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Explore the implications of WTO accession for Russia & Ukraine, examining challenges, stumbling blocs, and future dispute areas faced by both countries as they navigate the process.
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Implications of WTO Entry for Russia and Ukraine: Challenges and Future Dispute AreasNinth Annual WTO ConferenceLondon, May 2009 Oleg Riabokon
RUSSIA • 1993 - Russia applied for accession to the GATT – as of now 60 members form the Working Party on Russia’s accession to the WTO • - 16 years later – still negotiating • - bilateral market access negotiations are complete with most members of the WG (Georgia is outstanding) • - numerous deadlines for completion of negotiations have been missed • - next target – January 1, 2010 • - Medvedev-Obama meeting in July is viewed as crucial to push talks further
RUSSIA • STUMBLING BLOCS: • Political: centered around situation in the Caucasus • “…Russia is prepared to join the WTO, and is prepared to join it on non-discriminatory and non-humiliating conditions. We have done all that has to be done to this end…the process has been dragged out and we are annoyed by this.” • President Medvedev, April 2009
RUSSIA • STUMBLING BLOCS: • Non-Political: • - Agricultural Subsidies; • - Export Duties – unprocessed timber and steel scrap (the EU); • - SPS measures; • - Transit Railway Tariffs; • - IP protection; • - Encryption Technology Imports; • - State- Owned Companies (Energy Sector/Commercial Terms); • - TRQs on pork and poultry (the USA).
Russia • CHALLENGES • - Non-Tariff Barriers – technical regulations, licensing/permits; • - Regulated Investment into Strategic Industries – FDI regulations; • - Anti-Crises measures stimulating internal demand which have negative effect on foreign trade (automobile industry, state aid, etc.); • - Poor Customs Training – Region to Region differences; • - Low public support for WTO entry; • - Customs Union with Kazakhstan and Belarus.
UKRAINE • May 16, 2008 – Ukraine acceded to the WTO • December 2008 – Government passed detailed Action Plan on the Priority Measures on Implementation of the WTO Accession Terms • - state procurement; • - civil aircraft; • - international technical standards; • - state aid to agriculture; • - new legislation to be in compliance with WTO requirements
UKRAINE • CHALLENGES: • - financial crises – IMF approved rescue package of 16.4 billion USD (tight monitoring); • - negative trade balance peaking at 18 billion USD this winter; • - major failure of the banking system that saw a number of leading banks go under state control; • - various exemptions (currency regulations, VAT, free economic zones, etc.) creating legislative loopholes to satisfy oligarchic groups to the detriment of the whole economy.
UKRAINE • Inconsistent Policies: • - 13 percent import tariff surcharge on imports citing balance of payment difficulties – for 6 months: • 1) passed by Parliament in March; • 2) after two weeks cancelled by a Government Decree with the exception of cars and refrigerators (the Decree is not published); • - increase in the use of trade protection mechanisms (poultry from the US and Brazil) after importers were begged to bring cheap imports; • - influx of Customs related complaints – attachment of goods, delays, etc.
CONCLUSION • WTO will be a totally different organization after Russia’s accession • Ukraine is unlikely to become any major negotiator any time soon while it is coping with implementation challenges and getting used to the rules of the game
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