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Leapfrog Enterprises Inc. November 14, 2013 Yi Liu, Ye Liang, Charalampos Ntantanis, Caleb Pierson. Agenda. Company Background Current Position Macroeconomic Outlook Industry Overview Financial Analysis Valuation Recommendation. Current Position.
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Leapfrog Enterprises Inc. November 14, 2013 Yi Liu, Ye Liang, Charalampos Ntantanis, Caleb Pierson
Agenda • Company Background • Current Position • Macroeconomic Outlook • Industry Overview • Financial Analysis • Valuation • Recommendation
Current Position • RCMP recommended for purchase 2000 shares @ market (8.20) which resulted in buying 2000 shares @ $8.19 on April 5, 2013 • Current Stock price is $8.13 • This is an unrealized loss of 0.73%
Macroeconomic Outlook • World (and U.S.) population is growing across the toy consumer age range • Dollars spent on toys increased 7.68% from 2007 to 2012 • Youth electronics decreased slightly from 2011 to 2012 • Nostalgic/Retro toys are making a big push this year • The Consumer Sentiment Index is at the lowest point since 2011 Bloomberg News and Toy Industry Association Inc.
Industry Overview • The U.S. Toy market was worth $22 billion in 2012 • Industry products include dolls/action figures, models, construction kits, scooters, board games, game consoles • Small companies are able to compete alongside larger businesses by focusing on niche products and by reacting more quickly to new trends Source: Hoovers
5 Forces for Toys and Games Source: Marketline
5 Forces Analysis Source: Marketline
Company Overview • Leapfrog trades on the NYSE with ticker symbol LF • Company was founded in 1995 by Michael Wood and Robert Lally and headquartered in Emeryville, California USA • Focus: Educational Entertainment for Children • Employees: 552 people on a full-time basis Source: Company Website and 2012 10k
Business Segments and Operations • United States: 73%, 75%, 80% in 2012, 2011and 2010 • Three large retailers: Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. Toys “R” Us, Inc. and Target Corporation • International • United Kingdom, France, Canada, Mexico, Australia, South Africa and Spain. Source: 2012 10k
Product Portfolio Source: Company Website
Product Portfolio • Currently sell 2 versions of LeapPad, 2 hand held computers (GS and the Explorer), 2 sets of eBooks (Tag and the Tag junior), learning toys, and iPhone and iPad apps • LeapPads -- $120 • GS and Explorer -- $70 • eBooks -- $25 to $170 bundles • Toys -- $10 to $25 • Apps -- $0.99 Source: Company Website
Risk Factors • Highly seasonal – Approximately 75% of total sales to retailers to occur during the third and fourth quarters. • Growing strategic focus on online products and services – Depends on consumer acceptance • Rely on a limited number of manufactures • Liquidity maybe insufficient to meet the long-term or periodic needs
Seasonality Source: 2012 10k
Management Outlook • A number of changes to executive management team during 2012 and 2011 • Anticipate continued business growth at a pace ahead of the market with net sales expected to increase at high single –digit percentage growth rate • Plan to make long-term investments in content, international expansion, online communities, systems and new platforms
Major Shareholders Source: Yahoo finance
Major Shareholders • Well known financial institutions Source: Yahoo finance
Key People • Mr. John Barbour, Chief Executive Officer, Director and Member of Non-executive Officer Stock Award Committee • Raymond L. Arthur, Chief Financial Officer • Gregory B. Ahearn, Chief Marketing Officer and Executive Vice President Source: Businessweek
Recent Financial Information Source: Capital IQ
Recent Financial Information Source: Capital IQ
Recent Stock Performance Source: Capital IQ, Yahoo Finance
Valuation — WACC Source: Yahoo Finance, Bloomberg
Valuation — Comps. Source: Capital IQ
Comps. Stock Chart Source: Yahoo Finance
Decision Drivers • Strengths • Climbing Revenues • Strong Cash Position • Highly specialized • DCF ($8.57) • Concerns • Raising competition from big players • Seasonal fluctuations
Recommendation Hold