Global Carbon Cycle and Ecosystems Roadmap: Advancing Climate Interactions and Technology

1. NASAVision for Ocean Biology & BiogeochemistryAdvance Planning Team2005-2006

2. Integrated global analyses Report Carbon Cycle and Ecosystems Roadmap Human-Ecosystems-Climate Interactions (Model-Data Fusion, Assimilation); Air-Sea Flux Sub-regional sources/sinks Funded T High-Resolution Atmospheric CO2 Unfunded Southern Ocean Carbon Program, Air-Sea CO2 Flux Process controls; errors in sink reduced Partnership Models w/improved ecosystem functions T= Technology development T Physiology & Functional Types Reduced flux uncertainties; coastal carbon dynamics Coastal Carbon = Field Campaign Global Ocean Carbon / Particle Abundance Reduced flux uncertainties; global carbon dynamics Goals: Global productivity and land cover change at fine resolution; biomass and carbon fluxes quantified; useful ecological forecasts and improved climate change projections T Vegetation 3-D Structure, Biomass, & Disturbance Terrestrial carbon stocks & species habitat characterized Global CH4;Wetlands, Flooding & Permafrost CH4 sources characterized and quantified Knowledge Base Global Atmospheric CO2 (OCO) Regional carbon sources/sinks quantified for planet N. American Carbon Program N. America’s carbon budget quantified Land Use Change in Amazonia Effects of tropical deforestation quantified; uncertainties in tropical carbon source reduced 2002: Global productivity and land cover resolution coarse; Large uncertainties in biomass, fluxes, disturbance, and coastal events Models & Computing Capacity Process Understanding Case Studies Improvements: P Land Cover (Landsat) Bridge (LDCM) Land Cover (OLI) Systematic Observations Ocean Color (SeaWiFS, MODIS) Ocean/Land (VIIRS/NPP) Ocean/Land (VIIRS/NPOESS) Vegetation, Fire (AVHRR, MODIS) Vegetation (AVHRR, MODIS) IPCC IPCC 2008 2010 2012 2014 2015 2002 2004 2006 Global C Cycle Global C Cycle NA Carbon NA Carbon

3. Integrated global analyses Report Carbon Cycle and Ecosystems Roadmap Human-Ecosystems-Climate Interactions (Model-Data Fusion, Assimilation); Air-Sea Flux Sub-regional sources/sinks Funded T High-Resolution Atmospheric CO2 Unfunded Southern Ocean Carbon Program, Air-Sea CO2 Flux Process controls; errors in sink reduced Partnership Models w/improved ecosystem functions T= Technology development Physiology & Functional Types T Reduced flux uncertainties; coastal carbon dynamics Coastal Carbon = Field Campaign Global Ocean Carbon / Particle Abundance Reduced flux uncertainties; global carbon dynamics Goals: Global productivity and land cover change at fine resolution; biomass and carbon fluxes quantified; useful ecological forecasts and improved climate change projections T Vegetation 3-D Structure, Biomass, & Disturbance Terrestrial carbon stocks & species habitat characterized Global CH4;Wetlands, Flooding & Permafrost CH4 sources characterized and quantified Knowledge Base Global Atmospheric CO2 (OCO) Regional carbon sources/sinks quantified for planet N. American Carbon Program N. America’s carbon budget quantified Land Use Change in Amazonia Effects of tropical deforestation quantified; uncertainties in tropical carbon source reduced 2002: Global productivity and land cover resolution coarse; Large uncertainties in biomass, fluxes, disturbance, and coastal events Models & Computing Capacity Process Understanding Case Studies Improvements: P Land Cover (Landsat) Bridge (LDCM) Land Cover (OLI) Systematic Observations Ocean Color (SeaWiFS, MODIS) Ocean/Land (VIIRS/NPP) Ocean/Land (VIIRS/NPOESS) Vegetation, Fire (AVHRR, MODIS) Vegetation (AVHRR, MODIS) IPCC IPCC 2008 2010 2012 2014 2015 2002 2004 2006 Global C Cycle Global C Cycle NA Carbon NA Carbon

4. CC&E Roadmap - Oceans • North American Carbon Program (03-04/Partnership) • Global Ocean Carbon/Particle Abundance • Coastal Carbon • Physiology and Functional Types • Southern Ocean Carbon Program (Partnership) • Challenges – update technology roadmaps, slide time line forward….

5. Ocean Biology and BiogeochemistryWhere do we go from here? Agency – advance planning, reorg SMD reorg + Earth science advance planning Focus Area advance planning Programmatic advance planning – the next 20-30 years of ocean biology and biogeochemistry research

6. NASA Current and Approved Oceans and Ice Missions 10 11 12 13 14 15 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 Beyond OSTM (2008) and Aquarius (2009), there are no approved NASA oceanographic satellite missions NPOESS OPS Directed TOPEX/P. JASON OSTM QuikSCAT AQUA/MODIS ICESAT Competed GRACE AQUARIUS Comm SEAWIFS Today Primary Mission Approved Extended Mission Conditionally Approved Extended Mission

7. Advance Plan Team Contributors: Michael Behrenfeld – Oregon State University Paula Bontempi – NASA HQ Heidi Dierssen – University of Connecticut Charles McClain – NASA GSFC Paul DiGiacomo – NASA JPL Steve Lohrenz – University of Southern Mississippi Frank Muller-Karger – University of South Florida David Siegel – University of California - Santa Barbara James Yoder – URI/WHOI

8. Advance Plan Process • Science Questions to address the next 30 years of Ocean Biology and Biogeochemistry Research – benefit to society • Science Measurements (from space) • Observational Strategy - In situ and remote technology options • Technological readiness • Science prioritization

9. Role of the Community • Introduction – P. Bontempi/NASA HQ • Science Questions – D. Siegel/UCSB • Observational Strategies – M. Behrenfeld/OSU & P. DiGiacomo/NASA JPL • Systematic Observations, Partnerships, Modeling, In situ planning, Summary – P. Bontempi/NASA HQ • Community Feedback and Discussion – P. Bontempi & P. DiGiacomo • Science Questions • Prioritization

10. Earth’s Living Ocean: The Undiscovered World (The Unseen World) NASA Ocean Biology & Biogeochemistry Program