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To AABe or not to ABBe (a very challenging question)

To AABe or not to ABBe (a very challenging question). Paul Teulon – Head of Admissions King’s College , London. Student Number Control (AAB). 1990s through to mid-2000s – student number expansion Late 2000s – student number controls tightened up, demand for places starts to outstrip supply

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To AABe or not to ABBe (a very challenging question)

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  1. To AABe or not to ABBe(a very challenging question) Paul Teulon – Head of Admissions King’s College , London

  2. Student Number Control (AAB) • 1990s through to mid-2000s – student number expansion • Late 2000s – student number controls tightened up, demand for places starts to outstrip supply • Selective universities chose to grow PGT and international students rather than UK/EU home • Government perhaps seeking levers to increase intake amongst the best HEIs in England

  3. Student Number Control • Universities can potentially recruit an infinite number of ‘AAB equivalent’ students • Universities have a Student Number Control for ‘non-AAB equivalent students’. Small tolerance band, fines imposed if these are not met. • Within that a sub-total for SIVs (Strategically Important and Vulnerable Subjects), Physical Sciences and Modern Languages • Number of places reduced in SNC to allow for AAB+ growth

  4. Which HEI could be affected most • Oxford and Cambridge • 90% AAB+ Tutorial system and costs likely to prohibit growth • Russell Group university • 60% AAB+ Could grow – but high level of competition • Mid-ranking HEI – post 1992 • 25% AAB+ Might lose out to RG/prestigious HEIs looking to grow • Lower ranking HEIs • Almost no AAB – reduction in SNC, but predictable • Some FE in HE could be awarded some of 20,000 extra places

  5. AAB+ • If a university wanted to grab more AAB students then could they? • Competition from other HEIs • Less students applying to university (7-8% in England) • Academic Staff in place • Staff:Student Ratio – NSS • Physical estates constraints • Grade requirements in excess of AAB • Not all qualifications are equal – Access to HE • Around 70,000 AAB+ students in the UK

  6. Who’s in and who’s out *Teaching too

  7. Offer Making • Based on predicted grades – only 10% predicted correctly across their base three A-level subjects • Students who apply as AAB+ likely to end up as non-AAB? • AAB+ offers give the HEIs more control over their SNC • Make more offers in case of increased/perceived competition?

  8. Firm and Insurance • Might students choose to make different decisions with their Firm and Insurance? • Firm AAA Insurance AAB • Firm AAA Insurance ABB • Firm AAB Insurance AAB • Firm AAB Insurance ABB

  9. AAB vs WP • AAB encourages selective universities to take more traditional students as Access to HE and other more vocational subjects not included • Higher grades mean that a larger proportion of your students are likely to come from independent schools and from traditional backgrounds • AAB and WP(OFFA) are perhaps pulling in opposite directions

  10. The ‘Teulon’ Matrix SNC

  11. What should students do, what should you encourage/advise? • Better to stick with original choice unless originally aspired to or declined an AAB choice due to lack of confidence in grades • Course content/structure check essential • May encourage students in 2012/13 to work to achieve ABB or higher to give them a perception of greater choice • May encourage grade inflation by Universities in 2012-13 • Adjustment Period/Changing Choices/Clearing • Be realistic about choices and vacancies • Check accommodation, scholarships –may not be available • Shortlist of 5-10 possible “targets” • Check possible vacancies before clearing starts in August

  12. What should students do, what should you encourage/advise? • 2013 entry: make students aware of ABB issue but play it down • 2012: brief meeting/communication with your Y13 students? • Avoid complacency or raised expectations • Medics – 4,000 unplaced Medics for 2012 entry as of 16th May 2012. Many will achieve AAA-ABB at A level • Contact your key feeder Universities - possible flexibility at the ABB-AAB borderline • Beware grade inflation – Unistats/Guardian/KIS will have actual UCAS tariff on entry for 2010-11 • Encourage points/grades spread on future UCAS choices x1 aspirational/worth a punt x3 on or close to realistic predictions x1 good fall-back choice

  13. AAB and SNC – Aston University position and response • 35-40% of our students achieved AAB+ or equivalent, higher for ABB+ • 1,300 “core” places (SNC), 2,000 places overall • Require 700 students with AAB+ or equivalent • BTEC – all Aston students required DDD from 2010 • Placement Year Fee (£1,000) and extensive Scholarships also allowed Aston to bid for 290 additional Govt places in the “Margin” despite standard fees of £9,000 • 70% of Aston students on Sandwich or Year Abroad Degrees with £1,000 or zero fees • The Squeezed Middle? • AAB+ Aston Excellence Scholarships irrespective of family income (£4,000 over 4 years inc placement year)

  14. “Trading Up”, Releasing into Clearing/changing from CF to CI choice • If they are not eligible for adjustment it still frowned upon unless for good reason • Will they get accommodation, other uncertainties? • Is it really the best choice for them – outside influence? • Is it really a “better University?” • Are they actually eligible for adjustment? • Are they making a rational decision? • Likely to increase in 2012 despite Adjustment

  15. Missed the grades/Applied Late/Better Grades?Clearing and Confirmation • Be proactive • Get them ALL to check passwords etc with UCAS Track/Apply • Phone (don’t email) and visit • Be persistent but realistic • Email/text correspondence from Universities common • Check accommodation deadlines etc • Be flexible, have a Plan B before results day just in case. 2012 entry AAB issue may be interesting but risky too • Not all results published in mid August….IB, BTEC etc in July • Find Clearing vacancy information • UCAS www.ucas.com, University Websites, Telegraph • Speedy (not rushed) but rational decisions….and don’t be in Ibiza

  16. Last minute changes and no shows • Some Universities plan/allow for this in their target numbers but now harder due to funding/date change, especially for non-AAB candidates • Frustrating – your students may be missing out on a place held open by someone else • Just as common for popular courses as for clearing entry/recruiting courses • Essential to let a Firm Choice University know asap • Around 3 students in every 100 UK wide • Encourage good advice and communication • Encourage students to come in to school/college on results day to see you.

  17. Realistic but positive…. • Vast majority get 4 or more offers (80% plus) • Applications per place often quoted – don’t forget students are making 4 other applications. • The debate dominated by a few thousand applications for a small number of highly selective courses - less than 2% of total. • Check entry requirements and specific requirements (eg A/AS/BTEC/GCSE/IB etc) • eg: Aston: 2011 entry: 12,000 UK/EU applications for 2,000 places: c80% of applicants received conditional offers. Average Grade on entry: AAB-ABB from best 3 A levels (390+ UCAS Points)

  18. Quality: It’s not just the “usual suspects”….. “Graduate Level” Jobs: 2010 Graduates 1. Imperial College London 95.7% 2. London School of Economics 95.6% 3. King’s College London 88.8% 4. University College London 87.8% 5. Aston University 87.7% 6. Cambridge University 86.6% 7. Bath University 85.4% 8. Robert Gordon University, Aberdeen 84.9% 9. Warwick University 84.4% 10. City University 84.0% 11. Bristol University 83.3% UK average c70%. Aston above 20 of the 24 Russell Group Universities Source: HESA, Sunday Times University Guide – September 2011. Employed Graduates in “Graduate Level” employment

  19. Thanks for listening and keep in touch • Any questions or comments? paul.teulon@kcl.ac.uk j.r.seymour@aston.ac.uk Aston University Services for Schools and Colleges: www.aston.ac.uk/schliaison Open Days at King’s : www.kcl.ac.uk/opendays

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