160 likes | 268 Views
Petroleum Funds and the Experience in Chad Silvana Tordo, Sr. Energy Economist, COCPO Washington, D.C. May 16-17, 2007. Introduction Characteristics of oil revenue Fiscal policy implications NRF: Objectives Some well established oil funds Important features
E N D
Petroleum Funds and the Experience in Chad • Silvana Tordo, Sr. Energy Economist, COCPO • Washington, D.C. • May 16-17, 2007
Introduction • Characteristics of oil revenue • Fiscal policy implications • NRF: • Objectives • Some well established oil funds • Important features • Maturity of the HC sector: why does it matter? • Chad: • Is Chad is so special?
Characteristics of Oil Revenue Uncertainty Volatility Mostly beyond the control of HG/Oil Companies
Fiscal Policy Implications To mitigate the effects of uncertain and volatile revenue countries could: • “Stabilize” expenditure, use revenue to ensure against volatility/uncertainty • Promote investment friendly environment
Fiscal Policy Rules • Level of public expenditure to be consistent with sustainable rate/capacity growth • Use conservative price and production forecast • Use appropriate risk mitigation tools (fiscal systems, oil funds, contracts, hedging ..) • Save excess revenue abroad • …but fiscal discipline is the “key”
Objectives of NRFs To protect the economy from resource revenue volatility • Stabilization • Savings • Precautionary • Other To set aside revenue for future generations To hedge against extraordinary events Lack of absorptive capacity
Indicators of the Relation of the Oil Sector to the Economy, 2004 Source: Experiences with oil funds. ESMAP 2006
Important Features of NRFs: • Integration with the budget process: • Virtual • Real • Other practical issues: • Legal foundation • Rules for flows in and out of the NRF • Financial management (clear investment strategy, performance benchmark) • Oversight (accountability, independent audit, transparency)
New producers, especially developing countries, face a number of issues which make the use of NRFs both attractive and problematic
Is Chad so special? • New hydrocarbon province: geological risk, quality, development cost • Relatively high country risk • Large immediate expenditure needs • Low absorptive capacity • Public expenditure management issues • Governance challenges