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Conventional Participation. Voting Contact officials Attend meetings Attend political rallies Contributing to a campaign Volunteering in a campaign Running for office Military service
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Conventional Participation • Voting • Contact officials • Attend meetings • Attend political rallies • Contributing to a campaign • Volunteering in a campaign • Running for office • Military service • Legal action: Brown v. Board of Education of Topeka, Kansas inspired activists to try and change the South
Who Participates? Important factors • Income • Education • Race and ethnicity • Age • Gender (less so)
Voting Behavior: Long term factors: • Party loyalty, still the best predictor • Class, race, regional loyalties Short term factors • Candidate appeal (Image) • Issues
How is Race Important in Voting? • Can minorities get elected? • Minority turnout • White support • Can minorities extract policy benefits from a political party? • Voting block • Vote on racial issues • Redistictring
“Issue Agendas and Latino Partisan Identification” by Nicholson and Segura
Latino Voting Block? Republican or Democrat • Latino population is generally socially conservative • Latinos offered the strongest support for CA prop 22 in 2000 banning gay marriage • Latinos are moving into the middle class and there is a general association between income and partisanship • Cubans are already heavily Republican • 35% of Latino voted for Bush in 2000 in Texas. A big jump from 21% in 1996
Democrats? • Latinos especially in CA have moved closer to the Democratic • Democrats are perceived as having stances on racial issues, economic opportunity, education, crime that are closer to their preferences and interests. • Latino National Political Survey found that 81% of Latinos in CA were Democrat • only 18.9% of Latinos nationally self-identified as Republicans
Statistical Analysis Probit/Logit Regression • dependent variable: Party best able to handle an issue (Democrat or GOP) • independent variables • issue variables • economy, jobs, education, crime, drugs, social security, immigration, race, affirmative action • control variables • Party, Registered, Union member, Ethnic Intensity, Gender, Married, Religiosity, Income
Findings • On every issue represented here, except education and jobs, California Latinos are more likely to identify Democrats as better able to address the problem. • Texas: drug issue is seen to be better handled by GOP • Religiosity had no effect. • Income was positively association with support for Democrats • Implication? GOP will have a hard time converting Latinos because religion and income (traditionally associated with GOP) do not seem to be driving forces in partisanship of Latinos.
The Racial Composition of Social Networks and African American Commitment to the Democratic Partyby Johnson and Gordon
Hypothesis: black commitment to Democratic party is partially due to racial segregation. • 2000 ANES, 89% black identify as Democrats; non-Hispanic whites only 41% • issue-based explanation: economic and social homogeneity of blacks. • 26% of blacks consider themselves conservative
Will socioeconomic heterogeneity lead to a shift to republican party? • Black middle class is more economically vulnerable than its white counterparts • Racial solidarity: Race determines the nature of black lives • intergroup contact: racial composition of workplace and church are very important. more diverse setting increases likely hood of being independent or GOP
Terkildsen and Damore • Research Question? • How does the media treat race in a political campaign? • Do they minimize it or do they focus on it?
Questions/hypotheses: media will highlight candidate's race, party, & district if black bi-racial elections, media will highlight black candidate's race bi-racial elections, media will highlight the race of voters bi-racial elections, media will downplay candidate's messages of race competitive elections will focus on race of the black candidate even further black reporters less likely to use racial cues.
Methods Content analysis of biggest two papers in 9 randomly selected states Examines 13 biracial contests; 28 all white elections; 7 all black elections Statistical technique: ANOVA MANOVA
FINDINGS All hypotheses were supported except last, black reporters were more likely to mention race and black reporters were more likely to cover biracial elections.
Tali Mendelberg • Research Question? • Did the Willie Horton ad (and media campaign) influence voters? • Did it prime voters racial biases? • Or did it simply prime voters’ concerns regarding crime?
The Willie Horton Ad • Racial overtones or overtly racial? • Bush denied any affiliation with group funding ad (Lee Atwater later admitted approving the ad). • News media labeled it a negative partisan ad. Only after the campaign was over did the ad get the reputation of ‘playing the race card’
Race in Political Campaigns • Voters no longer believe in biological racism • No longer racist, but still prejudice • Ad could prime racial stereotypes and influence attitudes regarding race and racial policies
Methodology • Experiment • 77 white students at Uof M • Median age was 18 • Some shown the ad, control group was not • OLS regression
Findings • Students shown the Horton ad were more likely to have negative views on race and racial policies • Students shown the Horton ad did not have different views on crime
Summary • Racial candidates not the only group to play the “race card” • White candidates may bring it up in campaign ads • Media focuses on it (except when a black candidate talks about race) • Las Vegas Presidential Primary Debate on Race, no one wanted to talk about race.