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This article explores the importance of using tracers in ocean and climate models, including model validation, diagnosing circulation mechanisms, studying the ocean carbon cycle, data assimilation, and paleoceanographic considerations.
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Tracers in Ocean and Climate Models* Matthew England CEMAP, School of Mathematics The University of New South Wales * See also www.maths.unsw.edu.au/~matthew/publications.html#MR98
Possible due to: GEOSECS, TTO, SAVE, WOCE, …..
Why bother with tracers in models? • Ocean model “validation” • Diagnosis of model circulation mechanisms • Studies of the ocean carbon cycle • Data assimilation studies • Paleoceanographic considerations
Why bother with tracers in models? • Ocean model “validation” (e.g. CFCs, 14C) • Diagnosis of model circulation mechanisms (e.g. dye/age tracers, 39Ar) • Studies of the ocean carbon cycle (carbon compounds, oxygen, phosphate, nitrate,…) • Data assimilation studies (e.g. CFCs, tritium) • Paleoceanographic considerations (e.g. carbon-13, oxygen-18)
100-1000 year ventilation 10-100 year ventilation
Observed 14C Robust diagnostic Supressed convection and vertical motion Prognostic Robust diagnostic:T-S restored to observed in the interior Prognostic experiment:Interior T-S free to evolve Toggweiler et al. [1989]
Plate 2. Distribution of CFC-12 on isopycnal surfaces corresponding to maximum NADW outflow in 1988 in the Redler and Dengg [1999] simulations. (a) In the 4/3° model, and (b) in the 1/3° model. The color bar indicates CFC concentrations in pmol/kg, with isopycnal layer depths contoured (meters).
Ajax section in the South Atlantic AAIW CDW AABW CDW
Forcing functions for tracers ? 14C CFC CFC 14C CFC CFC CFC 14C 14C sea-ice Air-sea gas flux = f (k, ice, a) CFC 14C CFC k = piston velocity ~ wind speed, U2 or U3 14C a = solubility ~ SST, (SSS) 3He 3He
Tracers in coupled climate models: • How to compute gas uptake: • Use model-generated ice, winds, T-S? • Use observed ice, winds, T-S? Both approaches can give an apparently good tracer simulation but for the wrong reason (see England and Maier-Reimer 2001 for details)
Case 2: Spurious convection
Other tracer techniques: • Age/Dye tracers • Tracer data assimilation • Off-line tracer models (Cox, 1989, England 1995, O’Farrell 2000….) (Haine 1999, Schlitzer 1996, …) (Aumont 1998, Sen Gupta & England 2003)
Off-Line Tracer Model • Interannual • Seasonal • Intraseasonal OGCM Horizontal Velocity Fields Continuity Equation u , v w Source Terms Mixing Terms Tracer Conservation Equation • Water-mass source regions • CFCs, 14C, 3He • Radioactive waste • T, S • Pollution, etc…. • Eddy statistics • Isopycnal mixing • GM (1990) • Convective ML • Wind Driven ML Tracer Concentration T (x, y, z, t) T, S, CFCs, 14C,….
Example: CFC simulations in a ¼ degree model Integrated CFC content below 2000m Year = 1980 PhD project: Alex Sen Gupta
Integrated CFC content below 2000m Year = 2000 PhD project: Alex Sen Gupta
Integrated CFC content below 2000m Year = 2020 PhD project: Alex Sen Gupta
Integrated CFC content below 2000m Year = 2040 PhD project: Alex Sen Gupta
Summary – Tracers in climate models • Advantages: • Independent assessment of model (complements T-S) • Can validate within ocean-only component • Complements GBC and carbon cycle modelling • Drawbacks: • Extra CPU (especially 14C) • Can manipulate outcome to some extent • Uncertainties: • Tracer source functions • Sparse data • How to formalise assessment?