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2010 Houston Marine Insurance Seminar Westin Galleria Hotel September 20 th , 2010. Evolutionary Change at OIL. Genetic Evolution. Corporate Evolution & Adaptation. It is unlike genetic evolution Brought about by internal and external forces Can be slow or fast
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2010Houston Marine Insurance SeminarWestin Galleria HotelSeptember 20th, 2010 Oil Insurance Limited
Evolutionary Change at OIL Oil Insurance Limited
Genetic Evolution Oil Insurance Limited
Corporate Evolution & Adaptation • It is unlike genetic evolution • Brought about by internal and external forces • Can be slow or fast • In OIL’s case, the forces have been both monumental and subtle • Ivan, Katrina, Rita & Ike: $3.3 billion in claims • Rating & Premium Plan: Leaks, shifts & others • Deepwater Horizon: TBD Oil Insurance Limited
Windstorm Changes Oil Insurance Limited
Ivan, Katrina, Rita & Ike • In hindsight, • Ivan, Katrina & Rita • Demonstrated that the mutual did not adequately allocate premium based upon Atlantic Named Windstorm (ANWS) risk • Onshore and Offshore ANWS Sectors were introduced in 2007 • Ike • Demonstrated that the ANWS Sector Weightings were very difficult to properly calibrate and that large losses still produced scaling of limit • New Windstorm Plan in 2010 Oil Insurance Limited
Historical Losses (10 yrs) • Windstorm losses have contributed over 58% of OIL’s total losses during the past 5 years and 49% over the past 10 years • From 1999 to 2003, windstorm losses only accounted for 6% of OIL’s total losses Oil Insurance Limited
New Windstorm Plan Summary • $150M part of $250M Quota Share per occurrence limit • Per shareholder annual aggregate limit = twice the per occurrence limit • Losses up to an annual aggregate retention of $300M are mutualized among all members in the Standard Pool • Losses above the $300M retention are mutualized among windstorm members in two new pools (onshore & offshore) • ANWS Sectors are eliminated • No losses flow through the Flat Pool Oil Insurance Limited
New Windstorm Plan Summary • New deductible discount curves • No deductible scaling • Premium weighting for high vs. low windstorm activity areas • Rest of the World coverage • Differs from ANWS • Other features • New Retro coverage & pricing mechanism for both windstorm and non-windstorm losses Oil Insurance Limited
Loss to Premium Flows $750M Per Event Aggregation Limit $300MPer Shareholder Annual Aggregate Limit $150M Q/S Onshore Excess Pool Offshore Excess Pool Deductible Multiple events are added together at year’s end before allocation to the WS Pools’ Annual Aggregate Retention and Excess Pools $300M WS Pools’ Annual Aggregate Retention (8 Business Sectors & Standard Pool Only) Limits Premium Oil Insurance Limited
Rating & Premium Plan (R&PP) Changes Oil Insurance Limited
Old R&PP – What was bad? • Changes in WGAs can shift premium from one group of members to another • Immediate & Automatic • System is subject to “surprises” • The use of Current WGA to calculate Current Premium & TWP • Optionality Complexity • APS discourages deductible changes • Members must account for future obligations to OIL (TWP) Oil Insurance Limited
New Lock-In Method • It maintains the same 5 year post loss funding method of the Old R&PP • The new plan is designed to: • Eliminate significant swings in premium and TWP • Simplify the R&PP formula • Eliminate the periodic and unintended shifting of premium and TWP from one or more members to others Oil Insurance Limited
New Lock-In Method • WGA calculation and Sector Weightings remain independent of this method • Pool %N = Weighted Gross AssetsN Total Weighted Gross AssetsN • Final Pool % in any given year is calculated using the Gross Assets reported as of December 31 from the prior year • Premium is only affected in the year following a new loss year and new Pool %’s • Asset Year → Pool % Year → Premium Year Oil Insurance Limited
New Lock-In Method • Current Premium(separate calculations for Standard and Flat Premium) • 20% of Losses1 * Pool %1 • 20% of Losses2 * Pool %2 • 20% of Losses3 * Pool %3 • 20% of Losses4 * Pool %4 • 20% of Losses5 * Pool %5 • Expenses1 * Pool %1 • Risk Premium Factor (+ or -), if any Oil Insurance Limited
Deepwater Horizon Oil Insurance Limited
OIL’s Response ? • OIL will likely wait for final legal, regulatory & financial requirements to be established before contemplating change. Oil Insurance Limited
Thank You Oil Insurance Limited
Marine Insurance Seminar September 20, 2010
Hurricanes Katrina & Rita Hurricanes Katrina & Rita’s impact on OCIL: • Speculative reaction by rating agencies • Exposure analysis • Executed new underwriting strategy • Increased attachments • Reduced maximum limits • Reduced expected losses and volatility • Growth and diversity
Significant Changes Since the Hurricanes 2006 • Reduced the minimum limit required for membership to $25 million from $50 million 2008 • Shareholders approved amendments to the Shareholders’ Agreement to provide for Non-Shareholder Policyholders and to allow OCIL to act as a reinsurance company • Maximum Policy Limit reduced to $100M • Policy form flexibility (claims made and occurrences reported) 2009 • Wrote first assumed treaty reinsurance contract 2010 • Shareholders’ Agreement was amended permitting other lines of insurance subject to ¾ approval by the Board of Directors
Where we are today! • 2009 & 2010 saw significant growth and wider spread of business from direct writings and assumed reinsurance transactions • 60 Shareholders and 10 Policyholders headquartered in U.S., Canada, South America, Europe & Africa. • 4 Treaty Reinsurance Programs
Who we are today! • S&P’s May 2010 report states that OCIL’s capital adequacy ratio is above S&P’s minimum for the AAA range • Strong reinsurance program provided by quality reinsurance companies
Impact from Deepwater Horizon • OCIL’s exposure to the event is minimal • Questions remain on how the conventional market will react in maintaining capacity • Awaiting outcome of government drilling ban and amendment to OPA • OCIL has seen an increase in submissions and requests for increased limits since the explosion • OCIL is responding promptly to inquiries