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Sustainability of the Oil Transportation Industry China Oil Transportation Safety Conference Nanjing September 2012 Tim Wilkins Regional Manager Asia-Pacific. INTERTANKO International Association of Independent Tanker Owners. INTERTANKO.
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Sustainability of the Oil Transportation Industry China Oil Transportation Safety Conference Nanjing September 2012 Tim Wilkins Regional Manager Asia-Pacific INTERTANKOInternational Association of Independent Tanker Owners
INTERTANKO INTERTANKO is a non-governmental organization established in 1970 to represent the interests of independent tanker operators at the international, regional, national and local levels Staff of 21 with offices in London, Oslo, Washington, Singapore and Brussels NGO status at the International Maritime Organization (IMO) and the International Oil Spill Compensation Fund. Consultative status at the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development.
INTERTANKO MISSION Provide Leadership to the Tanker Industry in serving the World with the SAFE, ENVIRONMENTALLY SOUND and EFFICIENT seaborne transportation of oil, gas and chemical products
INTERTANKO MEMBERSHIP is open to independent tanker owners and operators of oil and chemical tankers (i.e. non-oil companies and non-state controlled tanker owners) who meet the membership criteria. ASSOCIATE MEMBERSHIPis available to any entity with an interest in the shipping of oil and chemicals.
INTERTANKO 250+ Members 3,300+ Tankers 285+ Million DWT Members in 40+ countries MORE THAN 75% OF THE INDEPENDENT TANKER FLEET 300+ Associate Members
Sustainability - the balancing acts • Profitability & efficiency versus safety and pollution prevention • Economics • Profit & loss • Cost saving • Terms and conditions • Trade growth • Safety and environment • Oil pollution • GHG emission • ANNEX VI • Ballast water • Sustainable • AdministeringNatural resourcesStewardship • World society • Free market and trade • Economy and welfare • Rules and regulations • Law and politics • Free competition/Fair trade
Sustainability of the Oil Transportation Industry • Sustainable Industry • Tanker demand • Tanker supply • Sustainable Performance • Safety & Environment
Sustainable Industry Tanker demand Tanker supply
Oil production and seaborne trade growth mbd bntonne-miles Source: Fearnleys/Platou
World increase in oil demand: China, ME, USA & ROW mbd Main Changes:Area mbd Source: INTERTANKO/IEA
Oil price and freight rate mbd 27.3% 16.5% 31,8% 8.5% 7.3% 4.8% 3.8%
Tanker demand • Arab light oil price • 1990-2004 $20.0 per barrel • 2005-2012 $73.0 per barrel • now $110.0 per barrel • Energy efficiency measures accelerated • Oil is in the process of losing its almost total domination as a transportation fuel • The US oil import the lowest since 1998 • China’s growth rate curbed • Still – positive growth and • Increased dependency on the Middle East
Sustainable Industry Tanker demand Tanker supply
Tanker trends – fleet, VLCC price, oil demand and tonne-mile indices
Projected Tanker Fleet Development 1992-2013 m dwt number
Tanker phase out, deliveries, scrapping tankers 10,000 dwt+ balance(surplus) assuming various demand increases m dwt
Sustainable Performance Safety & Environment
Number spills above 700 tonnes Safety and Environment 1970s 25.2 Number 1980s 9.3 1990s 7.8 2000s 3.3 2010-2011 2.5 Source: INTERTANKO/ITOPF
Accidental oil pollution into the seaspills per tonne-miles 1970-2011 Safety and Environment Tonnes spiltper bntonne miles oil transportation Source: INTERTANKO/ITOPF
Tanker incidents by cause 1978-2012 Number incidents Safety and Environment Source: Based on incidents reports from Informa superposed with ITOPF statistics
Safety and Environment Environmental performance • Ballast Water Management • Achieving compliance with discharge standards • Air Emission Reductions • Global switch to cleaner fuels • Greenhouse Gas Emission Reductions • SEEMP and EEDI: exceeding CO2 target emissions • Slow steaming...?
Sustainability of the Oil Transportation Industry • Sustainable Industry • Tanker demand • Tanker supply • Sustainable Performance • Safety & Environment • The industry is sustainable and has demonstrated this, but for how much longer will it remain so?
The Common Law of Business Balance It’s unwise to pay too much, but it’s worse to pay too little. When you pay too much, you lose a little money — that is all. When you pay too little, you sometimes lose everything, because the thing you bought was incapable of doing the thing it was bought to do. The common law of business balance prohibits paying a little and getting a lot — it can’t be done. thank you intertanko.com John Ruskin (1819-1900)