820 likes | 875 Views
Terrorist, Hurricanes, and Viruses, What’s next?. Tampa, Florida March 12th, 2006 James G. Young, M.D. Special Advisor to the Deputy Minister Public Safety and Emergency Preparedness Canada. Will we face emergencies?. Aging and interconnected infrastructure Terrorism
E N D
Terrorist, Hurricanes, and Viruses, What’s next? Tampa, Florida March 12th, 2006 James G. Young, M.D. Special Advisor to the Deputy Minister Public Safety and Emergency Preparedness Canada
Will we face emergencies? • Aging and interconnected infrastructure • Terrorism • Natural emergencies and global warming • Political deaths • Emerging diseases and pandemics
Trends In Emergencies • More frequent • Bigger • International in scope • Complex
Blackout Facts • August 14, 2004, 4:00 pm • 50 million people • 61,800 megawatts of load • OHIO, Michigan, Pennsylvania, New York, Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, New Jersey, Ontario • Northern portion of eastern grid • 10% of total grid
The Causes • Inadequate situational awareness at First Energy • Training inadequate • Procedures inadequate • Equipment needs • Inadequate tree timing • Sagging wires because of heat • Inadequate diagnostic support along system
Roles of Forensics and Policing • Assess cyber risk • Investigate physical damage • Public safety and security
Terrorism • Cyber • Bombs • Biological • Chemical
Land Area 1,919,443 square kilometers Population: 211 million 4th Largest in the World Muslims 90% Largest Muslim Country in World (India 2nd) GNP per Head $690 U.S. GNP Growth 2% (77 - 2001); (33 in 2001) Indonesia
Jemaaj Islamiah • Aim Muslim axis – Indonesia, Malaysia, South Philippines • Links Al Qaeda • Arrest Abu Bakar Bashir • Declaration as terrorist organization
Role of foreign countries • Scientific Expertise • Investigative Expertise • Organizational Structure and Support (e.g. computers) • Medical Aid
Guerillas Fighters VersusTerrorists • Guerillas Fighters want to occupy Territory • Terrorists want to occupy Thinking
Some Roles of Forensic Science in Terrorism • Who died? • Who did it? • What caused it? • How was it done?
Multidisciplinary Approach To Terrorism • Shoe Bomber – Richard Reid • Analysis of Bomb • Multi-agency Re-creation • Mitochondria Hair Analysis
Anthrax- Role of Science • Identify agent • Advise re decontamination • Techniques to open letters • Information re anthrax made • When anthrax made • Characteristics of anthrax • Analysis of other evidence • e.g. tape, ink, fibers, DNA, copying
Immediate Effects in Ontario • Public safety • Operate government • Air space • Border problems • Economic consequences
9-11 Identification • > 50% • Recognition • Dental • Fingerprints • DNA • Heat • Decomposition • Volume
Who Died? • Original numbers • Checking the numbers • Remembering to report back • Duplication • spelling • reports by relatives • countries • Individuals not reporting
Identifying Bodies • 30 countries plus Thailand • Countries in support Thailand • All bodies managed same way • Agreeing on a protocol • Get message to all levels
Establishing Identity • Post mortem • Ante mortem • Reconciliation process
Ante Mortem • When should we begin? • All countries collect, process DNA • standard computer program • RCMP Vancouver collect, enter