Scaling Up Support to Phase II of the Africa Project on

1. Scaling Up Support to Phase II of the Africa Project on Implementation of the 2008 System of National Accounts 20th – 22nd April, 2016 Addis Ababa, Ethiopia Daniel Masolwa National Bureau of Statistics

2. Presentation Plan • Introduction; • Progress made, Challenges encountered, and innovative solutions adopted to address challenges • Administrative and technical organizations for implementation of 2008 SNA; • Establishing effective and efficient procedures and steps: Sequencing key activities and use minimum amount of time; • Developing national action plan and have it approved by authorities; • Having right organization in place; • Approach taken for validation of the action plan; • The role played by the NSO in the process; and • The Way forward Tanzania Presentation to the AGNA meeting on Implementation of the 2008 SNA in Africa

3. Introduction “Statistical thinking will one day be as necessary for the efficient citizenship as the ability to read and write” – H. G. Wells from his book Mankind in the Making. Hence the initiative of Implementation of the 2008 SNA in Africa. Tanzania Presentation to the AGNA meeting on Implementation of the 2008 SNA in Africa

4. Cont. • The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) in collaboration with the Office of the Chief Government Statistician (OCGS) - Zanzibar developed the Tanzania Statistical Master Plan (TSMP) since 2006; • Now the TSMP is in place, providing Quality Statisticswhich is the basis for sound designing, management, monitoring and evaluation of national policy frameworks, eg. National Strategy for Growth and Reduction of Poverty MDGs and SDGs. Tanzania Presentation to the AGNA meeting on Implementation of the 2008 SNA in Africa

5. What is TSMP? • The Tanzania Statistical Master Plan (TSMP) is a realistic and achievable plan to produce the data that the Government of Tanzania and key stakeholders need for use; • It is a comprehensive plan that identifies and prioritizes the country’s requirement for reliable, comprehensive and timely data covering the entire National Statistical System to address the ever-increasing demand for Statistics from various users. Tanzania Presentation to the AGNA meeting on Implementation of the 2008 SNA in Africa

6. Cont. • The TSMP is also a tool to help Tanzania comply withthe: • “Management for Results” initiative given impetus at the Washington D.C (2002) and Marrakech – Morocco (2003) round table meetings. • In these meetings it was recognized that better statistics was a priority for the “results agenda”. The Marrakech round table came up with an action plan for improving statistics. Tanzania Presentation to the AGNA meeting on Implementation of the 2008 SNA in Africa

7. Cont. • Resolved that all low income countries need to have prepared national strategies for the development of statistics by 2006 and to have started to implement them by the following year (2007); • To have enough statistics in 2010, when reviewing the next millennium; • This is in line with the guidelines of the Reference Regional Strategic Framework for Statistical Capacity Building in Africa (RRSF); Tanzania Presentation to the AGNA meeting on Implementation of the 2008 SNA in Africa

8. Reference Regional Strategic Framework for Statistical Capacity Building in Africa (RRSF) • RRSF is a meeting of Directors of NSO in Africa and the Forum on African Statistical Development (FASDEV) started early 2006, endorsed to provide strategic directions and appropriate mechanisms for guiding and accelerating the development of sustainable statistical capacity in Africa. Tanzania Presentation to the AGNA meeting on Implementation of the 2008 SNA in Africa

9. Commitment for Support • As part of its commitment to the results-based development agenda in Africa, the African Development Bank (AfDB), the World Bank, DFID,UNDP etc. committed resources to assisting regional member countries to update and/or design their statistical plans using the NSDS principles. • The TSMP Design process strictly followed NSDS Principles; Tanzania Presentation to the AGNA meeting on Implementation of the 2008 SNA in Africa

10. General Purposes of the TSMP • Addresses data limitations; • Prioritizes limited resources for statistics; • Integrates statistics within development policy; • Looks across the entire National Statistical System and provide a coherent framework for resource mobilization; • Provides action plan for statistical capacity building; • Acts as a catalyst for change; Tanzania Presentation to the AGNA meeting on Implementation of the 2008 SNA in Africa

11. Fully Co-ordinated National Statistical System • National Bureau of Statistics is at the Centre; • The Statistical Act was reviewed to give the NBS the mandate to Coordinate Production and Dissemination of Official Statistics; • Improved Quality, Integrity, Coverage, Access of data to the Public; • Helped to avoid duplication of efforts to collect the same statistical information • Prevented unnecessary waste of scarce resources; Tanzania Presentation to the AGNA meeting on Implementation of the 2008 SNA in Africa

12. Implementation of the 2008 SNA • The implementation of the 2008 SNA in Tanzania is embedded in the TSMP framework; • The concept note and work plan of the rebasing and revision of national accounts base year 2007 was submitted to TSMP coordination unit and thereafter approved by the World Bank; • The consultancy service for the rebasing and revision of national accounts was awarded to Statistics Denmark; Tanzania Presentation to the AGNA meeting on Implementation of the 2008 SNA in Africa

13. Cont. • TOR for the rebasing and revision of national accounts statistics required the output be based on ISIC Rev.4 and 2008 SNA; • The revised statistics are based on ISIC Rev. 4 and 2008 SNA; • The compilation of crops, livestock and construction activities are based on the work-in-progress basis; • Challenges are still on capitalisation of the defence assets; Tanzania Presentation to the AGNA meeting on Implementation of the 2008 SNA in Africa

14. Cont. • The constructed SUT base year 2007 have 252 products and 59 industries; • The backward and forward series are based on the balanced SUT; • GDP by expenditure is compiled using the commodity flow approach; • Statistical discrepancy exist between GDP by production account and GDP by expenditure; Tanzania Presentation to the AGNA meeting on Implementation of the 2008 SNA in Africa

15. Cont. • Sequencing of data collection activities was vital in order to timely feed into the rebasing and revision of national accounts statistics; • However, some datasets used were collected before the approval of the TSMP project. Tanzania Presentation to the AGNA meeting on Implementation of the 2008 SNA in Africa

16. Main Surveys and Censuses done • Integrated Labour Force Survey 2006; • Households Budget Survey 2007; • Non-Profit Institution Serving Households Survey 2006; • Foreign Direct Investment Survey 2007; • Annual Survey of Industrial Production 2007 & 2008; • Agriculture sample census 2007/2008; Tanzania Presentation to the AGNA meeting on Implementation of the 2008 SNA in Africa

17. Government Commitment in the TSMP process • In his launching speech, in Dar es Salaam on 6th October 2006, the guest of honour, His Excellency Dr Ali Mohamed Shein, the then Vice President of the United Republic of Tanzania stressed that: • “Union and Zanzibar Governments, as main users of statistical information, are fully behind the effort to design the Tanzania Statistical Master Plan”. Tanzania Presentation to the AGNA meeting on Implementation of the 2008 SNA in Africa

18. Government Commitment in the TSMP process… cont’d • Not only will the Government support the process of designing the Plan, but also, most importantly, it will ensure that the Plan is fully implemented. • The Vice President called all - Permanent Secretaries, Heads of Departments, in line ministries, and other government institutions - to ensure that the design of the Tanzania Statistical Master Plan is given the high priority it so deserves. Tanzania Presentation to the AGNA meeting on Implementation of the 2008 SNA in Africa

19. Technical Support and Consultancy • International Consultants from AfDB and UNECA; • National Consultants; • Short-Term Consultancy Interventions: • Mr Lucas Ojiambo – General Guidance on TSMP Development; • Mr. Chandakant Patel on TSMP Implementation Plan; • Prof. Ben.Kiregyera-African Statistics Centre UNECA, Addis Ababa. Tanzania Presentation to the AGNA meeting on Implementation of the 2008 SNA in Africa

20. Financial Support • The Government of Tanzania through the MKUKUTA Monitoring System • Development Partners mainly the World Bank, AfDB, DFID and UNDP • More Development Partners have shown willingness to support the TSMP such as UNFPA, JICA, etc Tanzania Presentation to the AGNA meeting on Implementation of the 2008 SNA in Africa

21. Challenges • Informal cross border trade is not covered in the GDP estimates; • Most of administrative records are not designed for national accounts needs; • Some surveys do not capture enough information for national accounts requirement; and • Resources are scarce, more resources are required for surveys and special studies. Tanzania Presentation to the AGNA meeting on Implementation of the 2008 SNA in Africa

22. WAY FORWARD • Next national accounts rebasing and revision is planned for 2016/17 with base year 2015; • The dissemination of the next revision results is planned for December, 2017; • EAC Partner States planned for a common GDP estimates base year; • Harmonization of GDP estimates is for convergence purposes and establishment of a single currency in the region. Tanzania Presentation to the AGNA meeting on Implementation of the 2008 SNA in Africa

23. Thank you for your attention The END Tanzania Presentation to the AGNA meeting on Implementation of the 2008 SNA in Africa