3680 Avalon Park Blvd E Orlando, FL 32828 Phone: 407-382-5222 Fax: 407-382-5420

1. Future Land UseAllocation Model(FLUAM) 3680 Avalon Park Blvd EOrlando, FL 32828Phone: 407-382-5222Fax: 407-382-5420

2. Presentation Outline • Overview of FLUAM Methodology • Demonstrate FLUAM ArcMap • Data Sources • Software Requirements

3. Overview of FLUAM Methodology

4. Existing Development • Add latest parcel data from all District 5 Counties’ Property Appraiser • Data should have the attributes needed for the analysis • Year built • DOR code (Land Use code) • Building Sq. Ft. • Owner Info. • Land Value

5. Existing Development • Select out the parcels that are built • Assign Zdata categories to parcels based on DOR code (Com, Ser, SF, MF, etc.)

6. Existing Development • Join Built parcel table to Existing Factor table based on Zdata field • Calculate the existing Unit count, Population, Employment, Enrollment – based on PPH, Vacancy Rates, Units/Acre, Square Footage/Employee

7. Data Sources – Factor Tables • Persons Per Household – U.S. Census Bureau • Vacancy Rates – U.S. Census Bureau (MF, SF); for Hotel/Motel (Smith Travel, or supplied by County/MPO) • Units/Acre – Calculated from existing development • Square Footage/Employee – InfoUSA (employee), Square Footage (PA file)

8. Forecasted Development • Create the Environmentally Constrained layer by combining the 100 Year Floodplain, Wetlands and Water Bodies

9. Forecasted Development • Overlay the Environmentally Constrained layer on the Vacant Lands layer

10. Forecasted Development • Clip out these Environmentally Constrained areas to remove those sensitive areas from any future development scenarios

11. Forecasted Development • Overlay this layer with the Latest Future Land Use to determine the amount of developable land in each FLU category

12. Forecasted Development • Create the Buffer layers by buffering the Similar Development parcels (15 year historical), the major roads and the Employment Centers • Determines parcels more desirable for development

13. Forecasted Development • Rank the Developable Vacant Land parcels based on these buffer layers as well as Land Value (Cost/Ac) • This determines the development potential for each parcel – higher ranked parcels develop first

14. Forecasted Development • Determine the Population and Employment control totals by the Residential and Employment Submarkets • Submarkets could be Census Tract, municipal boundaries, etc.

15. Forecasted Development • Calculate the population and employment of each of the vacant ranked parcels until the Submarket Control Totals are reached for each forecast year (2010 - 2030)

16. Forecasted Development • Output the final Zdata 1 & Zdata2 results to Excel tables – summarized by TAZ Numbers

17. FLUAM ArcMap 9 Application

18. FLUAM ArcMap 9 Application • Right-click on the tool bar to add the FLUAM Extension or click on ‘Add from file…’ to browse to the location of the FLUAM dll file

19. FLUAM ArcMap 9 Application • Position the new FLUAM tool on the tool bar • Click on the button to start the extension

20. FLUAM – File Menu • Under the File menu, you can do a quick print, export to Jpeg or exit the application

21. FLUAM - View Menu • Under the View menu, you can view the layers (if they have been created)

22. FLUAM - Update Menu • Clicking on the Update menu allows you to access the Update interface

23. FLUAM - Update Menu • Browse to the locations of the input shapefiles and tables and convert them to coverages

24. FLUAM - Analysis Menu • Under the Analysis menu, you can access all of the analysis functions of the FLUAM application

25. FLUAM – Developable Land Analysis • The Developable Land Analysis tool is the first step in determining the Built, Public and Vacant parcels

26. FLUAM – Developable Land Analysis • Verify that the necessary files are available, browse for missing files and press ‘Run’ to start the process

27. FLUAM – Calculate Existing Zdata Factors • You can review and change the Existing Growth Factors • Click ‘View TAZ’ to zoom to that TAZ

28. FLUAM – Calculate Existing Zdata • You can view the TAZ and add any other layers that you want to see

29. FLUAM – Suitability Rankings • Set up the ranking factors for each Zdata category • Press ‘Run’ to start the buffering and ranking processes

30. FLUAM – Review Demand Numbers • Review the Demand numbers for the Population Submarkets

31. FLUAM – Review Demand Numbers • Review the Demand numbers for the Employment Submarkets

32. FLUAM – Review Demand Numbers • Click on the ‘View Sub’ button to zoom to that Submarket

33. FLUAM – Calculate Projected Zdata Factors • You can review and change the Projected Growth Factors • Click ‘View TAZ’ to zoom to that TAZ

34. FLUAM – Calculate Projected Zdata Factors • You can view the TAZ and add any other layers that you want to see

35. FLUAM – Zdata Menu • Under the Zdata menu you can review the Population and Employment Zdata numbers

36. FLUAM – Review Population Zdata • Review Zdata1 Population numbers for the current and forecasted years

37. FLUAM – Review Employment Zdata • Review Zdata2 Employment numbers for the current and forecasted years

38. FLUAM – Review Zdata • You can view the TAZ and add any other layers that you want to see

39. FLUAM – Help Menu • Under the Help menu you can open the Help file

40. FLUAM – View Help • Under the Help menu you can open the Help file

41. Data Sources

42. Data Sources • Parcel Shapefile and Attribute Table – from each County Property Appraiser; need such attributes as DOR (Land Use Code), Owner, Building Value and Year Built, Building Square Footage • Future Land Use Shapefile – this can be gathered from all of the Counties and Cities in the study area, or the Generalized FLU Shapefile that the ECFRPC produced can be incorporated into the analysis • Environmental Constraints Data – Floodplain, wetlands and water body shapefiles can be downloaded from the FGDL website

43. Data Sources • Development of Regional Impact Shapefile – this data is available from the ECFRPC; some additional research is needed to determine build-out years • Planned Unit Developments – PUD information is generally produced by County and City Zoning departments • Existing and Future Roads – available from Counties, MPOs, TPOs, FDOT

44. Data Sources • Census Block & Block Group Data – Census Block Group information is used to produce the development factors that are then assigned to overlaying TAZs. These factors include Single and Multi-Family Vacancy Rates, People per Household, and the number of Autos per household

45. Software Requirements

46. Software Requirements • FLUAM is run using ESRI’s ArcGIS 9 suite of tools • The data and factors can be viewed and modified with the standard ArcMap license • In order to run the Developable Land Analysis and the Land Use Forecasting steps, an ArcINFO license is necessary

47. QUESTIONS? 3680 Avalon Park Blvd EOrlando, FL 32828Phone: 407-382-5222Fax: 407-382-5420www.edats.com