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Fuel quality and its impact on vehicle emissions. Bert Fabian CAI-Asia Center JARI Philippines Roundtable 2010: Air Pollution Reduction and Energy Policies in the Philippines 5 February 2010. Outline. Framework Trends Fuel quality and emissions Case for Philippines
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Fuel quality and its impact on vehicle emissions Bert Fabian CAI-Asia Center JARI Philippines Roundtable 2010: Air Pollution Reduction and Energy Policies in the Philippines 5 February 2010
Outline Framework Trends Fuel quality and emissions Case for Philippines Experience from Thailand
Achieving sustainable transport Government Development Institutions Urban/Transport Planning and Demand Management TOOLS EXTERNALITIES AIR POLLUTION CLIMATE CHANGE ROAD SAFETY SOCIAL EQUITY CONGESTION NOISE POLLUTION PLANNING REGULATORY ECONOMIC INFORMATION TECHNOLOGICAL Public Transport & Non Motorized Transport Cleaner and Efficient Fuels and Vehicles TOOLS Civil Society Private Sector Freight and Logistics Source: CAI-Asia 2009
Increasing Motorization and Vehicle Growth Source: 2008. ADB, CAI-Asia, Segment Y Ltd., and IEA
CO2 Emissions from Transport (BAU) Source: 2009. ADB, CAI-Asia, and Segment Y Ltd.
PM Emissions from transport (BAU) Thousand tons Source: 2009. ADB, CAI-Asia, and Segment Y Ltd.,
Ambient Air Quality Trends in Asia Source: 2008. CAI-Asia
Impact on Public Health Study in Hanoi, Vietnam shows critical exposure levels for PM10 Average exposure of about 500 µg/m3 for walking and riding motorcycles! People exposed are mostly the middle and lower class in the society Source: Saksena, et al. 2008. East-West Center, USA
Emissions from mobile sources Source: Manila Observatory, 2004
Impact of Fuels on Light-Duty Diesel Vehicles Source: ADB and CAI-Asia, 2008. Roadmap for Cleaner Fuels and Vehicles in Asia
Impact of Fuels on Heavy-Duty Diesel Vehicles Source: ADB and CAI-Asia, 2008. Roadmap for Cleaner Fuels and Vehicles in Asia
Impact of Gasoline Composition on Emissions from Light-Duty Vehicles Source: ADB and CAI-Asia, 2008. Roadmap for Cleaner Fuels and Vehicles in Asia
Impact of Gasoline Composition on Emissions from Motorcycles Source: ADB and CAI-Asia, 2008. Roadmap for Cleaner Fuels and Vehicles in Asia
Emission Standards New Light-Duty Vehicles 14 Source: CAI-Asia. 2009
Fuel Quality Standards (levels of sulfur in diesel) > 500 ppm 51 – 500 ppm < 50 ppm Source: CAI-Asia, 2008
Philippines: PM and NOx reduction from moving from Pre-Euro to Euro II
PM reduction if Philippines moved from Euro II to Euro III Emission savings Source: CAI-Asia analysis, Segment Y data
Motorcycle Level 4 & VehicleEURO 1 Motorcycle Level 5 Vehicle EURO 3 Vehicle EURO 2 Motorcycle Level 4 &Vehicle EURO 1 Vehicle EURO 2 Motorcycle Level 5 Vehicle EURO 3 Motorcycle Level 5 Motorcycle Level 4 & VehicleEURO 1 Vehicle EURO 3 Motorcycle Level 4 & VehicleEURO 1 Vehicle EURO 2 Vehicle EURO 2 Motorcycle Level 5 Vehicle EURO 3 Experience from Thailand Annual Variation of Ambient TSP Concentration in Bangkok Annual Variation of Ambient PM10 Concentration in Bangkok Annual Variation of Ambient NO2 Concentration in Bangkok Annual Variation of Ambient CO Concentration in Bangkok Source: Kuson, Manwipa, 2009
Experience of Thailand (2) Price Structure of Petroleum Product Petroleum Fuel Price
Summary Motorization will continue to increase as well as air pollution and CO2 emissions from land transport Heavy and light commercial vehicles and motorcycles are large contributors to the PM problem in the Philippines Increase in new vehicles will continue to exacerbate pollution problem but as well as traffic congestion Need for integrated framework such as EST in order to address this problem Moving to stricter vehicle emissions standards and better fuel quality show improvements in air quality Experience from other countries show that these improvements can be done
CAI-Asia Center www.cleanairnet.org/caiasia Sophie Punte, Executive Director sophie.punte@cai-asia.org GlyndaBathan-Baterina, Policy and Partnerships Manager glynda.bathan@cai-asia.org Bert Fabian, Transport Program Manager bert.fabian@cai-asia.org SudhirGota, Transport Specialist sudhir@cai-asia.org Unit 3510, 35th floor Robinsons-Equitable Tower ADB Avenue, Pasig City Metro Manila 1605 Philippines