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PREDICTING. Which factors forecast most accurately which of the nominees will win Best Picture?. Total Revenue (adjusted) Total Budget (adjusted) Running Time Director Experience Source Material Studio Genre Release Date. Summary Statistics. Winning Nominees.
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Which factors forecast most accurately which of the nominees will win Best Picture? Total Revenue (adjusted) Total Budget (adjusted) Running Time Director Experience Source Material Studio Genre Release Date
Summary Statistics Winning Nominees
Summary Statistics Losing Nominees
The Models I II III
Our Equation Ŷ= 0.004557702x1 -0.188380659x2 -0.135205122x3 -0.120402799x4 -0.211687302 x1= running time x2 =experienced director (1,0) x3=Thriller (1,0) x4=True Story (1,0)
And the Winner is… 1970
And the Winner is… 2008
Conclusions The strongest correlation we found in the variables we tested was a positive correlation between running time and Oscar Winnings We showed that the common assertion that films with release dates closer to the awards ceremony are more likely to win is likely a myth Overall, our model can only account for 11% of the variability in Data. You cannot quantitatively measure how “good” a movie is.
Data Collection Grisel Zuniga Warren Brown- Pounds Bryce Gerard Data Provided By imdb.com boxofficemojo.com Special Thanks to: Rajat Gupta Regression Analysts Warren Brown-Pounds Bryce Gerard Based on an Idea by Bryce Gerard PowerPoint Design Bryce Gerard Credits Lead Excel Technician Warren Brown-Pounds Assistant Excel Technician Bryce Gerard