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100 Per Cent Renewables Study Supply-side Modelling Assumptions and Input Stakeholder Information Forum 28 September 201

Presented by: Tim Forcey. 100 Per Cent Renewables Study Supply-side Modelling Assumptions and Input Stakeholder Information Forum 28 September 2012. 100 PER CENT RENEWABLES STUDY Supply-side modelling assumptions & input. 2.

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100 Per Cent Renewables Study Supply-side Modelling Assumptions and Input Stakeholder Information Forum 28 September 201

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  1. Presented by:Tim Forcey 100 Per Cent Renewables StudySupply-side Modelling Assumptions and InputStakeholder Information Forum28 September 2012

  2. 100 PER CENT RENEWABLES STUDYSupply-side modelling assumptions & input 2

  3. 100 PER CENT RENEWABLES STUDYSupply-side modelling assumptions & input 3

  4. 100 PER CENT RENEWABLES STUDYSupply-side modelling assumptions & input 4

  5. 100 PER CENT RENEWABLES STUDYLand Use Data (ROAM) 5

  6. 100 PER CENT RENEWABLES STUDYSupply-side modelling assumptions & input 6

  7. 100 PER CENT RENEWABLES STUDYSupply-side modelling assumptions & input All selected wind sites have estimated capacity factor >35% Installable capacity, by polygon (GW-e) Scenario 1 ROAM #27 7

  8. 100 PER CENT RENEWABLES STUDYElevation data and potential wind sites (ROAM) 8

  9. 100 PER CENT RENEWABLES STUDYSupply-side modelling assumptions & input Installable capacity, by polygon (GW-e) Scenario 1 ROAM #23 9

  10. 100 PER CENT RENEWABLES STUDYSupply-side modelling assumptions & input 2030 bio-electricity up to 108 TWh-e/yr CSIRO 10

  11. 100 PER CENT RENEWABLES STUDYSupply-side modelling assumptions & input Wave up to 275 TWh-e/yr CSIRO #39 11

  12. 100 PER CENT RENEWABLES STUDYRecoverable electricity (Scenario 1, 2030) 12

  13. 100 PER CENT RENEWABLES STUDYSupply-side modelling assumptions & input Simulation by Hearps and Jack (MW) UNSW identified a similar situation. 13

  14. 100 PER CENT RENEWABLES STUDYSupply-side modelling assumptions & input 14

  15. 100 PER CENT RENEWABLES STUDYSupply-side modelling assumptions & input • CSIRO • Biomass solids • Biogas • Molten salt thermal solar energy (heat) storage • Batteries (large scale > 10 MWh) • Compressed air • ROAM • Pumped hydro – fresh & seawater 15

  16. 100 PER CENT RENEWABLES STUDYEnergy storage for “synoptic chart problem” 16

  17. 100 PER CENT RENEWABLES STUDYSupply-side modelling assumptions & input ROAM 17

  18. 100 PER CENT RENEWABLES STUDYSupply-side modelling assumptions & input ROAM 18

  19. 100 PER CENT RENEWABLES STUDYSupply-side modelling assumptions & input 19

  20. 100 PER CENT RENEWABLES STUDYElectricity generation technology capital costs 20

  21. 100 PER CENT RENEWABLES STUDYSupply-side modelling assumptions & input $/MWh-e (log scale) CSIRO 21

  22. 100 PER CENT RENEWABLES STUDY 22

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