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Mike Short Director, Network Strategy - Cellnet Chairman - Mobile Data Association mshort@cellnet.co.uk www.mda-mobiledata.org. Time for a D@T@ Task Force?. M. i. l. l. i. n. s. World Cellular Subscriber Growth to Dec 98. 350. 305m. 300. 204m. 250. 200. 138m. 150. 87m. o.
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Mike Short Director, Network Strategy - Cellnet Chairman - Mobile Data Association mshort@cellnet.co.uk www.mda-mobiledata.org
Time for a D@T@ Task Force?
M i l l i n s World CellularSubscriber Growth to Dec 98 350 305m 300 204m 250 200 138m 150 87m o 100 55m 34.1m 22.9m 50 16m 0 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 Year End
Cellular Data Growth Globally: 1999-2007 (millions of users) 400 350 300 250 CIRCUIT 200 PACKET SMS ONLY 150 100 50 0 END 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 YEAR Total Global Cellular Subscribers 371 450 527 602 674 744 806 863 912 Source: OVUM 1998
35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 END 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 YEAR Cellular Data Growth Globally: 1999-2007 (% subscribers using data) Source: OVUM 1998
Mobiles & the Internet - some predictions • Within two years all mobile terminals will be Internet-enabled. • Within two years mobile data will be faster than today’s ISDN lines. • Mobile trading will be a reality by 2001. • By 2005 more mobiles will be connected to the web than PCs. • 30% of all Internet traffic will be accessed by mobile by 2005.
Death of Distance 1G - Transport of Goods 2G - Transport of People 3G - Transport of Ideas Source:- www.deathofdistance.com - Frances Cairncross
Mobile Internet Collaborate or Compete?
IP Backbone Mobile IP VoIP GSM Data Staircase UMTS EDGE 2002 GPRS 2001 WAP / Bluetooth 2000 USSD 1999 SMS 1998 1997
Internet Evolution • World Wide Web • HTML HDML XML • Internet as Interconnect • Mobile IP - Version 6 • VoIP
Association Preparation • Liaison with - MDA / WDF - GMCF - WAP Forum - Blue Tooth • Public Relations - Mobile Data Guides - CD ROM D@T@ Task Force
SERG: - Requirements / IETF - Mobile IP ‘Roadmap’ IREG: - Signalling / Addressing - GPRS Awareness BARG: - Data Billing TWG: - Data Terminals WAP Liaison CSG: - Data Publicity - MDA / WDF Liaison D@T@ Task Force
GSM D@T@ Task Force • Know-how transfer • Data Roaming • Business development • Loyalty • Cost reduction • Preparing for competitive threat.