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Information Technology Stock Presentation Finance 724/824 SIM Class Summer 2009. Russell Kolmin Zachary McAllister Paul Melko Mahavir Sanghavi Daniel Schuerman. Agenda. Agenda. Current Holdings Sector Recommendation Recommendation An Omen about Oracle A Bite of Apple Into the Big Blue
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Information TechnologyStock PresentationFinance 724/824SIM ClassSummer 2009 Russell Kolmin Zachary McAllister Paul Melko Mahavir Sanghavi Daniel Schuerman
Agenda Agenda • Current Holdings • Sector Recommendation • Recommendation • An Omen about Oracle • A Bite of Apple • Into the Big Blue • Recommendation
SIM Portfolio Composition SIM Portfolio Composition Sector recommendation: Reduce IT holdings by 69 basis points.
SIM Weightings Relative S&P 500 SIM Weighting Relative S&P
SIM Portfolio Composition IT Recommendation
Reduce Oracle • Oracle is nearing 5% of all SIM holdings. • Oracle has shown recent and remarkable increases. • Oracle will continue to do so in the future. • Time to reap some value. • Reduce Oracle Corporation to 4% (sell 92 basis points)
Sell Apple– Company Profile • A computer hardware/software company with revenue from: • Personal Computers • Small Business Computers • iPods • iPhones • Music Sales • Americas, Europe, Japan, Retail • Incorporated in 1977 • Symbol - AAPL
Sell Apple– DCF Assumes Revenue of Growth: 20% Assumes Margins of: 17%
Sell Apple– Pros/Cons • Pros to Selling • Overvalued based on DCF and Valuation • Microsoft Windows 7 comes out in October • Sales dependent on trendy products • Good run in 2009 • Other options with better value • Cons to Selling • $27 cash per share • Growth of the iPhone and continued phone/network development • If Apple is able to continue revenue growth through new products or sales in emerging markets large gains will be missed
Buy IBM • A Diversified Computer System with revenue tied to • IT infrastructure and business process services • Consulting and systems integration • Computing & storage solutions, including servers, disk & tape storage systems & software • Info Mgmt, integration, intelligence, security, storage, & collaboration software • commercial financing to dealers and remarketers of IT products • Founded 1910 • Symbol - IBM
Buy IBM – DCF Assumes Revenue of Growth: 6% Assumes Margins of: 16%
Buy IBM – Pros/Cons Pros Mature stock with large growth potential Focus on high margin products (i.e. services, integration) 1.80% Dividend Yield Cash On Hand = $12.5B Cons Debt ($96B in Tot Liabilities…$42B CL vs $49B CA) Removing GW and Intang Assets leads to TL > TA Similarities/Competition with HP Up 17.6% since July 10th (Overbought??)
SIM Portfolio Composition IT Recommendation
Microsoft • There shall not be any action taken upon Microsoft this quarter • However it should be noted that the SIM weight is approaching 5%, therefore the next quarter should look into cutting back • Microsoft appears to have an upside of about 32.3%
Other Stocks Considered • FLIR • GOOG • ERTS • ADBE • HRS • RHT • PEGA • PCLN • WEBMD • CRM • VRSN • TSRA