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NextGen Modeling Requirements

NextGen Modeling Requirements. The ATO Perspective. Introduction. FAA Office of NextGen Systems Analysis (AJP-D) Objective: Estimating the monetary benefits of FAA's NextGen investments over next 10 years Platform: Modernized NASPAC Includes demand generation process Question:

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NextGen Modeling Requirements

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  1. NextGenModelingRequirements The ATO Perspective

  2. Introduction • FAA Office of NextGen Systems Analysis (AJP-D) Objective: Estimating the monetary benefits of FAA's NextGen investments over next 10 years • Platform: Modernized NASPAC • Includes demand generation process • Question: What modeling improvements are needed to fully realize this objective?

  3. What Is NextGen?

  4. 7 Solution Sets TBO High Density Airports Flexible Terminal & Airports CATM Reduced Weather Impact Safety, Security, & Environ. Transform Facilities Airfield Improvements New Runways Runway Extensions Airfield Reconfigurations 41 Mid-Term Capabilities FAA NextGen Portfolio Transformational Programs ADS-B SWIM NextGen Data Communications NextGen Network Enabled Weather NAS Voice Switch RNAV/RNP

  5. Trajectory-Based Ops

  6. High-Density Airports

  7. Flexible Terminal

  8. Collaborative ATM

  9. Reduce Weather Impact

  10. Transform Facilities

  11. Shortfall Summary Terminal • Routes • Inter-arrival time variance • Convective weather • CDTI-Assisted Visual Separation (CAVS) • Severe IMC • Cat II/III operations • Airport closure • Diversions • Equipage-specific effects En Route • Conflict resolution (inefficiency) • Dynamic sectorization • Off-nominal operations • Re-routing - Tactical • Fix Balancing • Convective weather • Storm tops • Route vs. sector capacity En Route/Terminal • SIDs/STARs

  12. Shortfall Summary (cont.) Surface • Gates • Taxiways • Runway usage • De-icing • Tail numbers and delay propagation • Passenger delay Oceanic • In-trail climb • Separations • Track assignment Traffic Flow Management • GDPs/Ground Stops • Probabalistic demand/capacity • Airspace Flow Programs (AFPs) • Re-routing - Strategic • Miles-In-Trail • Time-based metering Airline Operations Center • Cancellations • Substitutions • User preferences and decision-making • Value of flexibility

  13. Additional Requirements • Improved ease of use • GUI? • Future fleet representation • International fleet • Avionics • Monte Carlo capability • Demand • Capacities • Weather • Routings • etc. • Visualization • Validation

  14. Any Questions?

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