130 likes | 461 Views
Methodology. Results. Double Diamond. Variables. Double Diamond. Variables ... Double Diamond. Methodology. Used 3 Dependent Variables. Datastream ...
E N D
1. Double ?? Diamond Investors
Predicting Credit Spreads Doug Carson Joe Franke Jim Gereghty Fran Mulvey Jamie Vogel
2. Double ?? Diamond
Introduction Variables Methodology Results
3. Introduction
Credit Spreads Firm Specific Risk Systematic Risk Yield on Corporate Bond Yield on US Treasury
4. Introduction
5. Double ?? Diamond
Introduction Variables Methodology Results
6. Variables
7. Variables
8. Double ?? Diamond
Introduction Variables Methodology Results
9. Methodology
Used 3 Dependent Variables Datastream Aggregate Bloomberg AAA, 10-year Index Bloomberg BBB, 10-year Index Regressed against independent variables (in-sample)
10. Methodology
Found multi-factor model for each credit spread Datastream Aggregate: 7-factor Bloomberg AAA, 10-year: 5-factor Bloomberg BBB, 10-year: 7-factor Used multi-factor model from the in-sample periods to forecast the out-of-sample periods for each variable
11. Double ?? Diamond
Introduction Variables Methodology Results
12. Results
13. Double ??Diamond