Dr. John R. Olds, PE Executive Director, FastForward Project Study Group

1. FastForward Study Project: Overview of Activities and Findings Fall 2012 COMSTAC Meeting | October2012 | Version B Dr. John R. Olds, PE Executive Director, FastForward Project Study Group CEO | SpaceWorks Enterprises, Inc. | john.olds@sei.aero | 1+770.379.8002 Mr. Dominic DePasquale Deputy Director, FastForward Project Study Group Director of Washington, D.C. Operations | SpaceWorks Enterprises, Inc. | dominic.depasquale@sei.aero | 1+202.503.1753

2. Outline • Introduction to the FastForward Project • Mission Statement • Current Membership • Focus Areas • Group History and Statistics • Key FastForward Project Products (2008-2012) • PtP Publications • Market Research and Analysis • Analytical Tools and Models • Important Findings and Conclusions to Date

3. INTRODUCTION

4. Mission Statement • The FastForward Project is a diverse, ad-hoc study group focused on common issues related to future high-speed commercial point-to-point transportation (including passenger travel and fast package delivery) • All-volunteer effort consisting of industry, government, and academia • Hosted by SpaceWorks Enterprises, Inc. (Atlanta, GA, USA) • Our focus is on examining pre-competitive issues and questions key to understanding the technical and economic viability of future global high speed point-to-point passenger and cargo services • Our group produces technical papers, white papers, market analysis, and software tools related to global PtP transportation for use by our members and the community at-large

5. Current FastForward Project Members

6. Primary FastForward Study Group Focus Areas The focus of FastForward is on pre-competitive analysis and assessment of future global high-speed point-to-point passenger and cargo services Market assessment and characterization of future commercial high speed point-to-point service for passengers and cargo, including economic drivers Identification of key regulatory and policy issues and challenges Evaluation of candidate flight vehicle options and technology needs Identification of key challenges for emerging Aerospaceports in the U.S. and abroad Identification of synergies with ongoing government investments on advanced high-speed flight programs and technologies

7. Founded in 2008, the membership and activities of the FastForward Project have continued to grow and evolve • 52 individual volunteer members and affiliates • 30 organizations are represented • Member organizations consist of major aerospace contractors, emerging new space companies, spaceports, key federal government agencies, and academia Membership Key Activities • Hosted 22 bimonthly teleconferences featuring 28 different keynote speakers promoting information exchange and serving as a forum for PtP discussions • Established a web presence at www.fastforwardproject.com for disseminating papers and presentations • Sponsored members-only workshops at the FAA Commercial Space Workshop and ISPCS conferences • Participated in 4 panel sessions discussing the potential of PtP markets at SPACE 2009, Google Talks, NewSpace 2009, CRASTE 2009 (CRLV Session) History and Statistics

8. Key Products (2008-2012)

9. Publications The FastForward Project has produced numerous publications and research material related to ultra-high speed PtP flight • Six Technical Papers Related to PtP Markets and Business Cases • IAC 2008, SPACE 2009 (2), IAC 2009, 2011 IAA Symposium on Private Human Access to Space (2) • List of Opportunities for Study and Research Related to High-Speed PtP Flight • “Needs List” targeting graduate students and academic researchers • Top 7 Challenges Facing Spaceports for Future PtP • Collaborative effort of FastForward spaceport members (October 2009) • FastForward Group White Paper (October 2009) • Getting Faster: A Case for High-Speed Global Point-to-Point Flight as a Logical Transition Between Suborbital Space Tourism and Low-Cost, Reusable Space Access

10. Supporting Market Research and Analysis FastForward members have conducted in-depth research and analysis of the potential market for PtP networks • Passenger Market • Air Transportation Passenger Data Annex published in support of Point-to-Point People with Purpose at the 2011 IAA Symposium on Private Human Access to Space • Quantification of the first class passenger market along potential PtP routes • Cargo Market • Quantification of the top 5 intercontinental air cargo routes based upon data from Boeing World Air Cargo Forecast • Is the World Ready for High-Speed Intercontinental Package Delivery analysis of priority cargo market published at IAC 2008 • Public Market Surveys Pertaining to Commercial PtP • 2011 - 2012 online surveys conducted related to high speed PtP flight issues summarized in Findings of 2011-2012 Surveys

11. Analytical Tools and Models The FastForward Project has developed a suite of software tools for use by our members for PtP research • GHoST Calculator (Global Hypersonic Shipping Time Calculator) • Excel-based tool for calculating fast package delivery times for candidate cities given range, pickup/distribution times, and vehicle average flight speed (members only release from SpaceWorks) • Summarized in technical paper AIAA-2009-6403 • Simulation of Global Ultra-High Speed PtP Transportation Services Network of 13 Potential Destinations • Rockwell Arena-based, discrete event simulation network operations model of a notional future global PtP system (limited distribution from SpaceWorks) • Used to perform trade studies and analyses on vehicle design parameters, ground operations, fleet operations and sizing, and market models

12. Important Findings and Conclusions to Date

13. Important Observations and Conclusions to Date (1 of 2) The knowledge gained from several years of FastForward Project collaboration has provided insight into many key areas of interest The path toward a scheduled global ultra-high speed service is likely to be evolutionary,with early “on-demand” suborbital vehicles and supersonic business jets in the next decade leading to broader scheduled services later Market evolution from simple up-down suborbital space tourism flights to longer range PtP flights seems like the most interesting first generation market for an ultra-high speed passenger service Significant economic, technical, and regulatory challenges existfor the development of commercially viable, global PtP transportation networks From an economic perspective, sustainable markets for fast passenger travel and priority cargo will, on an overall global average, only support relatively low premiums over today’s prices while the vehicles needed to meet these demands are still very expensive to operate. Careful market research and route identification (specific routes and specific goods and services that will be profitable) and reductions in flight vehicle operating costs are both needed before PtP will be economically viable

14. Important Observations and Conclusions to Date (2 of 2) The knowledge gained from several years of FastForward Project collaboration has provided insight into many key areas of interest. Supporting regulatory frameworks need to be established with early FAA engagementas issues such as overflight laws, liability insurance, noise restrictions, customs, and integration with NexGen ATC may be unique and time consuming to resolve domestically and internationally “Spaceports” are leading the way for near-term PtP,and will likely form the first global network of destinations to be followed later by commercial airports Significant military synergies exist with dual-use technology investmentopportunities in critical need areas including propulsion, thermal protection, and autonomous flight control. This makes early government technology investment critically important for high-speed PtP vehicle risk and development cost reductions Multiple technical solutions for high-speed PtP vehicles appear viable,including supersonic jets, hypersonic cruisers, and ballistic rocket vehicles. There are likely to be many solutions to offer this class of service, each optimized for its target submarket and reflecting the developing organization’s experience and interests

15. www.fastforwardproject.com