CAX and Civil Crisis Response Operations

1. The CIVSIM Project CAXand Civil Crisis Response Operations Rome, December 09

2. Agenda • The CIVSIM Project • Introduction • CAX as a Training Method for Civil Crisis Response Operations • ‘The Exercise’ process described • Planning and Preparation • Conducting the Exercise - concept, tools and interfaces • CAX Demonstration • 2 Vignettes of play (Flood, Earthquake) • Simulations of Choice • The question of ‘which Simulation Model?’ • After Action Review process • Open Discussion

3. The CIVSIM Project • Who we are… • Experience…

4. Purpose • To introduce a potential of Computer Assisted eXercise, as a training methodology for the Regional Crisis Management Operational Centers (RCMOC) in Italy.

5. Introduction • Simulation is a means of representing dynamically the operating conditions of a real system. • Simulation used in training, dynamically models real environments and/or equipment to enable training audienceto acquire and practice skills, knowledge and attitudes. • Like any operation, civil protection activities requires that both the individuals and the agencies involved be properly trained to perform their assigned duties. • The use of simulation models permits decision makers to determine nearly all outcomes of the crisis management.

6. Compensation of Training Conditions Efficiency Quality of Training Close to Reality Minimise Risk Goals

7. Key Factors • Trained personnel • Existing Crisis Management procedures • Needs in an emergency • Capability for success • Definition of success • Strategy of long-term funding • Sufficient assets

8. Computer Simulated Modeling Byrne (1997) wrote basic orientation with record: “It is not the question,What happened?” ... or even “What might happen?”, but rather “What are the necessary and sufficient conditions for a given result to be obtained?” Represent all activities and procedures, which are directed towards imitation of processes or entities from the real world.

9. The Exercise Process ‘The Exercise’

10. Exercise Planning & Preparation • Planning conferences • Define exercise objectives • Determine areas of responsibility: • SIMCEN & EXERCISING HQ • Determine training audience • Define scenario • Define exercise control structure • Storyline development • Event/Incident build • CAX Database development • Conduct Training • Players and Operators

11. Exercise Conduct • The Exercise plays out… • Scripts controls the play of the Storylines • Simulation represents movements of units over time • Training Audience receives Information (stimulation): • from the Simulation reports • from Command & Control Systems populated by the simulation • from the Role Players • Simulation captures decisions made by the Training Audience • Training Audience Assistance • Observers monitor the reaction of the Training Audience • Trainers guide the Training Audience through their processes

12. RCMOC RCMOC RCMOC Regional Crisis Management Operational Center Exercise Conduct…

13. CAX Vignettes DEMONSTRATION

14. Vignette Slides • Description of Vignettes Describe the actions as the vignettes playout • Explain the Entities Relate the Modelled entities to Real World Entities • Reporting Show some examples of JTLS reports

15. Other Simulation Models • JCATS • Higher level of fidelity • Used to model and train lower level operational units • <screen shots??> • Who uses this for civil stuff? • VBS2 • Big boys game… <show video> • Simulation Federations • HLA

16. AAR After Action Review (AAR)

17. Simulation Data Game Truth, Results Observer Reports Command & Staff Actions • Trends, Issues • Strengths & Weaknesses • Possible Solutions Analysis: Why It Happened AAR: Facilitated Discussion AAR Process What Happened What was Right… or Wrong Reports Analytical Tool Integrate AAR Support Package HOW TO DO IT BETTER NEXT TIME

18. After Action Review • Focuses Training Audience on achievement of the Exercise & Training Objectives. • AAR elements : • Training Objectives • Exercise Control • Training Environment • Execution • Lessons Learned • Simulation Results

19. CAX Analysis

20. Local Capability of Regions in Italy 2009

21. 1 8 11 Analysis

22. Cluster Analysis 40 Variables CLUSTER ANALYSIS

23. Clusters of Regions in Italy

24. Estimate of Incident

25. Efficiency of TA

26. Local Capability Local Capability In A Capable Municipalities Of BOGALAND 76 %

27. In a Nutshell • Conclusion • From a learning standpoint, simulation allows realistic experimentation in a context sometimes difficult or impossible to replicate with the real equipment. • Leaders with an eye to the future have to develop their vision with simulators based on a careful analysis of their experiences in sufficient detail to be of actual use in the future.

28. In a Nutshell • Exercise Definition & Planning • Training Objectives, Exercise Script • Computer AssistedeXercise • Dynamic control of real systems • Predetermined Outcomes • Space and Time Consistency • Situational Awareness • Assessment, Evaluation & Review • Analysis of capability before and after training

29. In a Nutshell (cont’d) • EffectiveAssessment]Focused Training Objectives • Fully Modeled CAX]Real World Decision Making • Train as you Operate • CAX replaces Live elements ]Cost Effective Training

30. Computer Assisted eXercises Questions ?