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Evaluation for Stronger Results. Vinod Thomas, Director-General, Evaluation Third International Roundtable Managing for Development Results, Hanoi February 6, 2007. Development Effectiveness. Local Policy Makers. Donors/ IFIs. Country Outcomes. Policies. Political Economy. Knowledge.
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Evaluation for Stronger Results Vinod Thomas, Director-General, Evaluation Third International Roundtable Managing for Development Results, Hanoi February 6, 2007
Development Effectiveness Local Policy Makers Donors/ IFIs Country Outcomes Policies Political Economy Knowledge Results in a World of Multiple Players Aid Effectiveness Source: F. Bourguignon, Presentation at IEG Meeting (October, 2006)
Differing Results at Project and Country Levels • Project ratings show upward trend since the early 1990s, reversing a long decline • In one-third of cases, Country Assistance Strategy (CAS) outcome ratings were unsatisfactory when project ratings were satisfactory
Wide Variation in Results in Policy Areas • Quality-Quantity disconnects: Primary education support gave high priority to increasing enrollments, but less to learning. • Donor disconnects: In fragile states, donors often have not shared a common purpose, hence policy coherence has been hard to achieve. • Policy disconnects: In many countries benefits from trade liberalization have not been sustainable due to lack of complementary policies.
Role of M&E in Development Support • Poverty reduction strategy papers and MDGs need M&E systems. • Programmatic lending relies on country systems to collect performance indicators and monitor and evaluate programs. • Country M&E capacity essential component of development community’s results-based agenda. • Participatory approaches increase the need for country-level M&E capacity.
How M&E Help Track Results • Enhance transparency and support accountability relationships. • Support evidence-based policy-making in the national budget cycle and national planning. • Support government agencies in service delivery and the management of staff.
M&E Limitations • One size does not fit all. • Project-level and country-level objectives need to be aligned. • Measuring results requires clearly defined, realistic objectives. • Data manageability and quality crucial for measuring outcomes. • M&E systems alone cannot improve performance.
Challenges to Results-Oriented Evaluation • With the emphasis shifting to programs, can M&E address attribution of results as well as accountability? • How does country capacity influence the design, implementation and utilization of M&E? • Has the results agenda increased M&E capacity and harmonization within the development community?