NEW APPROACH TO MIGRATION STATISTICS IN LITHUANIA

1. NEW APPROACH TO MIGRATION STATISTICSIN LITHUANIA DALIA AMBROZAITIENĖ STATISTICS LITHUANIA New approach to migration statistics in Lithuania

2. OVERVIEW • MIGRATION STATISTICS IN LITHUANIA • MEASURING UNDECLARED MIGRATION • RETURN MIGRATION SURVEY • STATISTICS ON REMITTANCES • FUTURE WORK New approach to migration statistics in Lithuania

3. CHALLANGES FOR STATISTICS LITHUANIA • Persons leaving the country difficult to count due to their absence, significant share of emigrants do not declare emigration(free movement of persons within the enlarged EU, mobility of population, abolition of border control in the Shengen area) • Problems of statistical observation of outflows; undeclared status of movements, short–term migrant became emigrant (change of place of the residence for more then 12 months) • Combination of administrative data sources does not ensure sufficient quality of emigration statistics New approach to migration statistics in Lithuania

4. INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION STATISTICS ADMINISTRATIVE DATA HOUSEHOLDS SURVEYS UNDECLARED EMIGRATION SURVEY UNDECLARED IMMIGRATION SURVEY POPULATION REGISTER DATABASE STATE SOCIAL INSURANCE DATABASE DECLARED MIGRATION FLOWS UNDECLARED MIGRATION FLOWS EVALUATION OF TOTAL MIGRATION FLOWS New approach to migration statistics in Lithuania

5. NEW DEVELOPMENTSIN MIGRATION STATISTICS UNDECLARED EMIGRATION SURVEY UNDECLARED EMIGRANT IS A PERSON WHO HAS NOT DECLARED HIS/HER DEPARTURE FROM THE COUNTRY AND HIS/HER USUAL PLACE OF RESIDENCE IS IN AN OTHER COUNTRY OR S/HE IS INTENDING TO STAY IN ANOTHER COUNTRY FOR A PERIOD 12 MONTHS OR LONGER New approach to migration statistics in Lithuania

6. UNDECLARED EMIGRATION SURVEY Data on emigrants who not declared their departure are in population register database with any changes Auxiliary information (population number by municipality, breakdown of population by sex, age group and urban/rural area) USUAL RESIDENTS OF LITHUANIA = EMPLOYED POPULATION + UNEMPLOYED POPULATION + INACTIVE POPULATION + EMIGRANTS WHO HAVE NO DECLARED THEIR DEPARTURE New approach to migration statistics in Lithuania

7. UNDECLARED EMIGRATION SURVEY Annual household survey, I quarter (2006, 2007, 2008) Framework - LFS by supplementing module on undeclared migration One-stage simple random size, sampling frame – Population register New approach to migration statistics in Lithuania

8. UNDERCLARED EMIGRATION SURVEY QUESTIONNAIRE Questions about PERSON WHO EMIGRATED New country of residence; How many years /months ago s/he left Lithuania MAIN DEMOGRAPHICS AND SOCIO-ECONOMICCHARACTERISTICS Age, sex Educational attainment Occupation before leaving Current status (worker, student, other) REASON FOR EMIGRATION FAMILY - whether all family left, where and with whom are children, who (relatives, grandparents, etc.) take care about children if both parents emigrated New approach to migration statistics in Lithuania

9. UNDECLARED EMIGRATION SURVEY Data obtained compared (at personal level, according to confidentiality rules) with databases of Population Register and the State Social Insurance Fund Board Accuracy: coefficient of variation for the number of emigrants who had not declared their departure rangedabout15 percent New approach to migration statistics in Lithuania

10. UNDECLARED MIGRATION SURVEY RESULTS – FOR EVALUATION OF UNDECLARED AND TOTAL EMIGRATION FLOWS EACH SECOND–THIRD EMIGRANT DECLARES HIS/HER DEPARTURE FROM LITHUANIA New approach to migration statistics in Lithuania

11. EMIGRATION FLOWS FROM LITHUANIA2001–2007, thousand 26,5 Evaluation based on the Undeclared emigration survey and the data of declaration of place of residence. New approach to migration statistics in Lithuania

12. IMMIGRATION SURVEY 2008 Focusing on assessment of undeclared return migration To estimate number and main characteristics on return migrants Reasonsforreturn to Lithuania Module in LFS Field work -2008, final results -2009 Pilot results- II q 2008, coefficient of variation ranged about 17 percent New approach to migration statistics in Lithuania

13. STATISTICS ON REMITTANCES Bank of Lithuania starts publishing remittances of private individuals (migrants) Collaboration between the National bank and Statistics Lithuania Balance of payments and Household survey (ICT) The cash received from the family members residing abroad or cash remittances to those living in foreign countries or residing there on the temporary basis COMPENSATION OF EMPLOYEES AND WORKERS REMITTANCES, TRANFERED – 3,6 million LTL (3.7 percent, compared with GDP) New approach to migration statistics in Lithuania

14. CHALLENGES FOR STATISTICS LITHUANIA Great need to develop specific studies HOW TO INTEGRATE statistical estimatesof undeclared international migration to migration and demographicstatistics Estimated figure is used ADITIONALLY to register-based migration statistics New approach to migration statistics in Lithuania

15. FUTURE WORK • Find the best solution aimed at further development of migration and demographic statistics • Collaboration with scientific community, international experts, Eurostat and NSI’s on methodological issues • Full implementation of European Regulation on Community migration statistics • Exchange of data on migrants between EU member states • PopulationCensus 2011 New approach to migration statistics in Lithuania

16. THANK YOU ! www.stat.gov.lt dalia.ambrozaitiene@stat.gov.lt