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Chapter 6 Office & Industrial Property. Major Topics. Office Property Defining office space quality The demand drivers for office space Translating employment growth to office space demand The trends that shape the amount of space required per worker Industrial Property
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Major Topics Office Property • Defining office space quality • The demand drivers for office space • Translating employment growth to office space demand • The trends that shape the amount of space required per worker Industrial Property • The demand drivers for Industrial property • Factors driving the location decisions • Affect of e-commerce “Real Estate Principles for the New Economy”: Norman G. Miller and David M. Geltner
Reasons for cyclic Real Estate market • Competition and Lead time factor • Inconsistent capital flows • Lease terms Expansion Phase: Rising occupancy and Rents, increased construction rates Mature phase: increased vacancy, construction still on going Recovery Phase: Excess supply keeps rent low, little or no construction, demand picks up Correction phase: rents declining, minimum new construction Typical Cycle “Real Estate Principles for the New Economy”: Norman G. Miller and David M. Geltner
Office Property Definitions • Occupancy (Vacancy) rate -- % of total square footage of leaseable space that is occupied (vacant) • (Net) Absorption -- net change in space available for lease between two dates
Texas Market Reports • http://recenter.tamu.edu/mreports/
Office Property Definitions • Class A • Excellent location and accessibility • Rent rates in upper 33% of total office market range • Class B • Good location and access • Rent rates in upper 60% of market sector’s range • Class C • Buildings generally more than 15 years old • Rent rates in lower 40%
Office Property Definitions • Net Usable or Leaseable Area • The actual area of a floor or an office suite that can be occupied • Efficiency Ratio • The percentage of total usable space to the total gross space in the building. • Load Factor • The percentage of space on a floor that is not usable
Office Market Demand Analysis • Employment trends • Net new demand = expected new employees * avg space required • Space Required • Archiving, telecommuting and hotelling • Types of businesses • Location • Impact of local taxes
Location • Actual rate of absorption is almost always biased towards the suburbs • Over 2/3 of the office space in the last 10 years in the largest U.S. cities has been absorbed in the suburbs • Tax benefits, enterprise zones “Real Estate Principles for the New Economy”: Norman G. Miller and David M. Geltner
National Office Market Trends • Increase in office hotelling and hence decrease in per employee space requirement • Increase in telecommuting and office sharing • Suburban office markets have fared better than CBDs • City governments in turn have increased incentives to keep major employers in the city
Introduction to Industrial Property • Industrial property is of two types: • Manufacturing (Heavy and Light) property • Distribution Warehouse property • “Flex space” both on property • “Build-to-Suit” properties • Impact on own vs. lease decision?
Factors Influencing Location Decisions • Labor Cost, Labor Climate and Skills • Proximity to Suppliers • Access to Transportation Facilities • Quality of Life • Utilities, Taxes, Insurance, Unemployment and other Real Estate costs • Environmental regulations
Distribution Warehouse Property • Demand is driven by the location of inventory requirements • Criteria of location selection for warehouse are • Price/Weight ratio of product • Minimization of transportation cost • Speed of delivery
END “Real Estate Principles for the New Economy”: Norman G. Miller and David M. Geltner