FAA • Aircraft Certification • Flight Standards • System Safety • Air Traffic Operations • Research • NASA • ICAO** • JAA • TCC • NATCA** • NTSB** • EASA Commercial Aviation Safety Team (CAST) IATA** AAPA** ATAC** APFA** * Representing P&W and RR ** Observer
Commercial Aviation Safety Team (CAST) CAST Joint Safety Analysis Teams (JSAT) • Data analyses • Safety enhancement development Joint Safety Implementation Teams (JSIT) • Master safety plan • Enhancement effectiveness • Future areas of study Joint Implementation Measurement Data Analysis Team (JIMDAT)
Safer Skies:A Three Stage Process Data Analysis Implement Safety Enhancements - U.S. Set Safety Priorities Agree on problems and interventions Influence Safety Enhancements - Worldwide Achieve consensus on priorities Integrate into existing work and distribute
Robust CAST Methodology • Detailed event sequence - problem identification from worldwide accidents and incidents • Broad-based teams (45-50 specialists /team) • Over 800 problem statements • Over 900 interventions proposed • Analyzed for effectiveness and synergy
CAST process led to integrated strategic safety plan • Part 121 or equivalent passenger and cargo operations studied • Current CAST plan: • 65 Prioritized Safety Enhancements • 40 Complete and 25 underway • Projected 76% fatality risk reduction by 2020 • Industry and Government implementing plan
Resource Cost Vs. Risk Reduction 100% 10000 Risk Reduction APPROVED PLAN $ 9000 Total Cost in $ (Millions) 8000 75% 7000 6000 $ Risk Eliminated by Safety Enhancements 50% 5000 Resource Cost ($ Millions) 2007 2020 4000 3000 25% 2000 $ 1000 $ $ 0% 0 All JSIT Proposed Enhancements (2020 Implementation Level) Completed Completed + Plan (2020 Implementation Level) Completed + Plan (2007 Implementation Level)
Cost Savings Part 121 Aviation Industry Cost Due to Fatal/Hull Loss Accidents 100 Historical cost of accidents per flight cycle 80 Savings ~ $56/Flight Cycle Or ~ $620 Million Dollars/Year Dollars/Flt. Cycle 60 65% Risk reduction 40 20 Cost of accident fatalities following implementation of the CAST plan @ 2007 levels 0 2002 2007
CAST Safety Plan 40 Completed Safety Enhancements • Safety Culture • Maintenance Procedures • Flight Crew Training • Air Traffic Controller Training • Uncontained Engine Failures • Terrain avoidance warning system (TAWS) • Standard Operating Procedures • Precision Approaches • Minimum Safe Altitude Warning (MSAW) Systems • Proactive Safety Programs (FOQA + ASAP)
CAST Safety Plan (cont.) 25 Committed Safety Enhancements • Policies and Procedures • Aircraft Design • Flight Crew Training (additional aspects) • Runway Incursion Prevention • Precision Approaches (additional projects) • Icing (additional turboprop projects) • Midair • Maintenance • Cargo safety culture, policies and procedures
CAST Safety Strategy \ Ongoing Accident/Incident/Studies Master Contributing Factors Performance To Plan Review Incident Analysis Process CAST Plan Industry/ Government Action Develop/Revise Enhancements & Metrics Develop/Revise Enhancements & Metrics Develop/Revise Enhancements & Metrics Emerging/ Changing Risk Things to Watch Safer System Future Changes Analysis Process Information on System Performance 10-28-05 CAST-064
The European Strategic Safety Initiative (ESSI) www.easa.europa.eu/essi ECAST - European Commercial Aviation Safety Team EHEST - European Helicopter Safety TeamEGAST - European General Aviation Safety Team
IS FIN S NO EE LV DK KZ LT RU IRL RU BY UK PL NL B UA D CZ L SK MD A HU F CH GE RO AZ SI CR AM BA SB IR BG MC IT P TR E MK AL EL IQ SY DZ MT CY MA TN
ESSI Overview ESSICOORDINATION GROUP ECAST COMMERCIAL AVIATION SAFETY TEAM EHEST HELICOPTER SAFETY TEAM EGAST GENERAL AVIATIONSAFETY TEAM WORKING GROUPS WORKING GROUPS WORKING GROUPS Safety Analysis Group Safety Analysis Group
ESSI (ECAST) - Pledge • Represents high-level commitment • Signatory organisations are: • Equal partners within the ESSI • Provide, in partnership, reasonable resources to ensure that the ESSI be effective, and • Take reasonable actions as a result of ESSI recommendations, guidance and solutions in the ESSI area(s) in which they participate
ECAST Process – 3 Phases C O M M U N I C A T I O N C O O R D I N A T I O N Phase 1. Identify and Select Safety Issues Phase 2. Analyse Safety Issues Phase 3. Develop, Implement, and Monitor Actions Plans Programme Reviews – 2012 and 2017
Future Aviation Safety Team • FAST goal is to prevent future aviation accidents by mitigating hazards before they are created by developing: • Areas of Change • Hazards • Inherent to an Area of Change and • From interaction with other Areas of Change • Recommendations • To influence the future • Tools to analyze and mitigate the hazards
PAAST Integration AND Consolidation of safety FSF IFALPA Airline Management AITAL PAAST Airline Safety Departments IATA States and Regulators IFATCA Pilots & Controllers AIRBUS BOEING EMBRAER ICAO CAST (US), JSSI (Europe) & Other Regional Teams
PAAST …ACTION TEAMS AT WORK Central Caribbean Mexico ATC Mexico East Caribbean Central America Mexico-Central America and Caribbean States (ICAO) Brazil South America States (ICAO) South America Northern Belt Airlines South America Southern Cone Air Traffic Controllers
PAAST • SOME HIGHLIGHTS: • OVER 12,980 PILOTS INSTRUCTED ON THE ALAR TOOL KIT • ALAR TOOL KIT FACILITATORS AND INSTRUCTORS TRAINED IN SEVERAL COUNTRIES • MEXICO REQUIRES ALAR TRAINING • BRAZIL, CUBA & COLOMBIA PLAN TO REQUIRE ALAR TRAINING • TOOL KIT PRESENTATIONS & VIDEOS TRANSLATION INTO SPANISH AND PORTUGUESE COMPLETED • MOST MAJOR AIRLINES IN REGION HAVE ALAR TRAINING • RUNWAY INCURSION TRAINING AID COMPLETED
Cooperative Development of Operational Safety and Continuing Airworthiness (COSCAP) Within ICAO Technical Co-operation Program
COSCAP Objective Enhance the safety and efficiency of air transport through the establishment of a self-sustaining sub-regional entity providing technical services in safety oversight to the Member States Details on COSCAP and the COSCAP Safety Teams will be given in a following presentation.
Summary • History shows focused action and introduction of new capabilities have led to accident risk reductions. • Joint industry and government teams working together to a common agenda can further enhance the safety of our very safe aviation system. • Full implementation will require a coordinated effort between industry and government.
International PerspectiveCAST Safety Enhancements Western-built transport hull loss accidents, by airline domicile, 1997 through 2006 Europe 0.7 C.I.S. 4.9 JAA - 0.6 Non JAA – 1.2 United States and Canada 0.5 China 0.3 Middle East 3.0 Asia 1.9 (Excluding China) Africa 12.0 Latin America and Caribbean 2.4 Oceania 0.0 World 1.16 Accidents per million departures
International PerspectiveCAST Safety Enhancements Western-built transport hull loss accidents, by airline domicile, 1997 through 2006 COSCAP CIS Specific CIS Projects Europe 0.7 C.I.S. 4.9 ESSI 35 SEs JAA 11 SEs EASA United States and Canada 0.5 COSCAP NA, SA, SEA NA-40 SEs in work SA, SEA-27 SEs in work CAST 65 SEs 40 complete 25 in work China 0.3 Middle East 3.0 Asia 1.9 COSCAP GS (2006) (Excluding China) COSCAP BAG Africa 12.0 COSCAP CEMEC Latin America and Caribbean 2.4 Oceania 0.0 PAAST CFIT and ALAR COSCAP UEMOA World 1.16 COSCAP AM Accidents per million departures
Cooperative Efforts Have Decreased the Accident Rate Hull Loss Accident Rate Western-Built Worldwide Commercial Jets (>60,000 lbs) 1993 - 2005 2.00 5 year running average FSF CFIT/ALAR Industry effort starts 1.60 1.20 0.80 Hull Loss Accident Rate (per million departures) 0.40 0.00 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005